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Saturday Tips from the bookies May 27 - tips for Australian racing

  • See who the bookies are tipping on Saturday.

Australia’s leading bookmakers give their thoughts on this Saturday’s racing at tips for Eagle Farm, Morphettville, Sandown and Randwick by providing their best bets.

Tips from the bookies - May 27

Please check back on Friday afternoon, May 26, to see Saturday's bookie tips.

Previous Tips from the bookies:

May 20

Christian Jantzen from Sportsbet

Looked like it was an average win last start but he was entitled to be a bit flat off the big performance in the Doncaster Mile. Drawn to get a cushy lead and will take running down.
BEST –PARDOE– Race 2 No. 1 (Brisbane)
Has gone to a new level this campaign. Was held up last time but shot through for a soft win. Should get across from wide gate and be hard to beat.

VALUE – TEMPT ME NOT – Race 3 No. 7 (Brisbane)
This James Cummings-trained mare has trialled strongly leading in and has always shown plenty of ability in stakes grade. Looks attractively weighted and is at a good price.
LAY – HIDDEN PEARL – Race 3 No. 3 (Brisbane)
No doubting she is a good mare but it is hard to overcome wide gates at the Doomben 1050m and there is too much quality drawn inside her to overcome it.
BACKED – SPLURGE – Race 8 No. 8 (Brisbane)
Boom Kiwi that is over here for the Stradbroke. Has been $5 into $4.40 with us and expect him to start a clear favourite as he stamps his Stradbroke claims.

Will Norman from

Racing in great form at the moment taking out the Doncaster Mile and the Hollindale Stakes at his past two. Looks likely to get a good run in front again and handles wet conditions. Hard to knock.
BEST – BOOKER – Race 2 No. 7 (Adelaide)
Excellent win on debut at Flemington and was arguably did it in the inferior ground. Top jockey Damian Lane takes the ride and she’ll get every chance from barrier four. Looks to have plenty of upside.

VALUE – ALOISIA – Race 1 No. 12 (Melbourne)
First run for Ciaron Maher after two good performances in New Zealand. Looked good in a recent trial and looks ready to run a big race at his first go in Australia.
LAY – GRANDIOSO – Race 1 No. 2 (Melbourne)
Has come up very short odds in a competitive two-year-old race where there is plenty of depth. Steps up in class and will concede most others a start. Happy to oppose.
BACKED – NEW UNIVERSE – Race 3 No. 1 (Sydney)
Created a lot of interest after his excellent last-to-first win when having his first start in Australia and punters think he can win again backing him strongly from $2.60 into $2.20.

Gareth Phillips from Betstar

Showed us he was in for a big prep with a brilliant trial prior to his two good efforts this time in. His run was full of merit in the Hollindale. Big effort in this race last year and the rain works in his favour.
BEST – UNTAMED DIAMOND – Race 5 No. 5 (Brisbane)
This mare is flying and the heavy track won’t bother her. Deserves her shot at Listed level and her New South Wales form stacks up so well in

VALUE – ASTRONOMOS – Race 7 No. 10 (Brisbane)
He would be no hope on a dry track in this, but connections are chuckling to themselves as the rain hits Queensland. The $41 about a swimmer is worth a ticket provided we get to the heavy range.
LAY – GRETNA – Race 2 No. 2 (Sydney)
She is racing well and finally releasing some of her early potential and forecast rain is of no concern, but there are others with decent scope in this race and we would rather oppose her as favourite.
BACKED – NOW OR LATER – Race 5 No. 4 (Melbourne)
As much as $7.50 was bet when markets first went up but punters have launched into the Robert Smerdon import after her intriguing run in Adelaide, almost halving her price since markets went up.

Thomas Hackett from

He is three from three this preparation – including a Doncaster Mile win – and the Doomben Cup was always his major target. He makes his own luck right on the speed again and the wet track is not an issue.
BEST – HOOKED – Race 6 No. 2 (Adelaide)
This looks a battle with Burning Front and Hooked really does stand out at the current price. He was excellent last start and he is capable of rating at a level that can’t be matched by Burning Front.

