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Saturday Tips from the bookies July 1 - tips for Australian racing

Bettingpro.com.au Staff 26 Jun 2017
  • See who the bookies are tipping on Saturday.

Australia’s leading bookmakers give their thoughts on this Saturday’s racing at tips for Doomben, Flemington, Morphettville and Randwick by providing their best bets.

Tips from the bookies - July 1


Please check back each Friday afternoon to see Saturday's Bookie Tips:

Previous Tips from the bookies:


June 24


Christian Jantzen from Sportsbet


TATTERSALL’S TIARA TIP – IN HER TIME – Race 7 No. 3 (Brisbane)
Bonny mare that has put in two massive efforts in Brisbane. Has drawn wide again here but there isn’t a lot of speed inside her and should be able to cross to the lead and take running down.
BEST – LADY LARK – Race 2 No. 7 (Brisbane)
Not a lot has gone right for her in her short career. Had to go back to last from the wide gate last start but is drawn to get a nice run here. Expect her to be a big improver.

VALUE – TOO GOOD TO REFUSE – Race 8 No. 5 (Brisbane)
Doesn’t make things easy for himself with his racing pattern but has an abundance of talent. Looks to be good speed in this race and the dry track suits him. Should be flashing late.
LAY – DEPLOY – Race 8 No. 2 (Brisbane)
We liked him last start but it was run to suit. Goes up in weight and looks to be more pressure in this race. Think he is under the odds at his current quote.
BACKED – ABILITY – Race 6 No. 15 (Melbourne)
Has been $5 into $4.40 in early markets and money continues to roll in for him. He’s returned in great form after receiving a much-needed gelding operation during a spell. Expect him to start shorter.

Will Norman from Ladbrokes.com.au


TATTERSALL’S TIARA TIP – IN HER TIME – Race 7 No. 3 (Brisbane)
Terrific run in the Stradbroke after she was caught wide throughout before being run down by the lightly weighted three-year-old. Back to mares grade she will sit right on the pace and be hard to get past.
BEST – SAMOVARE – Race 9 No. 3 (Melbourne)
Very good effort in her first Melbourne run to finish close-up with a massive weight. Looks to map well here and with extra fitness on her side will be hard to beat.


PREDICTION

Samovare

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VALUE – ANCHOR BID – Race 1 No. 13 (Melbourne)
Liked his debut run closing well late behind a very promising horse. Steps to 1400m which will be a benefit and should get early speed here to help him get his chance late.
LAY – PHELPS GLORY – Race 2 No. 1 (Adelaide)
Was only fair first-up and has now had more than a month between runs so I’ll assume he might have had a setback. Meets a handy field here and has drawn awkwardly.
BACKED – BERNIE – Race 1 No. 3 (Adelaide)
Back to maiden grade after been disqualified from his maiden win last preparation. Punters think he can break through again, backing him from $4.20 to $2.70.

Gareth Phillips from Betstar


TATTERSALL’S TIARA TIP – DANISH TWIST – Race 7 No. 2 (Brisbane)
Her chances were ruined in this race last year by the way the Eagle Farm track was playing and the scorecard is two wins to one against the favourite. Terrific each-way value at $17.
BEST – VICEROY – Race 4 No. 1 (Sydney)
There have been seven horses run in Highways this season after finishing in the first four at the midweeks for three winners and Viceroy fits that category. Looks over the odds at $6..

PREDICTION

Viceroy

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VALUE – LOVE’S A FANTASY – Race 3 No. 7 (Sydney)
Very good effort behind In Times Of War and then had excuses last start. The favourites must give her 7kg plus, making her a solid lightweight chance. $15 is value.
LAY – PRETTY FAST – Race 2 No. 12 (Brisbane)
Will concede she’s shown potential and is from the right stable but Pretty Fast is still a maiden and faces some progressive gallopers in this. I would rather oppose her at the short quote.
BACKED – NICTOCK – Race 4 No. 3 (Sydney)
As much as $5 was bet with some agencies about this gelding which is shooting to take his record to four wins from five starts. He’s into as low as $3.20 and shapes as a bad result for us.

Thomas Hackett from bookmaker.com.au

TATTERSALL’S TIARA TIP – IN HER TIME – Race 7 No. 3 (Brisbane)
Her run was enormous in the Stradbroke Handicap and the Tiara has always looked like the ideal race for her. The map is not ideal and there is plenty of pressure on Josh Parr but she is all class.
BEST – RELIGIFY – Race 6 No. 1 (Brisbane)
Religify is one of the most honest horses running around and this is another lovely race for him. Hugh Bowman will be able to dictate terms in the early stages and it is tough to see them getting past him late.

