Saturday Tips - Best Bets and Tips for Saturday's racing

  • Guide to Saturday's best bets and previews 
  • In-depth previews of the feature races and selections to back

Looking for Saturday racing tips? We provide a complete guide to the best bets for the weekend's racing - and you can read who are tipsters are backing below.

ASCOT (Adam Cusworth)


Race 7 - 4:10PM SKY RACING-W.A. GUINEAS (1600 METRES)
One of the key support races on Railway Stakes day is the W.A.Guineas (1400m) and I am sticking with JERICHO MISSILE. The Doug Harrison-trained galloper comes out of what looks to be the key lead up for the three-year-old, the Fairetha Stakes (1400m). In that race he settled just behind the midfield and peeled out wide at they cornered He breezed past his rivals and loomed up as the winner with 150m to go but was just out kicked by Red Can Man, who had settled closer in the run. The son of Smart Missile meets that horse under better terms at the set weights of the Guineas and while he has drawn poorly, he is likely to get back anyway and there looks to be a stack of pace in this, which will help his cause. 



Race 8 - Race 8 - 4:50PM KIRIN-RAILWAY STAKES (1600 METRES)


Race 9 - 5:30PM MAGIC MILLIONS HANDICAP (1200 METRES)
We close out Railway Stakes day with a Rating 72+ over the 1200m and BLACK SABBATH should be ready to fire at his third run back. The four-year-old closed off nicely to finish runner-up here on October 26 over the 1100m and was unlucky when striking interference at his latest when 5th in a similar race over the 1200m behind Uni Time on November 9. While it has been a while between drinks for Black Sabbath, who showed a stack of promise as a youngster, he drops down to the 54.5kg and gets the ride from the gun jockey, Willy Pike, who is fresh off a dominant display last weekend. He should be ready to strike. 



BALLARAT (Adam Cusworth)


Ballarat Race 7 - 4:00PM Goldenvue Estate BM84 Handicap (1400 METRES)
Race 7 at Ballarat is a wide-open betting race and one that may have snuck under the radar is CRITICAL THINKING. The six-year-old has had two runs this time in for a 6th in stronger class at Moonee Valley two starts ago before working overtime at Kyneton on November 6 when missing the start at BenchMark 84 level. In that run he managed to recover but had to travel very deep as they cornered and did well to eventually finish in the runner-up slot behind the handy Persuader. He steps up to the 1400m and produced a series of good runs at the distance at Caulfield earlier this year. He has drawn barrier 12 and will be ridden for luck but the tempo looks genuine in this and he should be strong at the business end. With Michael Walker to ride, the price on offer represents value. 


Ballarat Race 8 - 4:40PM Sportsbet Ballarat Cup (2000 METRES)
The Ballarat Cup is the feature in Victoria and the Chris Waller-trained ANOTHER DOLLAR can go very close at the each-way quote. The five-year-old has some good form over the distance range, racing four times for a win and two runner-up performances. She may have headed home a fraction early when nabbed late by Tally two starts ago at Rosehill and was a close up 9th when making her run in the worst part of the track behind Oceanex in the recent Group 2 Matriarch Stakes (2000m) at Flemington on Stakes day. She shouldn't be too far away in the run and can measure up. 


DOOMBEN (Steve Bennett)


Race 5 - 2:48PM TATTERSALL'S MEMBERS RATINGS BAND 0 - 80 Handicap (1350 METRES)
The lightly-raced ASHMAN has bagged four straight wins from his past four starts and can easily make it five here. This promising son of Magnus was most impressive when leading all the way to win a BM58 at Lismore three starts back, putting more than three lengths on the field in the 1300m Hcp. He then stepped up to Class 3 company on this track and was even more impressive that day, putting three lengths on that field to bring up the hat-trick, covering the 1350m trip in 1:19.1. Last start, he put two lengths on a Class 5 field at Ipswich, running the 1350m journey in 1:19.5, just .09 outside Sister Emma’s track record set in 2014. In form rider Steph Thornton was aboard for the last two of those big wins and remains aboard here. Drawn nicely in gate five, he should be untroubled to lead again, with little to no early speed drawn inside him. Carrying just 55.5kgs after the claim, he will prove hard to run again.


