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Saturday Tips from the bookies January 20 - tips for Australian racing

  • See who the bookies are tipping on this weekend.

Australia’s leading bookmakers give their thoughts on this Saturday’s racing at tips for Ascot, Doomben, Flemington,
Gold Coast, Morphettville, Newcastle and Randwick
by providing their best bets.

Bookie Tips - January 20

Christian Jantzen - Sportsbet

In a very tricky race to assess, we’ll go with the in-form Paddy Payne yard and the good fresh horse. An unusually hot tempo should allow this strong finisher a chance to pick them up late.
BEST – HOODLUM THUNDER – Race 4 No. 1 (Sydney)
Was well-supported last start when he got back and savaged the line to run second. He should settle closer from the favourable draw this weekend and we expect him to be very hard to beat.
VALUE – GOMER WIPPLE – Race 5 No. 8 (Perth)
Get back/run on type that always needs some luck in running but he can reel off a deadly section with the right run. Blinkers are added and he looks a good each-way play.
LAY – CIVIL DISOBEDIENCE – Race 3 No. 1 (Melbourne)
Undoubtedly down in grade, this promising stayer may find it a bridge too far to lump an extra 5.5kg from a tricky gate on a muddling tempo. Happy to lay it at the short price.
BACKED – ARISTOCRATIC MISS – Race 1 No. 2 (Adelaide)
The $2.60 was quickly snapped up on this McEvoy two-year-old filly, with a good recent trial suggesting it has improved from the useful Flemington debut. Likely to start in the red.

Will Norman from Ladbrokes

Its Invincible is as consistent as they come and his record over 1000 metres is outstanding. This is a step-up in class, but this is far from the strongest Listed race and he appeals at the $9.50.
BEST – WISE HERO – Race 9 No. 3 (Melbourne)
Wise Hero led from start to finish to win at Flemington last start and there is no reason he can’t do the same again. Steph Thornton is an excellent judge of pace and the Kaphero gelding is a proven winner.
VALUE – JAUNTY – Race 9 No. 6 (Sydney)
Jaunty has been racing consistently this preparation and there is no reason that she can’t be in the finish in what is a very open race. I would be surprised if she started the race at $10.
LAY – ADDISON – Race 4 No. 2 (Melbourne)
Addison had every possible chance to win last start ay Caulfield and failed to get the job done. There is no doubt that she is a mare with ability, but we are happy to take her on at this price in this race.
BACKED – RULING SYMBOL – Race 1 No. 4 (Sydney)
Ruling Symbol has trialled well ahead of his racing debut and has obviously caught the eye of plenty of punters. He has been $4.40 into $3.60 in a race where the market is the best guide.

Gareth Phillips from Betstar

The Black Caviar Lightning Stakes is the target for Amber Sky and if he is going to be competitive in this race, he would need to be winning this. He is not the horse that he once was, but he doesn’t need to be to win.
BEST – HIDDEN PEARL – Race 5 No. 3 (Sydney)
Hidden Pearl is a horse that does produce her best form fresh and absolutely flies over 1000 metres. She has plenty of speed and will give her rivals something to catch.
VALUE – ESTIKHRAAJ – Race 7 No. 2 (Sydney)
He will be better over further, but it would not surprise to see him fire first-up. There are question markets over a number of the leading contenders in this clash and he is well and truly over the odds.
LAY – FLOW – Race 7 No. 5 (Sydney)
The Godolphin stable are hardly setting the world alight at the moment and Flow has not recorded a city win since he won at Warwick Farm in 2016. Looks a great risk at the current price.
BACKED – D’ARGENTO – Race 2 No. 3 (Sydney)
We were fairly conservative with the opening price of D’Argento, but that didn’t stop punters flying into the unbeaten colt. There is plenty of quality in this field, but he will still start a clear favourite.

Thomas Hackett from

You can never really tip him with any real confidence, but he was excellent in the Standish Handicap and this is an open race. His record at 1000 metres is strong and he has four wins from seven.
BEST – CIVIL DISOBEDIENCE – Race 3 No. 1 (Melbourne)
Civil Disobedience has been in excellent form this campaign and he is a horse that still has upside. He beat a quality field last start at Flemington and this race is no tougher.
VALUE – BONUS D’ORO – Race 4 No. 1 (Melbourne)
It has been a while between wins, but her best form would be more than good enough to win this race. She is a very fit mare and she maps to get a lovely run into this race with Ben Allen in the saddle.
LAY – WILLI WILLI – Race 1 No. 8 (Melbourne)
Will Willi was poor last start at Flemington and it is tough to see how he is as short as his current price. It is a tricky map for him and Craig Williams is certainly not riding at his best.
BACKED – LAST WEEK – Race 2 No. 8 (Melbourne)
Last Week is the only one that punters want in the Doriemus Handicap. Punters quickly snapped the $2.70 that was on offer and he looks set to start even shorter.

