Cranbourne will entertain us tonight to end the working week and I found a couple of good chances to lead us into the weekend...
Get up to $500 in bonuses at Ladbrokes with the promo code MAXIMUMBONUS*
Here I go again, dipping my toes into the ‘chilly’ waters of a ‘maiden’ race but when you really like something, it’s too hard to ignore. Also, I’m 2 and 1 from my three Maiden tips this year so, when you’re hot...
I always find the ‘magic mile’ races fun to watch and just as much fun in looking for the winner. It’s a specialised distance and only a handful ever ‘master’ the mile, be it in maidens, low grades or black-type events.
I’ve done some homework here and although the pre-post favourite comes into this with a very impressive CV, I’m leaning towards Manhattan Vixen spoiling the party on the filly.
This Manhattan Rain filly has had a perfect preparation for a race of this type and I believe can roll ‘Millie’ in the run home.
After a first-up fourth over 1000m at Pakenham, they took her back to the same track two weeks later and put her over 1200m where she ran much better, finishing third beaten just over a length.
Clearly trying to build her up to the mile, her latest run was at Geelong just over two weeks ago and over the 1400m trip this time, she finished an unlucky second to Cedar Grande on a soft track, beaten a neck on the line.
It appears that she appreciates the rise in distance and today gets a look at the 1600m which she will handle without a problem. Showers are forecast and will be falling on a track already rated a Soft ‘5’ and this will also suit her.
Jockey Stephen Baster is back in the saddle having ridden her once last year without success. However, the ‘smiling assassin’ is in good form, riding a double at Bendigo on Wednesday and knowing him as I do, he will drive the filly up towards the front and possibly sit outside the probable leader Hoff’s Off.
With Millie’s The Missile being a back marker, I think she have to work overtime to run Baster’s mount down. She is the value in the race and is right in the mix.
This BM84 is a fairly open affair with several runners staking winning claims. Michael Kent’s five-year-old Leodoro is in great form of late and this looks right up his alley.
This horse seems to perform at his best when his races are spaced and today will be no exception, being almost three weeks since his last run.
Since returning from his last spell, he’s had six runs and won three of them, finishing unplaced just once.
Winning a BM64 first-up over a 1000m here at Cranbourne, he then finished fast to beat all but Rocket Tommy in a BM70 at Sandown.
He followed that up two weeks later by returning to Sandown and tackling a BM64 this time over the longer 1300m journey. He fought on like a tiger to grab victory carrying the grandstand (61.5kgs).
After a four week let-up, Kent sent him around Moonee Valley and like many horses he failed to handle the tight track, finishing just over a length in fifth spot behind Dance With Fontein.
After another 30 day freshen-up, he bounced back in a BM70 over 1200m at Yarra Valley and carrying 61kgs ran away with the race, winning by 2.5 lengths.
His last run at Bendigo was almost super-human if that’s possible. Jumping to BM78 class, he did the unthinkable and blew the start which saw him tailed off in the 1300m event.
Still last on the turn, he rocketed home to beat all but Cannyescent in an amazing performance. Based on these last two runs, he looks the one to beat. Luke Nolan is in the saddle today and knows where the winning post is.
*State exclusions apply to some offers. NSW Residents are excluded from welcome bonuses. Please read the T&Cs of each offer with each bookmaker.