July Cup Tips - can Redkirk Warrior bounce back in Group 1 sprint?

  • Blue Point a deserved favourite.
  • Best Roughie.

Regan Bayliss riding Redkirk Warrior

There’s no denying Redkirk Warrior was disappointing in the Diamond Jubilee Stakes at Royal Ascot, but can be bounce back in Saturday’s Darley July Cup?

The David and Ben Hayes and Tom Dabernig-trained galloper finished in 10th place and managed to beat home Harry Angel who was injured leaving the barriers, and Intelligence Cross who was essentially eased out of the race at the 300m mark. 

David Hayes believes the rising eight-year-old raced on the wrong lead leg and was ridden too close to the speed, but even if that’s rectified heading into Saturday’s feature, is it enough to turn around a 12.5-length thrashing?



Sir Dancealot and Intelligence Cross are the only other sprinters to come through the Diamond Jubilee, and while it’s impossible to make a case for the latter, Sir Dancelot was inconvenienced at the start and made up a ton of ground late to finish seven lengths in front of Redkirk Warrior.

The Charlie Appleby-prepared Blue Point is the $4 favourite following his King’s Stand Stakes win, while US Navy Flag ($5.50), Eqtidaar ($7), Sands Of Mali ($9) and Dreamfield ($10) are the major players. 

Blue Point follows a near identical path to last campaign where he resumed from a long break and had his next two runs spaced before backing up to win the Group 3 John Guest Bengough Stakes (1200m) at Ascot.

This time in, he resumed from a long break and finished hard for a 2nd placing in the Meydan Sprint (1000m) before a disappointing last place in the Group 1 Chairman's Sprint Prize (1200m) at Sha Tin.

He bounced back to form last start and looks set to peak fourth-up again in what looks like his main assignment this preparation. 

At the odds, I think Sir Dancealot represents great value at $41.

He was the eye-catching run in the Diamond Jubilee and he has subsequently won at Newmarket over 1400m when taking out the Group 3 Criterion Stakes. 

The drop back in trip isn’t ideal with his get back and run on racing style, but he’ll be finishing better than most and is worth an each-way shout. 

As for Redkirk Warrior, we all know he is one of the best sprinters in Australia, and maybe even the world, but you are only as good as your last run, and on that basis, it’s hard to recommend backing him although a small patriotic wager isn’t out of the question. 

Regan Bayliss gets back aboard and maybe, just maybe, he can bring out the warrior in Redkirk.



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July Cup Tips - can Redkirk Warrior bounce back in Group 1 sprint?

There’s no denying Redkirk Warrior was disappointing in the Diamond Jubilee Stakes at Royal Ascot, but can be bounce back in Saturday’s Darley July Cup?

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