Saturday Tips from the bookies August 18 - tips for Australian racing

  • See who the bookies are tipping on this weekend.

Australia’s leading bookmakers give their thoughts on this Saturday’s racing at tips for 
Belmont, Caulfield, Gold Coast, Ipswich, Kembla Grange, Morphettville and Randwick

 
by providing their best bets.

Bookie Tips - August 18


Will Byrne from Sportsbet


LAWRENCE STAKES – HARTNELL – Race 7 No.1 (Caulfield)
Goes extremely well first-up and the slight edge off the track will suit. He should go forward from the wide gate with most of his dangers behind him as they straighten.
BEST – TONY NICCONI – Race 5 No.6 (Caulfield)
He could not have been more impressive at his first start and has jumped out well since. Should get a great run on speed and be very hard to beat.
VALUE – PLUTOCRACY – Race 3 No.14 (Caulfield)
Has a good record when performing fresh and gets in very well here. Jumped out nicely and should get a great run off a hot speed. Will be powering late and looks good value.
LAY – NAANTALI – Race 1 No.2 (Caulfield)
Had an impressive win last start. However, goes up in weight compared to most of her rivals and looks under the odds, we’ll be taking her on.
BACKED – OSBORNE BULLS – Race 8 No.3 (Caulfield)
Coming off a 12-week spell, this gelding has been very popular with our punters early. He has been $3.80 into $2.40 and we can’t see him getting out from that quote.

Dane Zimmerlie from Ladbrokes


LAWRENCE STAKES – BLACK HEART BART – Race 7 No.2 (Caulfield)
Thought he found the line well first-up behind Vega Magic and Voodoo Lad. He has a great second-up record winning and he is drawn to do no work. He looks the one to beat to me.
BEST – THE AUGUST – Race 5 No.4 (Caulfield)
Won his only two starts to date and got them on raw ability alone, having raced ungenerously in the run. He has trialled solidly for this and will get a good run just off the pace.
VALUE – CRAFTY DEVIL – Race 1 No.4 (Caulfield)
Comes here third-up for Darren Weir. He hit the line strongly last start at Mooney Valley in a race not run to suit. She gets on well with John Allen and looks over the odds at $26.
LAY – TONY NICCONI – Race 5 No.6 (Caulfield)
He was a four-length winner on debut at this track, but he didn’t beat much. He drops back 100m and faces tougher opposition here. Happy to oppose at short odds.
BACKED – BROOK MAGIC – Race 3 No.3 (Randwick)
Opened at $4.60 and was straight into $4 and has continued to firm into $3.70. Punters are expecting the drop back to the 1000m to suit this speed machine and we will be hoping they are wrong.

Gareth Phillips from Betstar


LAWRENCE STAKES – BLACK HEART BART – Race 7 No.2 (Caulfield)
This eight-year-old returned in good order after his break and strips fitter here. Placed in this race last year when first-up, but his best form is when running second-up.
BEST – JUST SHINE – Race 2 No.3 (Randwick)
Raqeeq had every possible chance to beat him last start. He meets him 4kg better at weights with the claim and should be able to turn the tables this time.
VALUE – INSENSATA – Race 8 No.8 (Randwick)
She sets up well to break through on Saturday off two smart finishing performances. Last prep when third-up she was only beaten 1-1/4 lengths by Daysee Doom, a similar effort here has her in the finish.
LAY – ALMANZORA – Race 3 No.8 (Randwick)
Progressive horse that had no luck at all when resuming. Coming back to 1000m doesn't seem ideal and will give these a big start with her tendency to miss away. Prefer to risk her at the skinny odds.
BACKED – PANZERFAUST – Race 1 No.14 (Randwick)
Punters haven't missed her unlucky second last start and have already charged to make her a nasty start to the day for us. She is $4.80 into $3.20 to win the Highway.

Thomas Hackett from Bookmaker.com.au

LAWRENCE STAKES – HARTNELL – Race 7 No.1 (Caulfield)
Hartnell’s best form in recent preparations has come fresh and James Cummings will have him ready for his return to the races, while a number of his main rivals will take big improvement from this run.
BEST – NAANTALI – Race 1 No.2 (Caulfield)
Her victory at Moonee Valley last start was impressive and she still has the scope to improve on that effort. She will get a lovely trail into this contest and can carry on her winning ways.
VALUE – WITHERSPOON – Race 6 No.7 (Caulfield)
Speedy Sydney filly chasing a black-type win south of the border. Dominant winner first-up then far from disgraced when grabbed late last time by Plague Stone. Takes catching here.
LAY – OOHOOD – Race 4 No.3 (Randwick)
Not questioning her ability but she has made a habit of finding trouble in races. There are some talented gallopers in this field and the $2.35 she is rock-bottom odds.
BACKED – SIEGE OF QUEBEC – Race 7 No 7 (Randwick)
His trials ahead of his return to racing have been excellent and he has been well-backed to upstage the Group I winner Le Romain in the Show County Quality.

