2019 AFL Brownlow Medal Tips - 3 best bets for football's night of nights

Adam Cusworth 22 Sep 2019
  • Can Geelong's Patrick Dangerfield win as favourite or is the value elsewhere? 
  • Here are three betting options for the Brownlow

Brownlow Medal night is fast approaching and Geelong's Patrick Dangerfield heads the betting for the league best and fairest at the $2.60 quote with sportsbet ahead of Lachie Neale at $5, while Marcus Bontempelli and Nat Fyfe are both at $6.50. 

Will it be one of that group of midfielders that take out the highest individual honour or can Brodie Grundy break the drought for non-midfielders? The Collingwood ruckman is a $15 shot. 

We have trawled through what is on offer and picked out our top three bets for the AFL's night of nights. 

Lachie Neale- Outright Winner

Neale finished with more disposals than any other player in 2019. Last year's Brownlow Medalist, Tom Mitchell was the leading disposal winner and while that  stat has not always pointed to a stack of votes on Brownlow Medal night, the Brisbane midfielder does tick a stack of boxes. The former Fremantle player debuted in 2012 and by 2015 he had established himself as one of the better midfielders in the competition. He polled 20 votes in 2016 but was limited to 14 and 11 in subsequent years, due partly to the fact that his side, the Dockers, only registered eight wins in those seasons. This year, at Brisbane, it was 16 victories meaning that there will be plenty of votes on offer for the Lions. He has been more dominant than some of his fellow mids and should poll in at least 12 of the matches. 

Most Votes Collingwood- Adam Treloar 

It looks to be a race in two between Brodie Grundy and Adam Treloar for most Collingwood votes. I'm inclined to go for the midfielder over the ruckman and like Lachie Neale, Treloar has found a stack of the footy this season. The former Giant is another that has attracted votes in the past, polling 21 in 2016 and most would say that he has surpassed that season, producing career best footy after missing a large chunk of 2018 due to injury. His teammate, Grundy, has had an exceptional year and can match his haul of 17 from 2018. But given the bias towards midfielders from the umpires, Treloar gets the nod for mine. 

Top 20 Finish: Michael Walters 

One of the forgotten clubs each year in finals and Brownlow calculations is Fremantle. The Dockers surprised many during the year and were in finals calculations until slipping in the final month, finishing 13th. They ended with nine wins for the season and their best players were Nathan Fyfe and Michael Walters.  The midfielder/forward singlehandedly won Fremantle a number of games and kicked match winning scores late in the piece against Collingwood and Brisbane. He average over 22 disposals and booted 40 goals and made the All-Australian side in the process. He is a slight chance to even upstage his teammate, Fyfe, for most club votes but the play might be for him to finish in the top 20.

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2019 AFL Brownlow Medal Tips - 3 best bets for football's night of nights

Can Geelong's Patrick Dangerfield win as favourite or is the value elsewhere? Here are three betting options for the Brownlow

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