VALUE – MOUNT NEBO – Race 3 No. 1 (Brisbane)
He flopped in the Weetwood Handicap, but 1050 metres is a much more suitable trip. He won impressively over this track and distance two starts ago and he has no problems slogging through the mud.
LAY – ARTICUS – Race 7 No. 12 (Brisbane)
The stable is flying, but Articus has always been on the overrated side since arriving in Australia. He didn’t beat much last start and he would need to go to a new career peak to win a strong Doomben Cup.
BACKED – AMELIES STAR– Race 7 No. 16 (Brisbane)
Amelie’s Star is one of the most intriguing horses running anywhere on Saturday and she has been easily the best-backed runner in the Doomben Cup. She is $13 into $9.50 and should start shorter.

Grant Palmer from PalmerBet

Will strip fitter from his strong Hollindale run. The price difference between Maurus and It’s Somewhat is far too big. He’s an outstanding each-way bet and the rain will only increase my confidence.
BEST – DIVINE QUALITY – Race 2 No. 5 (Melbourne)
Quality filly that is unbeaten at her only two starts, running sizzling time at her most recent win. Only needs to replicate her last effort over this track and distance to be winning again.

VALUE – CHARMED HARMONY – Race 5 No. 2 (Melbourne)
Just missed in Group company two back and then fought well after an ordinary ride last start. With the claimer on he will go forward and look the winner for a long way. Any rain around will only benefit.
LAY – DE LITTLE ENGINE – Race 6 No. 1 (Melbourne)
Impressive winning over the 2800m last start however he steps up to the two miles here where his best result to date is a third. Carrying top weight against some horses that will stay all day.
BACKED – BLACK HEART BART – Race 7 No. 1 (Adelaide)
Relatively quiet week in early betting with wet tracks looking the order of the day, however, that has not stopped punters rallying behind Black Heart Bart. Backed to the exclusion of all others in the Goodwood.

Josh Rose from Luxbet

Ran well in this race last year and looks to be going even better this time around. The step up to 2000m looks ideal and any rain will enhance his chances. The double figure odds on offer appeals.
BEST – MEMES – Race 3 No. 3 (Sydney)
Finally delivering on her early promise, showing her rivals a clean pair of heels in both wins this time in. She will control this and looks extremely hard to run down with the light weight.

VALUE – JUNGLE EDGE – Race 8 No. 1 (Brisbane)
Had excuses last start when a beaten favourite but his form prior was first class which included finishing alongside Redzel which franked that form last week. The wetter the better. The forgotten horse.
LAY – DIVINE QUALITY – Race 2 No. 5 (Melbourne)
Has looked promising in winning both starts to date but this looks a different scenario from barrier 13. She takes on a very competitive field and we’re happy to risk her at the current quote.
BACKED – BONNY O’REILLY – Race 8 No. 12 (Sydney)
Smart galloper that produced a dominant win first-up and the punters think they have picked the right race after scratching her in Doomben in preference for this. Has been $3.90 into $3.40.

Adam Campton from Unibet

This mare has improved at every run for Darren Weir. Made a strong run to score a nice win in the Queen Of South at Morphettville last start. Ticking along well and the step up to 2000m looks ideal.
BEST – DAGNY – Race 9 No. 9 (Sydney)
This Chris Waller-trained mare was sent back to the trials after a lacklustre performance at Canterbury last start. Expecting a massive improvement here out to 1400m from an ideal gate.

VALUE – MOUNT NEBO – Race 3 No. 1 (Brisbane)
Got home over the top of them late to score here first-up over this trip on the soft going. He comes right into contention with the predicted conditions and looks great each-way value.
LAY – BLACK HEART BART – Race 7 No. 1 (Adelaide)
Resumes at 1200m after a couple of Group I wins over 1400m at Caulfield. Although he has a good fresh record he bumps into Malaguerra that beat him easily the last time they met over this trip.
BACKED – BONNY O’REILLY – Race 8 No. 12 (Sydney)
Punters are expecting this Bjorn Baker mare to continue on her winning way and stepped into her as soon as prices went up. She has been backed from $3.70 into $3.30.

