Hawthorn v Geelong Tips, Predictions and Match Preview - Close one in store in Saturday afternoon footy at the MCG

Adam Cusworth 7 Aug 2018
  • The modern day rivals look set to take part in another classic. Here is our preview of the Round 21 MCG clash

 Saturday afternoon footy heads to the MCG on August 11 for what shapes as a huge clash between the two modern day rivals, Hawthorn and Geelong. 

With the finals looming, there is plenty at stake for the two teams and the action gets underway at 1.45PM. Fox Footy will broadcast the game. 

Match Preview


Hawthorn come off a thrilling four point win over Essendon in Round 20 and now sit on 5th spot on the ladder with 12 wins for the season. 

They are four positions ahead of Geelong, who find themselves in dangerous territory in 9th. The Cats found themselves on the wrong side of the ledger in what was another close one last weekend, going down by three points to Richmond on Friday night. 

This contest pits together some of the biggest names in the competition. Hawthorn's Tom Mitchell, who is the current Brownlow Medal favourite, has been in unbelievable form and is averaging 37 possessions per game. 

He will combine with Jaegar O'Meara and the in-form midfielders take on Patrick Dangerfield, Joel Selwood, Tim Kelly and Gary Ablett in the middle of the ground. 

Little separates the two sides in a number of statistical measures. Geelong might have a slight edge at winning the clearances but Hawthorn rank higher for efficiency and inside 50s.  

Another highlight will be the presence of a number of the games leading forwards. Geelong's Tom Hawkins and Hawthorn's Luke Breust and Jack Gunston all sit inside the top ten players for goals scored this season. 

Hawkins has booted 49 majors and will be keen to atone for his effort last weekend when registering just the single goal. Hawthorn's Breust and Gunston combined for eight and were instrumental in the win over the Bombers. 

A win for Hawthorn will see them take one step closer towards a top four spot. They are just one win behind placed, while a Geelong victory will likely see them finish the round somewhere between 4th and 8th. A loss will out a big dent in their finals hopes but the silver lining for the Cats is that they have a couple of 'gimme' games to follow against Fremantle and the Gold Coast Suns, both of which are in Geelong.  

Match Odds


Hawthorn $2.10
Geelong $1.74

*Correct at the time of writing.

Team News


Hawthorn have a healthy injury list at the moment and aren't expected to make too many changes to their side. James Sicily and Ben McEvoy remain on the sidelines and are expected to return in a couple of weeks. 

Geelong are likely to be without Jed Bews after the small defender injured his shoulder in the dying stages of the Richmond loss. Rhys Stanley is likely to come in after he was a late withdrawal last weekend. 

Stats


The two sides have featured in some unbelievable games over the years and close finishes have been the common denominator. Hawthorn claimed the Round 2 clash this year by one point, while Geelong won the Round 17 2017 game by three. 

Three of the past four games have been decided by under a goal. Geelong have won four of the past five between the two sides and since the famous 2008 Grand Final the Cats have won 16 of 22. 13 of those 22 have been decided by 10 points or less. 

Prediction and Tips


We can expect another close one. Hawthorn were impressive in their win over the Bombers, while few can fault Geelong's effort against Richmond on the same weekend. 

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Hawthorn v Geelong Tips, Predictions and Match Preview - Close one in store in Saturday afternoon footy at the MCG

The modern day rivals look set to take part in another classic. Here is our preview of the Round 21 MCG clash

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