Grant Palmer from Palmerbet

With little confidence Thermal Current goes on top due to his fitness edge and he has been knocking on the door past couple of runs. Toughest race of the day with all capable of winning on their day.
BEST – HIDDEN PEARL – Race 5 No. 3 (Sydney)
Flies fresh and off the back of her most recent trial she looks to be going as good as ever. Expect her to come across and take the back of Memes and prove too strong in the run to the line.
VALUE – QUEEN MISTY – Race 9 No. 7 (Sydney)
Looked the winner at past two before wilting at the line, gets the blinkers applied for the first time and also gets weight off her main rivals. Each-way.
LAY – D’ARGENTO – Race 2 No. 3 (Sydney)
A very talented colt however this is a strong field and we expect he will take benefit from the hit out and be better up to the mile. Looks a great risk at the short quote.
BACKED – NATURE STRIP – Race 7 No. 4 (Melbourne)
Won by a widening 5-1/2 lengths first-up with plenty up his sleeve, punters expect him to put away this field on his way to contesting at the highest level.

Wayne Symons from Unibet

Tough edition of the race this year with form from all over, going with the fit in form Weir trained gelding that excels at this trip and looks to get in well at the weights.
BEST – MEMES – Race 5 No. 6 (Sydney)
Had a brilliant prep last time in and must say this race does not look strong, had two trials to get ready and expect her to sit outside lead and be too strong.
VALUE – PIONEERING – Race 9 No. 1 (Sydney)
This Chris Waller trained mare was a massive improver over this track and trip last start and is ideally drawn to get a soft run just off the speed, looks a great each way bet around $13.
LAY – FLOW – Race 7 No. 5 (Sydney)
Godolphin horses aren’t going that well at the moment and although this gelding does look to get a soft lead I think she is poor value at the $2.50 mark, I’ll be betting around him.
BACKED – VUNGERS – Race 5 No. 13 (Melbourne)
In what is a very open race the punters have launched into this one at double figures obviously expecting him to lead for a very long way, has been backed from $13 into $9.

Johnny Aitken from William Hill

His last start over this course and distance saw him finish half a length behind Terravista in the Group 1 Lightning Stakes. He should be able to camp just behind the speed before peeling out late to win.
BEST – BYE SEE – Race 9 No. 9 (Sydney)
Winning well last start over 1400m, she should be able to make it back to back wins. When turning for home she was headed off, but managed to kick back on the inside to draw clear by just under a length.
VALUE – ATLANTIC CITY – Race 6 No. 2 (Melbourne)
Winning well over 1200m last start at Moonee Valley and a repeat of that run here should see him finish in first. Damien Lane takes the reins and at the double figures he is well worth an each-way bet.
LAY – CRUZE – Race 4 No. 3 (Brisbane)
Placing in a Class 6 last start and whilst he has come up a deserved favourite, we think a few others can test him. He faces three last start winners including Bat A Kat, which was dominant last at the Gold Coast
BACKED – MEMES – Race 5 No. 6 (Sydney)
Punters appear confident that her 2017 form of three wins from four starts will continue here. She's since trialled well where she has placed twice and with luck should take running down.

Dan Hooper from Neds

Should have a fitness edge on most of his rivals here, and gets a nice drop in weight down to 55.5kg. Last two wins have come over 1000m so the drop back in trip should be right up his alley.
BEST – ADDISON – Race 4 No. 2 (Melbourne)
Looks a horse with a stack of upside. Last start at Caulfield was excellent from the rear of the field in what was a slowly run race. The step up to 2000m doesn’t look like presenting too many issues.
VALUE – OF THE DAY – Race 8 No. 9 (Brisbane)
Got too far back from the wide draw last start so forgiving that run. Previous two efforts were solid and both of those were at Listed level, so she should appreciate the drop back in grade here to a BM85.
LAY – CELLARMAN – Race 4 No. 4 (Sydney)
Racing well this campaign with 3 wins from 11 runs, but this race looks to have very little early speed engaged with is similar to his most recent run where he went back in an event with very little tempo.
BACKED – NATURE STRIP – Race 7 No. 4 (Melbourne)
Back to back wins have caught the eye of racing fans, and once the market on this race opened the bets started rolling in despite the short odds. Currently accounts for nearly 95% of the hold on the race.

Matt Taylor from TopBetta

With little confidence we'll recommend Saracino to stand up in the day's feature. He didn't come up at all last prep but an encouraging jump out and the booking of Damien Oliver.
BEST – HUNTER JACK – Race 2 No. 4 (Brisbane)
If Tim Martin opts to send Hunter Jack to Brisbane instead of Randwick, he looks awfully hard to beat. His Sydney form is superior to anything else in this race, with just 51kgs. Looks the goods.
VALUE – MUTARAKEM – Race 1 No. 11 (Melbourne)
Being rewarded the Waller stable’s patience with consecutive victories at Sandown and steps up in grade in pursuit of an 1800m hat-trick. He’ll race in the first four once again and won’t be far from the finish.
LAY – ADDISON – Race 4 No. 2 (Melbourne)
At Caufield, Addison was the flashing light run for second. She's come up much shorter here but there are a few candidates from that lead up which, with more luck, could figure here.
BACKED – MALAISE – Race 7 No. 6 (Sydney)
Dual-nominated at both Flemington (R9) and Randwick and we’ve taken a few nice bets for him in each! Both races are over his best distance of 1400m and punters expect him to step up for the under fire.

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Saturday Tips from the bookies January 20 - tips for Australian racing

Australia’s leading bookmakers give their thoughts on this Saturday’s racing from around the country.

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