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Saturday Tips from the bookies October 6 - tips for Australian racing

Bettingpro.com.au Staff 5 Oct 2018
  • See who the bookies are tipping on this weekend.

Australia’s leading bookmakers give their thoughts on this Saturday’s racing at tips for Belmont, Doomben, Flemington, Morphettville and Randwick by providing their best bets. 

Bookie Tips - October 6


Will Byrne from Sportsbet


SPRING CHAMPION STAKES – ARAMAYO – Race 7 No.4 (Randwick)
This promising galloper has had the perfect preparation for this race. Offers an alternate form line to the favourite and maps to get a good race. Looks great value.
BEST – SAVATIANO – Race 9 No.9 (Flemington)
Lightly raced mare that has come back in superb form. Was caught wide last start and had the audacity to give a big kick. Is drawn to get a cosier run and should send punters home a winner.
VALUE – RAPTURE MISS – Race 2 No.8 (Randwick)
Comes out of the right stable and performed strongly in a Highway two runs back then won last time out. Has performed on rain-affected ground in the past and a genuine each-way player in this.
LAY – HOLY COMMAND – Race 8 No.8 (Morphettville)
Holy Command steps up in grade here to a Benchmark 90 and won’t get it all to himself out in front. Looks under the odds at the current price of $2.90.
BACKED – PIZONIE – Race 7 No.7 (Doomben)
Punters have been keen on this promising galloper and have backed him from $5.50 into $3.60. Is drawn to lead and with Jeff Lloyd on-board, he should be hard to chase down.

Will Norman from Ladbrokes


SPRING CHAMPION STAKES – THINKIN’ BIG – Race 7 No.1 (Randwick)
Was off a 56-day break and up in distance when leading to win easily last start. The rise to 2000m looks like it will suit him down to the ground and the wet weather about gives him an advantage.
BEST – KRONE – Race 8 No.2 (Flemington)
Krone sat wide with cover last start and found the line well in a race not run to suit. Will be suited stepping up to the mile here and he looks the one to beat.
VALUE – SIKORSKY – Race 4 No.11 (Flemington)
Looked strong winning a competitive maiden at Sale and gave the impression the step up to the 1800m here would suit. Looks good value at double figures.
LAY – SAVOIE – Race 4 No.5 (Flemington)
Had a picnic in the lead last start and ran slower time than the fillies’ division. There will be more pressure for the lead here and looks too short in a deep race.
BACKED – SUN CITY – Race 1 No.6 (Flemington)
There has been a steady flow of money for this Zoustar colt and he has firmed from $6 into $4.20. He is clearly our biggest liability of the race.

Gareth Phillips from Betstar


SPRING CHAMPION STAKES – DEALMAKER – Race 7 No.5 (Randwick)
Finished in front of The Autumn Sun last start but was lipped out by Tarka on a heavy track but gets a great chance to turn the tables here as he is crying out for the 2000m.
BEST – ROYAL CELEBRATION – Race 1 No.1 (Randwick)
Terrific effort when resuming last start and was only beaten a length by The Autumn Sun prior to a break. Gets a much easier assignment here, just needs to handle the wet.
VALUE – SESAR – Race 6 No.9 (Randwick)
Huge performance in the J.J Atkins prior to break, stamping himself as one of our most promising three-year-olds. The wet track will help with the question of needing more distance first-up.
LAY – I AM SERIOUS – Race 8 No.5 (Randwick)
Drops back to the mile and gets the inside barrier on a wet track late in the day. There are enough questions to risk her as favourite and there are a few other handy horses in the race.
BACKED – JUST DREAMING – Race 4 No.3 (Randwick)
There has been a bunch of confident support for this handy mare resuming after two easy trials and the punters have stepped in and backed her from $6 into $4.20.

Thomas Hackett from Bookmaker.com.au

SPRING CHAMPION STAKES – DEALMAKER – Race 7 No.5 (Randwick)
Has not had the ideal preparation for this race, but I’m confident that he is the best horse in this field. He was excellent in the Stan Fox Stakes and the step-up in trip suits.
BEST – AVILIUS – Race 7 No.1 (Flemington)
He has not put a foot wrong since arriving in Australia and has only one start at 2400m, but he finished second behind Cracksman in it and that is clearly strong enough form for this.
VALUE – TULIP – Race 9 No.6 (Flemington)
She isn’t the most consistent horse in the world, but she is capable of a high-rating performance on her day and her last start win was very tough. She is great value in an open edition of the Blazer Stakes.
LAY – YULONG JANUARY – Race 1 No.3 (Randwick)
He obviously has some ability, but this is a big step-up in class and his first start in New South Wales. I would much rather be on Royal Celebration at the current price.
BACKED – SUN CITY – Race 1 No.6 (Flemington)
Tony McEvoy has an excellent record in these early two-year-old races and punters have locked on to Sun City. He has been $6 into $4.60 after an impressive Cranbourne trial.