Odds correct as at 8:00AM on 21/11/2019

Race 6 - 3:28PM WINNING EDGE No More Than One Metro Win Handicap (1110 METRES)
The ever-consistent DREAM MASTER is in career best form of late and its almost impossible to tip against him here. The six-year-old boasts one of the best resumes around at the moment, filling a top-three spot in his past nine starts, with one exception, where he threw Jackson Murphy out of the saddle shortly after the jump at the Gold Coast (three starts back). He made up for that at his very next start where he put 4.5 lengths on a Class 5 field, here over the 1110m trip. After a seven-week freshen-up, he won a Gold Coast trial before making the trip south to Grafton where he was sent out a $2.20 favourite for the annual Jacaranda Cup where he led all the way until grabbed right on the line by Jadentom. It was a super effort considering he drew the car park that day (gate 12 of 12). He has drawn wide again here but with so much speed in the race, jockey Ron Stewart will have options available to him. If he can settle early, somewhere near the pace, a 3kg drop in weight from his last start should see him there in the finish again.



Race 7 - 4:08PM THE SPIRIT OF BOOM CLASSIC FILLIES & MARES (1200 METRES)
Spirit Of Boom mare SPIRIT’S CHOICE has won eight of her 19 career starts and is every chance of adding another victory to the tally in this. First-up off a 15-week spell, she comfortably took care of a BM80 field at the Sunshine Coast over the 1000m sprint. That was her first win on a rain affected track (soft 5 that day). After that effort, trainer Matt Kropp took her to Melbourne where he tried his hand in the Group Three Begonia Belle Stakes (1100m) down the Flemington straight. However, the four-year-old found the class a little too slick, finishing mid-field, nearly five lengths behind race winner Tofane. She returns to Brisbane where another barrier awaits her. Yet to win in the city, she gets her chance here in Listed company. Drawn to do no work early, Matt McGillivray should have little trouble finding a forward spot from gate four and has ridden the mare six times now, winning on two of those occasions so he has enough experience with the mare. Already a two-time winner at the distance, she should prove hard to run down in this company.


GOLD COAST (Steve Bennett)


Race 3 - 1:48PM HIT90.9 LISE, SARAH, DAN & BEN Class 2 Handicap (900 METRES)
Tony Sears has DEVIL’S TEMPTATION firing on all cylinders at the moment and I see no reason why he can’t continue improving here. Two starts back, he crushed a field of three-year-olds at Ipswich, putting four lengths on them over the 800m sprint. Then last start, he stepped up to the 1000m trip and beat all but Je Suis Belle home at the Sunshine Coast after leading early. Daniel Griffin is aboard for the first time here and drawn in gate six, he may have to do a little work if he wants the front-running. A sit near the pace should be sufficient here and he is certainly good enough to beat these home.



Race 5 - 3:08PM HIT90.9 RNB FRIDAYS BENCHMARK 68 Handicap (2400 METRES)
Carrying topweight in a staying event is always a tough ask, but WINKLER is in good form and showed last start that weight can be carried to victory. After finishing just behind the placegetters in a BM66 at Grafton (on an unsuitable soft track), he then lined up at Toowoomba on a Good 4, and despite lumping 59kgs, he finished best to win a Class 4 over 2175m. On the quick back-up here, this BM68 is no harder and he is reunited with Jason Taylor who has ridden him in 15 of his 28 starts for three wins. Taylor knows the horse well and will give him every chance here. 



Race 6 - 3:48PM THE GOLDIES OWN 92.5 TRIPLE M BENCHMARK 68 Handicap (1100 METRES)
Greg Kilner has SHE’S CHOOSIE second-up here and with daughter Leah aboard, should be in the finish. Two starts prior to a 15-week spell, Brook Ainsworth steered the Choisir mare to an impressive one length victory in a Class 5 at the Gold Coast over 1200m, where she clocked 1:08.5 for the run. Resuming from that spell, she ran home well in a BM65 at the Gold Coast to finish fourth, beaten just two lengths in the end over an unsuitable 900m sprint. Fitter from that run, she steps up to 1100m here where she is already a winner. She does get back in her races so the wide draw really doesn’t come into play. After Kilner’s claim, she will carry 1.5kgs less than her first-up run and she will be finishing strongly.


