Gloucester Park hosts a seven-race program on Tuesday night and here are my best bets for the meeting.
Race 1 (4:20pm local/7:20pm AEDT) – 3YO WESTBRED MS PACE – 2130m
Itz Dynamo resumes from a spell and I would have been really keen on the grey if he had gate speed. Last prep he was fairly average, if not slow, from the mobile and has been rough from gate one in the past.
Sarah Goody is a three-year-old filly taking on the boys but she looks the best horse in the race at this stage and has heaps of gate speed. The 2130m start point should see her ripping across and she has some chance of finding the lead here.
She has won three of her past four starts and her defeat in that time was an excellent run.
Itz Dynamo can be a big danger if he doesn’t get buried on the pegs; Kerrin Joseph is a winning chance also while smaller hopes go to Davinci Diamond and Rocknroll Beachboy.
Sarah Goody if $2.50+
Rated Price: $2.40
Race 2 (4:50pm local/7:50pm AEDT) – MS PACE – 2130m
Three horses should fight it out with Grangewood Red having enough gate speed to lead and Cheeryrose and Hawkeye Bromac not too far away from the speed.
I’m happy to side with Grangewood Red who does her best racing on the pegline. She raced three pegs on Friday night but that was over 2536m and I prefer her dropping back to the 2130m.
The run in her formline which caught my eye for this race is when she ran second behind Major Reality in an M0 event over course and distance in 2016. She beat home Bonny Under Fire, Stunin Eyes Only and Typhoon Tan. All three would win this but they are better than Grangewood Red.
Looking at her stat line, the Peter Tilbrook-trained and driven six-year-old has won five races from 77 starts. It’s not really convincing but neither is her opposition so she should go very close tonight to snaring a sixth win.
Rated Price: $2.40
Race 3 (5:20pm local/8:20pm AEDT) – MS PACE – 2130m
An interesting race that could see My Papa Bear finding the lead and rolling along which tends to be his go. He smashed an easier field at Northam in 1:59.1 which is good going for this class of horse.
He has come up very short in the early market and I wouldn’t be taking a short quote about him as he isn’t over the line here.
Lipizzaner has barrier eight which isn’t ideal but she flew home last start when gaining clear running and drops back in class. Her form at Northam was as good as My Papa Bear’s but he gets the barrier advantage.
Miss Matilda Rose may head to the breeze and I entertained her as the tip but if she races in that position, My Papa Bear could run the legs off her which is why Lipizzaner is more appealing on an each-way basis as she can flood home late.
Jodies Pal would be hard to beat if she led but lacks gate speed and is another that could be caught in the breeze. If she gets cover close to the speed then she can win.
The Tornado would need to cross them at the start to have winning claims while Bledisloe could place without surprising.
Rated Price: $6
Race 4 (5:50pm local/8:50pm AEDT) – MS PACE – 2130m
I am really looking forward to this event which is an extremely strong C1 – you won’t find many better C1s in terms of depth with a number of horses either on the rise or regular metropolitan runners.
Chelsea Royale leads with Ideal Flipflop dropping to the fence. Estocada should stay the moving line while Giuliana Rancic will either stay the moving line or go three back on the pegs as she needs to be driven cold.
The Storm Chief will fly home as always while Soho Chelsea may head to the breeze which has been a position where he has won from before.
Chelsea Royale gets the services of Chris Lewis and that has swayed me as he jumps off Ideal Flipflop who looks a big danger. Lewis rates them to perfection in front and he will know he needs to keep Ideal Flipflop in the pocket.
She has won twice from her past five starts and also been runner up on two occasions. This is a class rise because of the depth in the field and all of them can win with the exception of Disco Josu and Robbies Classic who will find this too tough.
Rated Price: $2.90
Race 7 (7:17pm local/10:17pm AEDT) – MS PACE – 2130m
The ‘Get Out Stakes’ looks a really open affair and I’ll side with Soho Mercury who looks to be fairly consistent. He should be able to run home strongly in this company and was impressive last start when making up ground to finish fourth.
He tends to run his last halves in around 58 seconds which looks quickest in this field on average and his mile rates are generally between 1:59-2:01.
Spoilt Dilinger looks to have claims in this from the good draw as does Count Matai who often covers ground. If he gets an economical run then he can win and I’ll be having something on him at double figures.
Lifes A Journey is suited in this grade and has strong prospects as does Riverdale Joker who was second in a similar race last time.
You Bettor Watch Me can also be in the finish in what is an open race.
Rated Price: $4.80
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