Bet Of The Day May 4

Andrew Hendrie: May 4, 2023

The ATP Madrid Masters quarter-final between Stefanos Tstsipas and Jan-Lennard Struff features as Bettingpro.com.au’s best bet for Thursday May 4.

Bet Of The Day May 4 – read on below for our reasoning behind today’s best bet.

Key Points

Tsitsipas has won four of their six career meetings
The last four meetings have seen three sets
Over 20.5 games has landed in the last five meetings
Struff has seen Over 20.5 games in his last three matches
Tsitsipas has seen Over 20.5 games in two of his three matches in Madrid this week
Tsitsipas has won nine of his last 11 matches

We’re off to the Madrid Masters for today’s best bet as Stefanos Tsitsipas and Jan-Lennard Struff square off for a place in the semi-finals.

It’s been a dream tournament for Struff, who actually lost in the final round of qualifying and only entered the main draw as a lucky loser.

Struff hasn’t looked back, beating the likes of Lorenzo Sonego, Ben Shelton, Susan Lajovic and Pedro Cachin to reach the quarter-finals.

The German’s last three matches have all done the distance, but he’s managed to find a way to victory.

Meanwhile, Tsitsipas has also had to fight hard to make the last eight, edging out Dominic Thiem and Sebastian Baez in three sets before easing past Bernabe Zapata Miralles in straights.

Tsitsipas’s best surface is clay and he should be winning this match, but Struff certainly has the ability to make him work for it.

Tsitsipas leads the H2H 4-2 and has won the last two meetings, but the last four straight encounters have gone the distance.

With this in mind, we’re backing Tstsipas to prevail with Over 20.5 games.

Over 20.5 games has landed in the last five meetings between the pair. Struff’s big serve means he is more than capable of taking at least one set to a tiebreak, which would give the overs a great chance of hitting.

The altitude in Madrid also favours big servers, so given Struff has made his last five matches with Tsitsipas competitive, there’s no reason the German shouldn’t trouble the Greek again here.

BET OF THE DAY MAY 4 👇