Aurie’s Star Handicap Tips - Win and place bets for the Flemington Group 3

  • Voodoo Lad has improved with every run this preparation and is at peak fitness.
  • Chamois Road the value Place bet.
  • Confidence rating: 90%
Brad Rawiller riding Voodoo Lad

A classy field of 10 are set to tackle Saturday’s Group 3 Aurie’s Star Handicap (1200m) at Flemington where Voodoo Lad has been installed the $3.90 favourite. 

With Voodoo Lad’s last two runs being at Caulfield, it makes sense to analyse those runs to see how well he’s travelling this preparation. 

Prior to this campaign, Voodoo Lad’s best performances at Caulfield over 1100m and 1200m were a win in The Heath (1100m) in a time of 1:03.600 on a Good 3 and win in the Regal Roller Stakes (1200m) in a 1:11.35 on a Good 4.

In his last two runs, Voodoo Lad has scored a most impressive win over 1100m in 1:03.910 on a Good 4 and then a solid runner-up effort behind Vega Magic in the slick time of 1:10.180.

Despite finishing three lengths from Vega Magic, Voodoo Lad’s last start run still rates three lengths above his previous best, and he also carried 5.5kg more last start than he did in the Regal Roller. 

Considering his first couple of runs this time in were below par, and he’s then bounced back to his best before setting a new PB last start, he appears to be a horse on the up.

He’s yet to win at Flemington in five attempts, but he did finish runner-up to Redkirk Warrior in the Group 1 Newmarket Handicap (1200m), so his form at the track and trip is strong. 

But is his winless record at Flemington and his career best form enough to justify favouritism in Saturday’s feature?

Brave Song is a last start winner at Flemington but will find this much tougher, while I think Ability, Camdus and Man From Uncle will be outclassed here. 

Rich Charm, Poetic Star and I Am A Star all have the class to be competitive in this grade, but I have a query over each of them first-up.

Patrick Payne’s Chamois Road is the horse that looks way over the odds at $19 and $5.20.

He’s won three of four this campaign and really impressed in a Cranbourne barrier trial on Monday where he was storming home under a stranglehold behind Heptagon and Wheal Leisure. 

James Cummings’ new acquisition, Home Of The Brave, is the most intriguing horse in the race and he comes to Australia with strong European form having won his past two first-up runs impressively. 

Those fresh runs were over 1400m, but Home Of The Brave has been most impressive in two barrier trials in Sydney where he has shown good early pace over 900m. 

His most recent effort was a 2nd placing behind Siege of Quebec who was pushed out to the line while Home Of The Brave was climbing over their heels early and just cruised to the line. 

He beat Showtime home in that trial and that galloper was caught wide first-up in the Missile Stakes (1200m) and finished 3.4 lengths from Pierata.

I think the market has this race spot on with little splitting Voodoo Lad and Home Of The Brave, but I think fitness gives Voodoo Lad the advantage over most of these who have bigger fish to fry in the spring.

However, the one thing I think the market does have wrong is the odds for Chamois Road – a Place wager on him represents great value. 

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Aurie’s Star Handicap Tips - Win and place bets for the Flemington Group 3

A classy field of 10 are set to tackle Saturday’s Group 3 Aurie’s Star Handicap (1200m) at Flemington where Voodoo Lad has been installed the $3.90 favourite.

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