KEMBLA GRANGE (Aaron Hamilton) 


Race 2 - 1:50PM TAB HIGHWAY HANDICAP (1600 METRES)
The wide gate (19) isn’t ideal for TWO WRONGS DONT, but he’ll get back anyway and can finish over the top of them with an ounce of luck. The son of Shrapnel was impressive second-up winner over the mile at Albury before dropping back to 1500m with a month between runs and flashing home from last to be narrowly beaten by Hit The Target at Rosehill. He’s fourth-up now and should be hitting peak fitness, and the step back up to the mile looks ideal. 

Race 4 - 3:00PM PAGES EVENT HIRE F&M BENCHMARK 78 HANDICAP (1200 METRES)
Chris Waller’s LUCICELLO wasn’t entitled win first-up when they walked up front and she had to come from last to get up, but she had plenty on them and can go on with the job here. She ran the equal fastest final 600m for the meeting and the third quickest final 200m which indicates she peaked late and was in need of the first-up run. She improved her benchmark (BM) rating significantly second-up last campaign before peaking third-up with a strong figure of 10.2 lengths above BM which is the strongest BM figure of any runner in Saturday’s event. 

Race 6 - 4:20PM THE GONG (1600 METRES)
There were some big bets placed on RANIER last start where he finished 2nd to Mandella Effect at Flemington over the mile. Despite having to settle for the runner-up prize, he went 10.7 lengths above BM which is the strongest last start BM figure in this race. He now drops 6kg on that effort, is rock-hard-fit and will take some holding out if he can reproduce a similar effort.


MORPHETTVILLE (Aaron Hamilton) 


Race 3 - 2:22PM AAMI HANDICAP (1250 METRES)
The Dan Clarken and Oopy MacGillivray-trained ENOUGH SWAGGER looks like the best bet on the card following an impressive 2nd placing last start that rated very high. The four-year-old mare has continued to improve with each run this time in, and in her last four starts, she had gone 4.4 and 4.9 lengths below benchmark (BM) and then 2.4 and 7.4 lengths above BM. That last start rating of 7.4 lengths above BM is by far the strongest in the race, and she just needs to hold that form to be beating these comfortably. The small field of seven means less traffic issues than last time, and I expect her to finish over the top of them.



Race 4 - 3:02PM TAB HANDICAP (1400 METRES)
I tipped MORVADA last start off a strong BM performance, and despite being beaten, he still improved on his previous effort going 6.8 lengths above BM. I did mention last time that his peak was fourth-up last prep and he was only third-up last time, so I’m still expecting him to improve or at least hold that rating. Debt Collector won’t line up here as he’s going to Ballarat, so early punters will cop deductions, but it’s worth it as Morvada will shorten far more without Debt Collector in this field. Crockett will be favourite but I’m willing to take him on following a narrow win with a light weight at Mount Gambier. 

Race 5 - 3:42PM FLEURIEU MILK COMPANY HANDICAP (2250 METRES)
I also tipped CRAFTY DEVIL last start to defeat the $1.20 favourite and he got the cash for us. However, I do think he has more upside and there is no reason to jump off him now. They went extremely slow last time but there should be a bit more pace here, and I can see Crafty Devil landing just behind the speed. Kayla Crowther rode a very smart race last time and I’m expecting the same from the in-form hoop. 


TOOWOOMBA (Steve Bennett) 


Race 1 - 5:20PM NAISMITH TRUCK MOVERS BENCHMARK 58 Handicap (1300 METRES)
Runner-up at her past three starts, ESKDALE GIRL gets her chance to break the drought here. After finishing second at Warwick over 1100m, she mirrored that effort next start at Kilcoy, beating all but Write The Rules home that day in the Class 1 event. Last start, the Turffontein mare stepped up to 1200m at Beaudesert but in the run home, gave the leader ( Cabalo Escuro) too much start and had to settle for second prize again. The extra distance here should suit and this looks no harder. Given a good pace early, she will be there at the finish.



