Bet Of The Day July 5

Andrew Hendrie:
Bet Of The Day July 5

The Wimbledon fourth round match between Aryna Sabalenka and Elena Rybakina features as Bettingpro.com.au’s best bet for Monday July 5.

Bet Of The Day July 5 – read on below for our reasoning behind today’s best bet.

  • Our last three Bets Of The Day have landed

July 1: Storm to beat Roosters 13+ at $2.05 ✅
July 2: Panthers vs Eels under 45.5 points at $1.91 ✅
July 4: Tigers +20.5 vs Rabbitohs at $1.90 ✅

We aim for our fourth straight #BOTD when we head to Wimbledon for the fourth round showdown between Elena Rybakina and second seed Aryna Sabalenka.

We’re going for the upset in this clash of the heavy hitters.

Rybakina is excellent value here in what we believe is a 50-50 match.

Sabalenka is attempting to make her first Grand Slam quarter-final and has repeatedly stumbled when advancing this far at majors so far in her career.

Indeed, Sabalenka has played in 14 slam main draws and has only reached the fourth round twice, losing at the 2018 US Open and 2021 Australian Open.

The pressure is well and truly on Sabalenka to clear this hurdle and that is only amplified with her being the second seed at Wimbledon.

She hasn’t played anyone close to the level of Rybakina so far this tournament and faces a considerable step up in class.

Sabalenka had also won just one match at Wimbledon in her career before this tournament, losing in the first round in her previous two appearances, highlighting how this event hasn’t been kind to her in the past.

Rybakina meanwhile thrives with the underdog tag and is full of confidence having conquered Serena Williams to make her own first Grand Slam quarter-final at Roland Garros last month.

The Kazakh has continued her fine form on the Wimbledon lawns over the last week, surging into the fourth round without dropping a set.

Rybakina has only dropped serve once in her three matches and easily leads the tournament in service game win percentage with 26/27. Rybakina has won 14 of her 18 matches on grass and her booming serve should ensure she keeps this clash with Sabalenka close, meaning the second seed will be forced to come through some pressure moments.

As mentioned, we think this is a 50-50 match-up, but Rybakina has the form and confidence on the board, along with some incredible serving numbers. Sabalenka has never gone beyond this stage at a slam and could find herself in another tough predicament on Manic Monday.

Key Points

  • Rybakina has won 14 of her 18 career matches on grass
  • Rybakina hasn’t dropped a set in making R4
  • Rybakina has won 26 of 27 service games so far this Wimbledon
  • Sabalenka has never gone beyond R4 in her 14 slam main draw appearances
  • Sabalenka is 0-2 in slam R4 matches

BET OF THE DAY JULY 5 👇

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