James Thomas from Palmerbet


LAWRENCE STAKES – KINGS WILL DREAM – Race 7 No.11 (Caulfield)
Could not have been more impressive last prep where he won five straight in his first prep in Australia. This is a big step-up in grade but from the stable you know he is going to be ready for this assault.
BEST – SIEGE OF QUEBEC – Race 7 No.7 (Randwick)
Wasn’t disgraced last prep where he ran into Kementari. He flyies first-up and should get a comfortable run in the lead. He will be fit for this and sure to take a power of beating.
VALUE – SMART AMELIA – Race 8 No.10 (Randwick)
Really liked the way this mare attacked the line last start. Expecting her to drop back to last again but with genuine tempo up front and then storm home over the top of them. Think the $7 on offer is great value.
LAY – RILLITO – Race 2 No.3 (Caulfield)
Has found another strong affair after being narrowly beaten at odds on last start. She gets well back in her races with questionable speed up. Hanging around $2.30 is under the odds in this tough affair.
BACKED – GOLD AMBITION – Race 6 No.5 (Gold Coast)
As soon as the prices went up the punters stepped straight into the $4.60 about this runner. Has been backed into $3.40 is the best around for this runner now.

Wayne Symons from Unibet

LAWRENCE STAKES – SHOWTIME – Race 7 No.14 (Caulfield)
A tough race, resumed in the Missile in Sydney when given a sore back from Tommy Berry but still ran well despite racing keenly when restrained, hopefully they go forward and use his good speed.
BEST – ALMANZORA – Race 3 No.8 (Randwick)
Godolphin are airborne at the moment and this lightly raced four-year-old hasn’t won since her debut but looks very likeable in this ordinary affair. Speed looks good and she will settle closer than normal.
VALUE – SMART AMELIA – Race 8 No.10 (Randwick)
Has been racing in terrific form since her stable change and I like the wide draw as she gets back anyway. She’ll be able to get the outside here and charge home over the top, can’t miss each way at $7.
LAY – PANZERFAUST – Race 1 No.14 (Randwick)
This three-year-old filly hasn’t finished lower than third, however, she was beat in a Class I at Muswellbrook last start and now is going around as favourite in a Class 3 Highway, leave me out of that.
BACKED – RAQEEQ – Race 2 No.8 (Randwick)
Punters think that it’s this Chris Waller trained stayer’s turn to win and have stepped in and backed him from $4.60 into $3.10. I can’t agree with his current price but money speaks all languages.

Clint Wallis from Neds


LAWRENCE STAKES – SHOWTIME – Race 7 No.14 (Caulfield)
Resumed two weeks ago in the Missile Stakes behind Pierata. Was only a length off Brave Smash in a Group I over this track and distance in the autumn. Expect him to settle more forward here.
BEST – OSBORNE BULLS – Race 8 No.3 (Caulfield)
Resumes after a few impressive trials up in Sydney. Unbeaten from his two fresh runs and has a great record at 1200m. Will likely go back in the field but finishes races off so well that he can run them down.
VALUE – MILES OF KRISHNAN – Race 1 No.1 (Caulfield)
Has placed in all three of her first-up runs. No doubt she’s better suited over further but has trialled well leading in and if the speed is on up front, she is more than capable of finishing over the top of them.
LAY – ALMANZORA – Race 3 No.8 (Randwick)
Was unlucky first-up at Canterbury, where she settled at the back and struck interference on the home turn. Drops back to the 1000m here and steps up to Saturday grade. The $2.20 looks under the odds.
BACKED – PIPPIE – Race 6 No.10 (Caulfield)
Put in an excellent effort last start at Moonee Valley behind Multaja, and punters pounced as soon as the market for this race opened. Has been $5 into $4 since Wednesday, and the money continues to flow.

Matthew Campbell – BetEasy


LAWRENCE STAKES – GRUNT – Race 7 No.13 (Caulfield)
Was brilliant last prep winning everything including the Australian Guineas. Will be primed to pull out a big run fresh and is drawn to get a perfect run for Damian Oliver.
BEST – TONY NICCONI – Race 5 No.6 (Caulfield)
Absolutely bolted in on debut and while he may not have beaten much he won by four-lengths. Drops in weight and drawn to get the run of the race just in behind or outside the leader.
VALUE – NETHERFIELD – Race 9 No.15 (Caulfield)
Finished behind Mantastic second-up and gets to the mile where he is best suited. The claim brings him down to just 52kg on his home track so I think that he is over the odds.
LAY – SUNLIGHT – Race 6 No.1 (Caulfield)
No real knock on her, it is just such a deep race with form lines coming from all over the country. If I have to find a chink in her armour, she has been beaten on a soft track and there is some rain forecast.
BACKED – WINX – Race 6 No.10 (Randwick)
Despite there being plenty of people out there saying Kementari will beat her, that doesn’t transfer to the book. She’s clearly best backed. She’s been good to punters and the $1.20 looks a spoil to some.





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Saturday Tips from the bookies August 18 - tips for Australian racing

Australia’s leading bookmakers give their thoughts on this Saturday’s racing from around the country.

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