Bet Of The Day July 16

Andrew Hendrie:
Bet Of The Day July 16

The NRL Round 18 match between Manly Sea Eagles and St George Illawarra Dragons features as’s best bet for Friday July 16.

Bet Of The Day July 16 – read on below for our reasoning behind today’s best bet.

  • Seven of our last 11 Bets Of The Day have landed

July 1: Storm to beat Roosters 13+ at $2.05 ✅
July 2: Panthers vs Eels under 45.5 points at $1.91 ✅
July 4: Tigers +20.5 vs Rabbitohs at $1.90 ✅
July 5: Elena Rybakina to beat Aryna Sabalenka at $2.45 ❌
July 7: England to win to nil vs Denmark at $2.60 ❌
July 8: Sea Eagles to beat Raiders & under 48.5 points at $2.40 ❌
July 9: Rabbitohs to beat Cowboys & over 46.5 points at $2.00 ✅
July 11: Sharks to beat Warriors & under 49.5 points at $3.10 ✅
July 12: Denis Kudla to beat Steve Johnson at $1.80 ✅
July 14: NSW vs Queensland: Under 46.5 points at $1.90 ✅
July 15: Geelong to beat Fremantle 1-39 at $2.25 ❌

We’re off to the NRL for today’s best as the Sea Eagles and Dragons square off at Cbus Super Stadium on the Gold Coast.

Manly are heavy favourites to prevail, but with star fullback Tom Trbojevic rested after Origin, we think there’s great value in the Dragons.

St George Illawarra are currently paying $4.10 to win with Ladbrokes, but we play it safe and take the Dragons with a +14.5 head start at $2.00.

The Sea Eagles are a completely different team with Trbojevic in the side – they’ve lost four of their six matches when he’s been absent this season, including a poor defeat to a Raiders side who had lost nine of their last 11 games last week.

Trbojevic has a hand in all of Manly’s attack and creativity, and when he’s not in the side, everything becomes disjointed.

Additionally, the Dragons have a great recent record against the Sea Eagles, winning six of the last seven meetings between the teams.

To further highlight their dominance, five of those victories were by 13+ margins.

The Dragons, who have covered the line in seven of their last eight night matches, are also boosted by Ben Hunt and Tariq Sims backing up from Origin.

There is no way Manly should be such big favourites for this game against their bogey side and without their most instrumental player. We’re confident the Dragons can at least cover the line – and maybe even pull off the upset.

Key Points

  • Dragons have won six of the last seven meetings between the teams
  • Five of those wins were by 13+ margins
  • Dragons have covered the line in seven of their last eight night matches
  • Manly have lost four of their six matches this season without Tom Trbojevic
  • Manly were defeated by an out-of-form Canberra in their last outing without Trbojevic
  • Dragons beat Manly 38-12 without Trbojevic in the team earlier this season
  • Dragons have won three of their last four NRL matches



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