Richmond Tigers v Collingwood Final Preliminary Tips, Predictions and Match Preview - Tigers to scrape through in September classic

Adam Cusworth 18 Sep 2018
  • The Tigers and the Magpies will be playing off for a spot in the Grand Final. 
  • Read our preview of the Friday night MCG clash. 

Richmond take on Collingwood on Friday September 21 in the first of the AFL Preliminary Finals and the huge clash gets underway at 7.50PM at the MCG. 

A spot in the 2018 Grand Final awaits the winner and it is Richmond that head in as favourites. Channel 7 and Fox Footy will broadcast the game. 

Match Preview

Richmond have been posted at the $1.40 quote in the head to head betting and are favourites on the back of their superior record this season. They won 18 of their 22 regular season games and qualified in top position, while Collingwood claimed 15 victories on their way to finishing 3rd. 

Richmond also head in with a fresh list, having had the week off after their 31 point Qualifying Final win over Hawthorn, while Collingwood will have had just six days recover from their most recent final, a 10 point win over the GWS Giants. 

The clash between the two sides is a mouth watering one to say the least. Close to 100,000 fans are expected at the MCG and the portion of those that belong to the 'Magpie Army' can head in with some degree of optimism, despite their sides underdog status as Collingwood ranked higher than Richmond in a number of statistical measures over the course of the 2018 home and away season. 

They were No.1 in the competition for disposals, 3rd for contested possession and 4th for clearances. Richmond were were 14th, 8th and 17th in these measures. Look for Scott Pendlebury, Taylor Adams and Steele Sidebottom to find plenty of the ball, while Brodie Grundy should get on top in the ruck. 

However, Richmond have shown that they can absorb pretty much anything at the MCG and were 2nd for points conceeded, while Collingwood were 8th in this area. The Tigers will look to force their opposition into error before capitalising. 

The battle between Richmond's defenders and Collingwood's forwards will be pivotal. The likes of Alex Rance ,Dylan Grimes and Nick Vlaustin will look to contain Will Hoskin-Elliot, Jordan De Goey and Josh Thomas, who have combined for 113 goals this season.  

At the other end of the ground, the competition's leading goal kicker, Jack Riewoldt, will be looking to make his mark, while Daniel Rioli and Josh Caddy are others that will present a danger to the Magpies. 

Match Odds

Richmond $1.40
Collingwood $3.00

*Correct at the time of writing.

Team News

Richmond have no major injury concerns. Dustin Martin and Daniel Rioli left training early during a session last week but are expected to play. Dan Butler may sneak back into the side after missing the Qualifying Final with injury, while Brandon Ellis is waiting in the wings. 

Collingwood pulled up without any injuries out of the Giants win. Darcy Moore and Ben Reid are among those that are on the return from injury and it will be interesting to see whether Nathan Buckley rolls the dice on either of those two. Both are lacking match fitness. 


Richmond have won the past four games between the two sides by an average margin of 26 points. They met in Round 2 this season and Round 19 with those games going the way of the Tigers by 28 and 43 points. 

A feature of both of those clashes was that Collingwood stuck with Richmond until three-quarter time before the Tigers produced big last terms. In the most recent encounter, Jack Riewoldt and Dustin Martin combined for six goals for Richmond, while Brodie Grundy, Stele Sidebottom and Scott Pendlebury were very solid for the Magpies. 

The two sides have not faced each other in a final since the 1980 Grand Final, which went the way of Richmond by a then record margin of 80 points. The Tigers are unbeaten at the MCG this year. Collingwood are nine from 15 at the venue in 2018. 

Prediction and Tips

Richmond will sneak over the line in what shapes as a September classic. 

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Richmond Tigers v Collingwood Final Preliminary Tips, Predictions and Match Preview - Tigers to scrape through in September classic

The Tigers and the Magpies will be playing off for a spot in the Grand Final. Here is our preview of the Friday night MCG clash.

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