PREDICTION

Religify

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VALUE – FLIPPANT – Race 8 No. 4 (Brisbane)
Flippant is capable of producing a big effort fresh and on her very best form can go to a level that is beyond any other horse in this field. Remember she was only a length off In Her Time last preparation.
LAY – DOUBLE SUPERLATIVE – Race 4 No. 4 (Brisbane)
He was obviously good in the Daybreak Lover, but he was $71 on that day and he has just one race win from 11 starts. He should be double figures.
BACKED – IN HER TIME – Race 7 No. 3 (Brisbane)
She was not helped by the barrier draw but that has not stopped punters diving into In Her Time in the Tatt’s Tiara. She is already into $3.20 and could start even shorter.

Grant Palmer from PalmerBet


TATTERSALL’S TIARA TIP – IN HER TIME – Race 7 No. 3 (Brisbane)
The wide gate is a concern however it’s not the first time she’s had to overcome one. With a positive ride she can find a position and if she holds her Stradbroke form then she is certainly the one to beat.
BEST – HEAVENLY ANNA – Race 3 No. 1 (Sydney)
Dominant win over this track and distance last start and will get the soft conditions to suit again. Rises in the weights however we think she will handle it and looks the best bet on a hard card.

PREDICTION

Heavenly Anna

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VALUE – QUARTERMASTER – Race 5 No. 7 (Sydney)
Much tougher task this time after winning two of his past three however he will relish the conditions, drops 8kg from his last start win and you know he will see the trip out.
LAY – RUDY – Race 5 No. 1 (Brisbane)
Has had the lights flashing at each run this campaign however keeps failing to get the job done. Has never won beyond the mile and has to give them all weight. Very happy to lay at the even money quote.
BACKED – ROYAL SYMPHONY – Race 1 No. 2 (Melbourne)
The stable has a tremendous record with juveniles and this colt couldn’t have been more impressive on debut. Punters expect him to get the job done again.

Josh Rose from Luxbet


TATTERSALL’S TIARA TIP – IN HER TIME – Race 7 No. 3 (Brisbane)
Looks ideally set up to dominate this after her impressive effort in the Stradbroke. The wide barrier suits as she will be able to cross and take up a prominent position on speed. She will be very hard to run down.
BEST – PHELPS GLORY – Race 2 No. 1 (Adelaide)
Hit the line strongly in a Group III race last month at this track and distance. Back to open grade, he should be closer in the run from the outside gate and be too good for them. Clearly better than his rivals.

PREDICTION

Phelps Glory
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VALUE – SCHISM – Race 3 No. 5 (Melbourne)
Looks well placed back to her own sex after a solid fourth over the 1400m last start. She has picked up the services of Beau Mertens and will strip fitter for this. Will be in it a long way.
LAY – LAST STARFIGHTER – Race 1 No. 4 (Sydney)
Went around at a big price last start after finishing second on debut at the midweeks. Was back in the field and ran on off a strong tempo on a good track. Will be a heavy track tomorrow and he looks too short.
BACKED – CANNYESCENT – Race 8 No. 9 (Melbourne)
Punters think Cannyescent he can make it three in a row. Looks to get a nice trail behind the early favourite Tshahitsi and punters are hoping he can get over him late. He’s been $4.20 into $3.50.

Adam Campton from Unibet


TATTERSALL’S TIARA TIP – PROMPT RESPONSE – Race 7 No. 14 (Brisbane)
This consistent filly just doesn’t run a bad race she let down nicely to score in the Dane Ripper here last start. She'll get into a good spot from the draw and looks a good hope to go back-to-back.
BEST – SIR BACCHUS – Race 7 No. 6 (Sydney)
Most unlucky at his last start when he got clear just a fraction too late to run down Royal Tudor. Better suited from an outside draw and he’ll round this lot up with ease.

PREDICTION

Sir Bacchus

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VALUE – SUSPENDERS – Race 2 No. 7 (Sydney)
This talented filly has moved about recently, now with Brad Widdup, and trialled ok recently. Will give this a shake if he brings his best form. Great value around the $18 mark.
LAY – WILD ‘N’ FAMOUS – Race 8 No. 2 (Sydney)
The Snowdens put the polish on this gelding that seems to have an aversion to the winning post. He always runs well but just doesn’t win. Will go around hard in the market again but I’ll be opposing him.
BACKED – NICTOCK – Race 4 No. 3 (Sydney)
Punters expect this Cameron Crockett-trained three-year-old to return to the winners list in the Highway. He had his colours lowered for the first time last start and is expected to bounce back. $4 into $3.20.


Adam Parsons from Bet365

TATTERSALL’S TIARA TIP – IN HER TIME – Race 7 No. 3 (Brisbane)
Very difficult to look outside the favourite after last start. She was wide the trip and nearly hung on in the Stradbroke. This looks slightly easier so even if she’s wide again she can be too strong for them.
BEST – HEAVENLY ANNA – Race 3 No. 1 (Sydney)
Last start she hit the line well when winning and running away from them and she’ll get very similar conditions and opposition here. No reason why she can’t do the job in the same manner.