James Thomas from Palmerbet


SPRING CHAMPION STAKES – THINKIN’ BIG – Race 7 No.1 (Randwick)
Was excellent last start winning the Gloaming with a tough effort and I think he will be winning again here. Stable has always had a big opinion of him and he should relish the step-up in trip to 2000m.
BEST – AVILIUS – Race 7 No.1 (Flemington)
Looked to have The Metropolitan at his mercy and chose this option instead so James Cummings will have him cherry ripe for the race. Was brilliant last start and I think he will be even better over this trip.
VALUE –TIP TOP – Race 5 No.7 (Randwick)
Two straight wins for the Les Bridge galloper and no reason why he can’t make it three on the trot. Tim Clark knows him well and he maps to land a good spot in running from the barrier. Looks good each-way.
LAY – PLEIN CIEL – Race 3 No.4 (Flemington)
Was plain last start at Newcastle finishing six lengths off the winner and yet comes up as favourite here. First time at Flemington and runs into some handy opposition so I’m keen to take him on.
BACKED – RANIER – Race 2 No.4 (Flemington)
This Godolphin colt has yet to win a race but has been placed in all four career starts. Excellent last start behind Nakeeta Jane who ran a massive race in the Group I Flight Stakes.

Wayne Symons from Unibet

SPRING CHAMPION STAKES – ARAMAYO – Race 7 No.4 (Randwick)
Loved the way this colt rounded up a good field and powered through the line in the Spring stakes at Newcastle. The third horse Greysful Glamour has gone to Melbourne and franked the form.
BEST – YULONG JANUARY – Race 1 No.3 (Randwick)
Unbeaten youngster coming to Sydney off two Swan Hill wins. A big step-up in grade but has done it with style in fast times. Respect the stable with the placement and we could see one in the making.
VALUE – SUPER TYCOON – Race 4 No.6 (Randwick)
Undefeated at 1400m and the wet track will suit the seven-year-old. Had two goes at the track and trip for two wins and looks a great each-way bet at the current quote of $12.
LAY – THINKIN’ BIG – Race 7 No.1 (Randwick)
He was impressive leading all the way in the Gloaming, but it was a five-horse field and suspect the fence won’t be in the right spot on a wet Randwick track. Meets some promising gallopers so happy to risk.
BACKED – DREAMFORCE – Race 6 No.4 (Flemington)
We’ve seen plenty of early bets for this Sydney galloper and suspect he’s ready to run a race down the Flemington straight, coming off a let up and good trial.

Clint Wallis from Neds


SPRING CHAMPION STAKES – ARAMAYO – Race 7 No.4 (Randwick)
A dominant win in the Spring Stakes at Newcastle and the extra trip looks to suit providing he can find the right part of the track. That explosive turn of foot he displayed last start will make him hard to beat.
BEST – SAVOIE – Race 4 No.5 (Flemington)
Is two from two on the dry ground including a big win at Flemington over this trip last start. He should settle on the speed and be very hard to run down.
VALUE – ARISTIA – Race 8 No.4 (Flemington)
On the quick back up after running home well against a strong field last week. Should be suited by the step-up in distance and the Flemington track. Represents good value at $11.
LAY – AVILIUS – Race 7 No.1 (Flemington)
Unbeaten this preparation but faces his toughest test here. The jump up to 2500m and the potentially tricky inside barrier makes the current price hard to take with some other proven quality stayers in the field.
BACKED – YULONG JANUARY – Race 1 No 3 (Randwick)
The unbeaten colt opened at $4.20 but has been backed right the way through into favouritism at $3. With money continuing to come it represents a rough start to the day for us.

Matthew Campbell from BetEasy


SPRING CHAMPION STAKES – DEALMAKER – Race 7 No.5 (Randwick)
Just missed in the Stan Fox on a heavy track which he is likely to strike again. Getting out to the 2000m is the key here as this looks ideal given his breeding and the way he has been finishing off races.
BEST – AVILIUS – Race 7 No.1 (Flemington)
Three runs for three wins in Australia and the mere fact he is out to the 2500m outweighs query of the inside barrier. I expect him to relish the big straight and come storming home to win.
VALUE – BRING ME ROSES – Race 9 No.4 (Flemington)
Difficult task first-up, but she did run second in the Vanity fresh last prep here. Ran third to Grunt in the Guineas so after a jump out it would seem she is primed to run well here and looks over the odds.
LAY – MR HAMILTON – Race 6 No.6 (Morphettville)
Did have a good win last week but will now have to back it up two weeks in a row. Faces a tough assignment here stepping up in class and in a deeper field, happy to lay.
BACKED – WINX – Race 5 No.2 (Flemington)
Showing my age, but this is like Led Zeppelin’s “The Song Remains The Same”. Same punters, same big bets, same result. Nothing to see here.





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Saturday Tips from the bookies October 6 - tips for Australian racing

Australia’s leading bookmakers give their thoughts on this Saturday’s racing from around the country.

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