Melbourne Cup Tips - Expert predictions from the tipsters

  • Expert predictions for the Melbourne Cup
  • Our tipsters give their tips for the big race
Melbourne Cup

Who will win the 2017 Melbourne Cup (3200m)? The tipsters give their verdicts on who they think will triumph at Flemington on November 7.

Will it be a home runner who adds their name to the honour roll? Will we see another roughie upset? Or will an international come out on top this year?

The tipsters give their verdicts below:

Aaron Hamilton

Marmelo was my Caulfield Cup tip but unfortunately he wasn’t ridden to win that race. He had the pace to settle much closer and outstay them, but Hugh Bowman looked after him and gave him a perfect Melbourne Cup tune up by settling toward the rear and letting him stretch his legs in the straight. He made up a stack of ground and clocked the fasted 200m splits from the 400m mark (11.48 & 11.79). His form over 3000m in Europe is easily good enough to finish in the first half a dozen, and with a nice ride from Bowman, Marmelo will be hard to hold out. 

Steve Bennett 

Like any other year, a lot will hinge upon the overseas contingent and who will actually line up in the race that stops a nation. Can Hartnell improve on his third placing last year? At this stage, I like the chances of the Irish gelding Red Cardinal. His most recent performance was a little disappointing where he finished fifth behind Marmelo in the Prix Kergorlay. That was his first unplaced finish in 10 starts. He is two from two over the Cup distance and is this year’s Belmont Cup winner. If he takes the field on the first Tuesday in November, he could very well match what Americain and Protectionist achieved before him.

Adam Cusworth

My original tip Order Of St George is not making the trip over but I am staying with the Lloyd Williams stable. I am a huge fan of Almandin but didn't like the way he finished off in the Bart Cummings (2500m) at Flemington. Of the others, Johannes Vermeer looms as the most likely. His two runs in Australia have been most encouraging and he was a tad unlucky in the Caulfield Cup (2400m) when finishing 3rd to Boom Time. The lightly raced Irish galloper has adjusted beautifully to Australian conditions and looks like he will thrive over the 3200m at Flemington. 

Gary Emmerson

There will be European raiders who come with more hopes resting on them, but Nakeeta could be the best chance of them all in the Melbourne Cup. This is one tough horse in handicap conditions, as he showed when winning the Ebor at York. That is the race Heartbreak City won before going down by a head to Almandin 12 months ago. The six-year-old has run consistently well in big handicap contests all season for little-known Scottish trainer Iain Jardine, but you'll get him at a price.

Jackson Oldham

With any Melbourne Cup, there are unknowns with the International Runners we are yet to see in Australia, however on exposed form Marmelo is going to be very tough to beat. His run in the Caulfield Cup was nothing short of outstanding. Marmelo settled further back than expected in the Caulfield Cup on a day where being near the leader was imperative for victory. He weaved through the field got out at the furlong and flew late to dead heat for sixth and the clocked backed up what we saw visually. Marmelo ran the quickest last 2000m of the race and was the only horse to break 58 seconds for the last 1000m (57.87sec) and the only horse to break 34 seconds for the last 600m (34.82sec). He was roughly a length and a half quicker than his rivals over the last 200m of a brutally run Caulfield Cup (running 11.79sec). In IVR figures, he was also stronger over the final 200m (+1.5 Lengths) than from the 400m-200m (+1.2 Lengths). This clearly indicates that he’ll not only appreciate the open expanses of Flemington but also will Improve when he gets to 3200m. Marmelo is unbeaten over 3000m and beyond this year and has never missed a place in his career when racing over 3000m. I can’t see anything that raced in the Caulfield Cup beating him home on the first Tuesday in November and is the one to beat at this stage. 

2017 Melbourne Cup Runners

No.HorseTrainerJockeyWeight / Barrier DrawBet
1HartnellJames CummingsDamian Lane57.5kg / 12LATEST ODDS
2AlmandinRobert HickmottFrankie Dettori56.5kg / 14LATEST ODDS
3HumidorDarren WeirBlake Shinn56kg / 13LATEST ODDS
4TiberianAlain CouetilOlivier Peslier55.5kg / 23LATEST ODDS
5MarmeloHughie MorrisonHugh Bowman55kg / 16LATEST ODDS
6Red CardinalAndreas WohlerKarrin McEvoy55kg / 24LATEST ODDS
7Johannes VermeerAidan O'BrienBen Melham54.5kg / 3LATEST ODDS
8Bondi BeachRobert HickmottMichael Walker54kg / 1LATEST ODDS
9Max DynamiteWilliam MullinsZac Purton54kg / 2LATEST ODDS
10Ventura StormDavid & B Hayes & T DabernigGlen Boss54kg / 6LATEST ODDS
11Who Shot Thebarman (SCRATCHED)Chris WallerTommy Berry54kg / 20
12Wicklow BraveWilliam MullinsStephen Baster54kg / 8LATEST ODDS
13Big DukeDarren WeirBrenton Avdulla53.5kg / 5LATEST ODDS
14US Army RangerJoseph O'BrienJamie Spencer53.5kg / 22LATEST ODDS
15Boom TimeDavid & B Hayes & T DabernigCory Parish53kg / 9LATEST ODDS
16GallanteRobert HickmottMichael Dee53kg / 18LATEST ODDS
17LibranChris WallerDwayne Dunn53kg / 7LATEST ODDS
18NakeetaIain JardineGlyn Schofield53kg / 19LATEST ODDS
19Single GazeNick OliveKathy O'Hara53kg / 11LATEST ODDS
20Wall Of FireHugo PalmerCraig Williams53kg / 15LATEST ODDS
21Thomas HobsonWilliam MullinsJoao Moreira52kg / 21LATEST ODDS
22RekindlingJoseph O'BrienCorey Brown51.5kg / 4LATEST ODDS
23Amelie's StarDarren WeirDean Yendall51kg / 10LATEST ODDS
24CismontaneGai Waterhouse & Adrian BottBeau Mertens50kg / 17LATEST ODDS


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Melbourne Cup Tips - Expert predictions from the tipsters

Who will win the 2017 Melbourne Cup (3200m)? The tipsters give their verdicts on who they think will triumph at Flemington on November 7.

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