Adam Parsons from Bet365
Never a hope last start after being blocked several times and when he finally got going it was all too late but still only finished three lengths off the winner. Similar field here so I expect a big showing.
BEST – NEW UNIVERSE – Race 3 No. 1 (Sydney)
He was sensational in his first Australian start when coming from near last at the turn and flying over the top of them to win. Not much harder here so with natural progression he should be winning again.

VALUE – ENCOSTA LINE – Race 7 No. 14 (Sydney)
Wasn’t expected to do much first-up over the 1300m but still produced a solid fourth beaten a length. He’ll improve plenty from that run and although he might be looking for further again, he’s great value.
LAY – GRETNA – Race 2 No. 2 (Sydney)
Not a huge knock on her but there’s a couple of lighter raced runners that are likely to improve enough to have her covered. Maybe a little more pressure up front here for her to contest with too.
BACKED –CAERLESS CHOICE– Race 6 No. 8 (Sydney)
Dropping back from Group III company along with a solid record of four wins from six starts and punters think that might be enough to make him hard to beat. He’s been backed in from $13.

Nick Heathcote from Betfair

Loved the win at Flemington last start and I think he’ll come on significantly again from that to hold a rating capable of winning this. He’s proven on rain affected ground and maps perfectly.
BEST – NEW UNIVERSE – Race 3 No. 1 (Sydney)
Created a big impression first-up over 1200m and despite dropping back to 1100m this looks an OK set up in a small field with a rain-affected track. Never raced on wet ground but he’s bred to handle it.

VALUE – BERRY DELICIOUS – Race 7 No. 7 (Sydney)
Hopefully the rain hits for this mudlark. Last preparation she was competitive behind Sense Of Occasion in the Villiers over 1600m. That tells me 1500m second-up in a Benchmark 93 is ideal.
LAY – DAWN WALL – Race 6 No. 3 (Brisbane)
Loved her win at the Gold Coast but it’s hard to erase her flop in the heavy going in the Vinery at Rosehill over this same distance. It’s a big weather watch so anything worse than soft (6) I’ll be taking her on.
BACKED – SPANNER HEAD – Race 4 No. 4 (Melbourne)
The last start form behind Egg Tart with a big gap to third is enough reason for punters to be steaming in. Has been $4 into $3.60 early on the exchange.

Johnny Aitkin from William Hill

Talented mare that’s won five from 11. Won the Queen Of The South in style and she’ll love the step up to 2000m having won up to 2400m. Can’t go past the Ben Allen and Darren Weir combination.
BEST – NEW UNIVERSE – Race 3 No. 1 (Sydney)
Dominant debut in Australia. He chased down the leaders in style that day and with the pace up front he should be doing so again. He’s talented having won three from four and should be too good.

VALUE – SO WILLIE – Race 7 No. 13 (Sydney)
He’s hit his straps this prep having won two from two. His stats on the heavy track are two wins and two placings from five, so expect the forecasted downpour to only be a positive and he’s great value.
LAY – SO YOU TOO – Race 1 No. 18 (Adelaide)
Talented gelding that’s placed in his last four. He meets a capacity field and the $2.50 against some much more seasoned gallopers looks poison. He’ll get back need a lot of things to go his way.
BACKED – BOOKER – Race 2 No. 7 (Adelaide)
We put up $2.75 and the punters steamed in, knocking her into $2.50. She’s one from one and was dominant winning at Flemington on debut. Punters are confident she’ll keep her unbeaten record here.


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Saturday Tips from the bookies May 27 - tips for Australian racing

Australia’s leading bookmakers give their thoughts on this Saturday’s racing at tips for Eagle Farm, Morphettville, Sandown and Randwick by providing their best bets.

Read more »

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