UFC Fight Night: Covington vs Woodley Tips, Predictions & Preview

Covington vs Woodley Tips

UFC Fight Night: Covington vs Woodley will take place at the UFC APEX in Las Vegas on Sunday, September 20 at 10am AEST.

Here are our best bets and predictions for the UFC Welterweight bout between Colby Covington and Tyron Woodley.

Colby Covington Last 5 Fights

December 14, 2019LossKamaru UsmanTKO (punches)
August 3, 2019WinRobbie LawlerDecision (unanimous)
June 9, 2018WinRafael dos AnjosDecision (unanimous)
October 28, 2017WinDemian MaiaDecision (unanimous)
June 17, 2017WinDong Hyun KimDecision (unanimous)

Tyron Woodley Last 5 Fights

May 30, 2020LossGilbert BurnsDecision (unanimous)
March 2, 2019LossKamaru UsmanDecision (unanimous)
September 8, 2018WinDarren TillSubmission (D’Arce choke)
July 29, 2017WinDemian MaiaDecision (unanimous)
March 4, 2017WinStephen ThompsonDecision (majority)

Colby Covington vs Tyron Woodley

The UFC has been trying to arrange a Covington and Woodley fight for several years now. It is a little disappointing that it will take place now with Woodley’s stocks plummeting. Sadly, he may not be the fighter that he once was with only two fights since the start of 2019; both were losses.

When he first arrived, Woodley wasn’t regarded as being an explosive or exciting fighter, but that quickly changed when he began to rack up stoppage wins. In July 2016, at UFC 201, Woodley knocked out Robbie Lawler in less than three minutes. He captured the Welterweight Championship with that victory, and it looked like Woodley would have a dominant reign at the top, but that didn’t prove to be the case.

In his first title defence, he went to a majority draw against Stephen ‘Wonderboy’ Thompson. He would win the rematch via decision before defeating Demian Maia by unanimous decision to retain the strap once again. ‘The Chosen One’ recorded his first stoppage win for over two years when applying a D’Arce choke to Darren Till at UFC 228 in September 2018. That is the last time Woodley has had his hand raised in the Octagon.

Since that win, Woodley has gone 0-2 and looked poor in both of those losses. Both Kamaru Usman and Gilbert Burns were able to take control over Woodley. Could the chance to settle a long-standing grudge with Covington be enough for the former champ to wind back the clock?

By mid-2017, Covington boasted a 6-1 record in the UFC and was ready to take on bigger names in the sport. Wins over Dong Hyun Kim and Demian Maia earned Covington a shot at the interim UFC Welterweight Championship which he promptly won by defeating former UFC Lightweight champion Rafael dos Anjos over five rounds in 2018.

That win should have led to a unification bout with Woodley later that year, but Covington decided against signing a fight agreement and was stripped of the interim belt. That hasn’t stopped the obnoxious American from declaring himself as the number one 170lber on the planet. He then proved too good for former champion Robbie Lawler over five rounds, securing a shot at the title.

Covington agreed to the fight this time but it wasn’t a pretty night for the challenger as champion Kamaru Usman broke his jaw in the final minute of their fight at UFC 245. A win over Woodley could put Covington back into title contention.

Can Covington back up his loud-mouth and get back into the winner’s circle or will Woodley silence his rival and look to build momentum as he makes a push for Welterweight Championship glory once again?

Covington v Woodley Tips, Predictions & Preview

Woodley hasn’t exactly been the most exciting fighter throughout his career, but his last two outings have been low points in his career. He has almost looked disinterested to put it bluntly.

With history between the pair, this fight should be enough to motivate Woodley to produce a better performance than his past two defeats. However, it is hard to see him beating Covington. The former interim title holder is 7-1 from his last eight fights and 15-2 overall. Despite a last-fight loss, it isn’t a bad thing losing to someone like Usman. Covington still looks to have plenty of drive and that dream of holding the belt makes him dangerous in this fight.

Covington lacks the power to put Woodley to sleep, which is something he has said he would do, but the stats don’t back up Covington’s talk as he has won just twice via knockout. His last was a TKO win over Max Griffin back in August 2016.

Once this bout is all set and done, Covington should emerge victorious on the judges’ scorecards. There has been plenty of trash talk leading up to this fight, but don’t be surprised if it’s a bit of a fizzer as neither man is likely to come out guns blazing. Expect this to be a controlled fight and Covington can out-work Woodley to win via decision.

Method of Victory
Colby Covington by Points $1.72 Bet Now!
Odds correct at time of writing

Covington vs Woodley Quotes

Talking to Mike Swick’s Podcast, Tyron Woodley said “This is a big fight for me. This is probably the biggest fight of my career, to be honest, because the situation – it’s like bragging rights. He’s talked all this s**t, but in my mind, he really knows what time it is. Now he’s got to try to live up to it. He’s got to try to beat me. He’s been calling me out for three, four years, so now it’s to the point where it’s personal and the other fights didn’t really mean as much. I really didn’t feel no animosity towards them. But I feel that with Colby.”

Colby Covington told MMA Fighting: “This rivalry is beyond personal. This is for bragging rights for the rest of our lives. There’s no doubt that fighting me he’s going to get the biggest adrenaline rush, biggest motivation, and inspiration to try and knock me out. I think we’re going to see the best Tyron Woodley we’ve ever seen in this fight. This fight ain’t going to the judges’ scorecards. I’m going to leave no doubt that I am the best welterweight in the world. I’m going to finish him; I promise you that. He will get left unconscious inside that octagon. If Tyron Woodley does not leave the Octagon on a stretcher then I didn’t do my job.”