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Melbourne Cup Tips - International to claim victory in 2017

  • Marmelo a genuine stayer
  • Humidor and Almandin among the main dangers

Marmelo gallops during the Werribee International Gallops at Werribee Racecourse

It’s time for the big dance – that first Tuesday in November where the greatest three and a half minutes in sport takes place at Flemington Racecourse.

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Finding the Melbourne Cup winner is never an easy feat, and as we saw in 2015 when 100/1 outsider Prince Of Penzance saluted, every horse is in with a fighting chance.

This year’s Melbourne Cup (3200m) looks like one of the most open renewals in recent times, but there are a few that really stand out on recent form.

Reigning Cup champ Almandin will have to carry 4.5kg more this year, which some say equates to approximately nine lengths over two miles, but he proved he’s a superior stayer last year, and his win in the JRA Trophy (2500m) two starts back was electrifying. 

He ran 2:35.970 in that race and was eased down toward the line, and while he may have been disappointing in the Bart Cummings (2500m) last start, that race was run in a slower 2:37.690 and it was always going to be harder to make ground off the slow early tempo.

Humidor’s 2nd placing behind Winx in the Cox Plate (2040m) showed how good he really is, but there is a query on his running the trip.

He’s by Teofilo and out of the Zabeel mare Zalika who won three from five career starts including a debut win over 2100m.

She clearly had plenty of stamina, so with strong staying blood on both Humidor’s sire and dam side, I can’t see why he wouldn’t run the trip right out.

Almandin and Humidor should be finishing in the top five, but I simply can’t go past the lightly-raced Marmelo who put in a great Cup trial in the Caulfield Cup.


Trained by Hughie Morrison out of East Ilsley in Great Britain, the son of Duke Of Marmalade came to Australia with proven formlines having taken out the Group 2 Prix Kergolay (3000m).

Protectionist and Americain both claimed the Prix Kergolay before running slashing lead-up runs in Australia, and this bloke can do the same.

Marmelo produced one of the quickest winning times in Prix Kergolay history (3:09.56), and the fact he is so lightly-raced, with three wins and five placings from just 11 starts, suggest he’s got plenty of upside.

He was forced to take up the running from a wide gate in the Prix Kergolay and simply outstayed his rivals with a grinding finish.

However, he is not just a one trick pony, and he showed he can settle off the speed and then produce a turn of foot when he took out the Prix De Barbeville (3000m) when first-up last campaign.

He settled further back in the Caulfield Cup and really caught the eye hitting the line strongly with the quickest 200m sectionals (11.48 & 11.79) from the 400m mark to the finish.

Hugh Bowman will have his work cut out for him finding a favourable position from barrier 16, but there is a very long run to the first turn from the 3200m chute.

At least we know Marmelo will run the trip strongly, and with a bit of luck which is needed in a 23-horse field, he’ll prove extremely hard to beat.

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Melbourne Cup Tips - International to claim victory in 2017

It’s time for the big dance – that first Tuesday in November where the greatest three and a half minutes in sport takes place at Flemington Racecourse.

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