Race 2 - 6:00PM BROWN & HURLEY TOOWOOMBA RQ SUMMER PROVINCIAL SPRINTERS SERIES (HEAT) BENCHMARK 70 Handicap (1110 METRES)
In great touch this time in, LOVE YOU LUCY looks well-placed in this field to bounce back from her unlucky unplaced finish in the city last start. First-up off a lengthy 33-week break, the Love Conquers All mare lasted long enough to get the cash in a Class 1 at the Gold Coast over the 900m sprint. She franked that win by repeating the effort next start where she cruised to victory in a BM0-65 at Ipswich where she put more than three lengths on the field in the 1025m event. Last start, she fell too far back early, but finished like a train to be a part of a blanket finish where only a length separated the first seven past the post. She finished fifth among the mass finish. She should find this provincial class a little easier and from an ideal draw, should be no worse than mid-field early and then have the last say in the run home.



Race 6 - 8:20PM ALEMLUBE Class 1 Plate (1000 METRES)
A late starter for Lindsay Hatch, FOR MY ANNIE looked most impressive when winning his maiden on debut on this track. The four-year-old son of Shaft jumped well and soon took up the front running. Harassed by Golden Symphony (on his outside) to the home turn, it mattered not as the chestnut slipped into another gear and quickly put two lengths on the field, and from there was never troubled, going on to win by 2.5 lengths eased over the final 50 metres by Josh Oliver. Asked to carry 1.5kgs more here, that looks a modest weight penalty for such an easy first-up victory and with Oliver remaining aboard, he looks the one to catch here.


HORSE RACING STREAMS


If you are unable to watch on TV, you can watch all of the action streamed online. All races from Melbourne will be streamed onto your PC, mobile or tablet by leading bookmakers LadbrokesBetEasy and Sportsbet, and you can now watch coverage of Sky Racing via BetEasy with every Australian race live. Visit one of the bookmakers and log in to be able to watch the races from wherever you are. You do not need to bet on the race to watch it. You just need funds in your account.


HORSE RACING BETTING


There are a number of ways to bet on horse racing this weekend from a standard win or place bet to quadrellas and multibets. 

SINGLE: The most common bet. The single bet involves betting on your selection to win, place, or both (each-way). If betting each-way (see our guide for what an each-way bet is), the stake is doubled as you are betting on your selection to win, and also to place.

QUINELLA: A Quinella bet is available on every thoroughbred, harness and greyhound race provided there are at least three or more runners. To win a Quinella, you must successfully predict the 1st and 2nd placegetters in any order

EXACTA: An exacta is exactly the same as a quinella. However, you must successfully predict the 1st and 2nd placegetters in the correct order

TRIFECTA: A Trifecta bet is available on every thoroughbred, harness and greyhound race provided there are at least four or more runners. To win a Trifecta, you must successfully predict the 1st, 2nd and 3rd placegetters in a given race. 

FIRST4: A First4 bet is available on most thoroughbred, harness and greyhound race provided there are at least four or more runners. To win a First4, you must successfully predict the 1st, 2nd, 3rd and 4th placegetters in a given race. 

MYSTERY BET: A Mystery Bet takes the guess work out of picking a Trifecta and is generated by the betting agency’s computer. The computer system will randomly select three runners and if they fill the placings you win the Trifecta. 

QUADDIE: A Quaddie bet, or Quadrella bet as it is fully known, is available on most thoroughbred, harness and greyhound race meetings. A quaddie is betting on the winners of four nominated races, which are typically the last four races of any meeting, and is a very popular bet. 

MULTIBET: Multibets offer a great way to secure big winning returns on your bets as you combine various bets into one, and are proving to be an extremely popular way to bet. A multibet combines any number of bets from two to 25 into one single bet and dramatically increases the odds. 

PATENT BET: A Patent bet is similar to a three-leg multibet but is made up of seven separate bets: three singles, three doubles and a trio. Where a multibet requires all selections to win for a return, a patent bet will yield a return from just one winner.

ALL-IN BETTING: All-In betting involves a bookmaker offering fixed odds on selected feature races prior to the declaration of the final field. All-In betting on the Melbourne Cup, for example, is available for the better part of 12 months leading into the event. The risk with All-In Betting is that you will not receive your stake back if your horse is scratched.

Alternatively, follow our quick links below to learn more about the various types of horse racing bets.





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Saturday Tips - Best Bets and Tips for Saturday's racing

Looking for Saturday racing tips? Read our complete guide to the best bets for November 23 racing at Ascot, Ballarat, Doomben, Gold Coast, Kembla Grange, Morphettville and Toowoomba.

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