Two race meetings in NSW on Monday - one is at Armidale.
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Rail: is true all way
Track condition: heavy 9
Many scratchings following the torrents of rain to fall in the region but at least the meeting is going ahead.
And it's a good meeting, one of the club's biggest - it's Armidale Cup day - and the 1900m race is worth $40,000. Not as much rain as the city area but still enough to make today's track very heavy.
They will be scouting wide so outside gates may be advantageous.
For the Jock's Challenge, I like Rachel King.
Race 2 - 1:40PM $20,000 ARMIDALE TOWN & COUNTRY REAL ESTATE/ ARMIDALE ROOF TILERS 3YO+ MDN HCP (1100 METRES)
Drawing gate 10 is never ideal but if you are to draw that wide, on a Heavy 9 is probably the day to do it. And NARETHA, although out there in 10 initially, will now come in a few following some scratchings. Which to me makes her very hard to beat...providing she can handle the ground. If she does, she sits up in the box seat one out one back I predict and just outslogs them down the running. The short-priced fav Assergi may find it hard going trapped on the rails in the mud.
Race 7 - 4:40PM $40,000 MCDONALDS ARMIDALE CUP (1900 METRES)
Smart staying mare LONELY ORPHAN is the tip here but I'm wary of her heavy track record. She's been on bogs like this 4 times thus far and is yet to place. But...I think she is a superior stayer and the way she weaved between runners to be beaten less than 4 lengths in that very strong Scone Country Champs qualifier last start, suggests to me she is back to her best. Inside draw may be offset by the fact she will get back and should be able to get wide down the home running. Tell him, He's Dreamin' looms as the 2nd pick.
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