Bet Of The Day July 4

Andrew Hendrie:
Bet Of The Day July 4

The NRL Round 16 match between Wests Tigers and South Sydney Rabbitohs features as’s best bet for Sunday July 4.

Bet Of The Day July 4 – read on below for our reasoning behind today’s best bet.

  • Our last two Bets Of The Day have landed

July 1: Storm to beat Roosters 13+ at $2.05 ✅
July 2: Panthers vs Eels under 45.5 points at $1.91 ✅

We attempt to land our third #BOTD on the trot as we head to the NRL for today’s clash between the Tigers and Rabbitohs at Leichhardt Oval.

The Tigers were horrendous in their last two matches before last week’s bye, losing 40-12 to the Eels and 66-16 to the Storm, but we believe they can produce an improved showing here.

South Sydney will more than likely prevail, but taking the Tigers at a +20.5 head start looks like solid value to us for a couple of reasons.

Firstly, the Tigers have had almost two full weeks now to ponder their last two crushing defeats and Michael Maguire will demand a response from his side in this clash.

Secondly, the Tigers have played the Rabbitohs close in their recent meetings.

Despite having lost their last three games against Souths, the Tigers have kept the margin to 1-12 points.

Furthermore – and this is the biggest factor behind today’s bet – the Tigers have covered the +20.5 line in 13 of the last 14 encounters between the sides.

And even though there are no fans in the crowd for this clash, the Tigers usually lift when playing at Leichhardt.

If you take their last two defeats out of the equation, the Tigers have also covered the +20.5 line in 11 of their last 12 matches this season.

As mentioned, the Tigers need considerable improvement from their last two matches, but if they can offer a response, they should be able to handle the +20.5 head start.

Key Points

  • Tigers have kept their last three defeats to Souths by 1-12 margins
  • Tigers have covered the +20.5 line in 13 of their last 14 games vs Souths
  • Tigers had covered the +20.5 line in 11 of their last 12 matches before their last two heavy losses
  • The last meeting between the teams in April ended 14-14 and went to golden point



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