PREDICTION

Heavenly Anna


VALUE – WILD ‘N’ FAMOUS – Race 8 No. 2 (Sydney)
He hasn’t won in a while but he’s very well placed here in easier grade than his last few where he was narrowly beaten. Hard not to see him in the finish. At near each way odds he’s good value.
LAY – TEST THE WORLD – Race 3 No. 2 (Sydney)
She might be going for five straight but I think she’s reached her limit and last start she fell in after leading on a slow tempo. Up to the 1400m is also a slight concern.
BACKED – WITH PROMISE – Race 4 No. 12 (Brisbane)
She won a similar race last start at good odds and punters think she can do it again. James Orman jumps on to boost her chances and she’s been backed in from $7.50.

Nick Heathcote from Betfair


TATTERSALL’S TIARA TIP – ECKSTEIN – Race 7 No. 15 (Brisbane)
I’ve had a crush on this filly since last preparation when she won a few times out of turn. Her win in the wrong part of the Eagle Farm track was impressive and if that run hasn’t done any harm she’s the value.
BEST – SIR BACCHUS – Race 7 No. 6 (Sydney)
Looked unlucky last start over 1400m but with his running pattern that’s likely to happen more often than not. Drawn wide looks a plus here and dropping back to 1200m on a wet track shouldn’t be a worry.

PREDICTION

Sir Bacchus

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VALUE – LUCKY PADDY – Race 7 No. 2 (Melbourne)
Looks an even race so happy to speck Darren Weir runner at $17 after an honest effort in a much stronger race. He got a mile out of his ground last time so if Brad Rawiller can get cover he’s a knockout.
LAY – LIAPARI – Race 6 No. 7 (Sydney)
Benefited from a perfect Hugh Bowman ride to win last week and I’m worried that a seven day back-up from a heavy track onto another heavy might take the speed out of his legs. This is a big step up in class.
BACKED – DEPLOY – Race 8 No. 2 (Brisbane)
A talented galloper that’s cruised through his grades stylishly. Got the job done at Group II level last start and despite rising 3kg is the one to beat again. Has been $4.20 into $3.50.

Johnny Aitken from William Hill


TATTERSALL’S TIARA TIP – IN HER TIME – Race 7 No. 3 (Brisbane)
Tragedy beaten in the Stradbroke when caught wide for the duration. Looks well-placed to claim her maiden Group I back against her own sex. If she gets any luck from the wide draw she wins.
BEST – SAMOVARE – Race 9 No. 3 (Melbourne)
Smart filly which was only beaten by race fitness last time out. Should improve with that run under her belt and perfectly drawn. Only opposition is Widgee Turf and I think she has his measure.

VALUE – ANCHOR BID – Race 1 No. 13 (Melbourne)
Closed well last start and the winner is smart. Up in distance will be a benefit and there appears enough tempo to see him hit the line strongly over the final stages.
LAY – TSHAHITSI – Race 8 No. 2 (Melbourne)
Looked like Phar Lap when bolting in last start but with a big weight increase and a very awkward barrier I am happy to take her on especially with Cannyescent in the race.
BACKED – DEPLOY – Race 8 No. 2 (Brisbane)
Gerald Ryan’s gelding is a model of consistency, winning five of his past six starts. The punters are happy to be with him again over the same track and distance.

Matt Campbell from CrownBet



TATTERSALL’S TIARA TIP – PROMPT RESPONSE – Race 7 No. 14 (Brisbane)
Just love the way she attacked the line to win the Dane Ripper last start. She is a quality filly that never runs a bad race so will definitely be in the finish.
BEST – ROYAL SYMPHONY – Race 1 No. 2 (Melbourne)
Was impressive on debut wining easily on the synthetic and running good time. Race looks like it might prove to be a good form race. The rise to 1400m looks ideal. Hard to beat.

Last start was a very good second in a better race than this at Wagga. Likes Flemington and likes running down the straight. Can find one better but is right in this.
LAY – CANNYESCENT – Race 8 No. 9 (Melbourne)
Hard to knock winning form and is down in weight but this is a tougher race. Drawn a touch wide and might find the Tasmanian, Tshahitsi, hard to run down.
BACKED – ROYAL SYMPHONY – Race 1 No. 2 (Melbourne)
Looked exceptional at the jump-outs before bolting in on debut. It’s an extremely tough day at Flemington and punters have identified this as a chance to get off to a good start.





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    Saturday Tips from the bookies July 1 - tips for Australian racing

    Australia’s leading bookmakers give their thoughts on this Saturday’s racing from around the country.

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