All-Star Mile Runners - Runner-by-Runner guide for the All-Star Mile

  • All-Star Mile runner-by-runner guide
Alizee.

The 2019 All-Star Mile field is finalised and the barrier draw has been released. The James Cummings-trained Alizee has drawn barrier 12 and will be ridden by Hugh Bowman.

Here is our runner-by-runner guide for the All-Star Mile.

1. HAPPY CLAPPER (9) - Patrick Webster, Blake Shinn, 59kg 
He was outstanding in the Group 1 Chipping Norton (1600m) behind Winx last start and deserves to be right in the market here. Blake Shinn rolled along in front and made it a proper race, running 5.4 lengths faster than class benchmark to the 600m. Although he has never won in Melbourne, he has either run well or come to the end of his preparations. His three starts at Flemington have included a terrific second in the Mackinnon Stakes (2000m) behind Tosen Stardom in 2017 and a fifth, despite bleeding in the Makybe Diva Stakes (1600m) last year. The big unknown is, that run in the Chipping Norton was a gut-buster and he wouldn’t be the first horse to race flat after giving Winx a race. 
Odds: $5.50 (Sportsbet)

2. HARTNELL (2) - James Cummings, William Buick, 59kg 
The eight-year-old war horse Hartnell has gained a wildcard entry into the All-Star Mile. He was good without being great, running third in the Group 1 Futurity Stakes (1400m) behind Alizee last start. Third-up last preparation he won the Epsom Handicap (1600m) defeating D’Argento and Unforgotten. Although my thoughts are that the horses drawn wide are at an advantage, I also don’t think Hartnell has the brilliance as an eight-year-old to loop the field and sprint past the likes of Alizee and Mystic Journey. From barrier two, he will need to avoid the slow ones coming back in his face, weaving a passage through the field will be his best winning chance.
Odds: $10.00 (Beteasy)

3. MATERIAL MAN (10) - Justin Warwick, Lucy Warwick, 59kg 
The Perth visitor is absolutely flying without having any luck this preparation. He was luckless in the C.F. Orr Stakes (1400m) first-up and was luckless again two starts ago in the Futurity Stakes (1400m). He went third-up in the Blamey Stakes (1600m) last start and pulled up with issues, an infection in his blood. I’ve said this at his last three starts but I simply can’t back Lucy Warwick in a Melbourne Group One. 
Odds: $34.00 (TAB)

4. GRUNT (15) - Mick Price, Damien Oliver, 59kg 
The early value in the race looks to be the Mick Price-trained Grunt. It’s simple, this horse needs a fast tempo to show his best. Looking at his two Group One victories, the Makybe Diva Stakes was run 6.9 lengths quicker than the Group One benchmark to the 600m and his Australian Guineas victory was run 11.2 lengths quicker then the benchmark to the 600m. I’m completely forgiving of his first-up run and am expecting big improvement. The leaders went 1.4 lengths slower than Group Three average to the 600m and he was never going to sprint with his 61.5kg. I’m confident of good speed in this race, with Hawkshot likely to go forward and ensure a good gallop, with Material Man and I wouldn’t be surprised if one of the syndicated horses rolls forward either. From barrier 15, he can blend into the race and is over the odds. 
Odds: $18.00 (Sportsbet)

5. MOSS ‘N’ DALE (6) - Peter Gelagotis, Jack Martin, 59kg 
He was very poor first-up in the C.F. Orr Stakes (1400m) just being outclassed in the grade. His recent trial at Cranbourne didn’t fill me with great confidence, as Cochada just flew straight past him under a strong hold over the final 100m. He maps well but $27 seems unders, I had him priced upwards of $61. 
Odds: $34.00 (TAB)

6. FOUNDRY (17) - Terry Kelly, John Allen, 59kg
The nine-year-old hasn’t raced since finishing third in the Bendigo Cup (2400m) back in 2017. His recent trial at Cranbourne was poor, goodluck to connections. 
Odds: $151.00 (Beteasy)
 
7. MAN OF HIS WORD (18) - Dean Krongold, Damien Thornton, 59kg 
The six-year-old got within 4.5 lengths of Fifty Stars last preparation at Sandown. He ran the quickest last 200m of the race first-up before putting in a shocker last start at Flemington. He’ll be out the back and could pick off a few late. Goodluck to connections.
Odds: $126.00 (Ladbrokes)

8. BALF’S CHOICE (3) - Ryan Balfour, Simon Price, 59kg 
The Wasabi Bob formlines from Adelaide don’t look the strongest in the race, he has a bit to find on his performances this preparation. Goodluck to connections.
Odds: $151.00 (Sportsbet)

9. MR MONEY BAGS (5) - Robbie Griffiths, Ben Melham, 59kg 
Mr Money Bags looks the best $151 chance in the race. He wasn’t far off Manolo Blahniq in the listed Chester Manifold (1400m) three starts ago. His last start third behind Thunder Cloud was solid and that race rated the best on the day. He maps well from barrier five and Ben Melham goes on, he can run midfield. Goodluck to connections.
Odds: $151.00 (Sportsbet)

10. URBAN RULER (8) - Chris Munce, Jamie Mott, 59kg 
He has beaten two horses home in two runs this preparation in Queensland. On his figures, he would need to improve 15.7 lengths to beat home Alizee. Goodluck to connections.
Odds: $201.00 (Ladbrokes)

11. ALIZEE (12) - James Cummings, Hugh Bowman, 57kg 
Alizee is making her case to be the second-best horse in Australia, having won impressively first-up before dominating the likes of Le Romain, Trapeze Artist and Hartnell in the Group 2 Expressway Stakes (1200m), sprinting home seven-lengths above the class benchmark for the final 600m. She was three-wide no cover last start in the Futurity Stakes (1400m) but I thought it was a terrific ride from Hugh Bowman. He rated her perfectly and sat much closer to a slow tempo. She still needed to be brave over the final furlong and was, holding off Malaguerra, Hartnell and Land Of Plenty. My small knock on her, is she is yet to prove she is as effective off a very fast early tempo but she has obviously gone to a new level this preparation so I can’t see that being an issue. From barrier 12 and a predicted solid early speed, she can get back with cover and should love the big open spaces of Flemington. I think she deserves to be favourite but the race doesn’t look a mere formality, as it did a month ago.
Odds: $3.60 (Neds)

12. HAWKSHOT (4) - David & B Hayes & T Dabernig, Mark Zahra, 56kg 
The final wildcard in the All-Star Mile was controversially given to ‘rising star’ Hawkshot, who ran well behind Mystic Journey in the Australian Guineas. He looks the speed in the race and is likely to run the field along, although he could improve, I can’t see him turning the tables on Mystic Journey.
Odds: $11.00 (Beteasy)

13. MYSTIC JOURNEY (16) - Adam Trinder, Anthony Darmanin, 54kg 
Mystic Journey is a special filly. I keep going back to her win on Cox Plate Day as it really does give me chills. She was three-wide the trip on a day where only Winx won three or more horses off the fence. She deadset belted Fundamentalist who went so close to beating The Autumn Sun a Group One last Saturday. She was ridden out of her comfort zone in the Australian Guineas but it was necessary to win the race, she ducked back towards the inside at the 350m and bolted through to beat Hawkshot and Amphitrite easily. She was given an outside ride by Anthony Darmanin, who copped a fine for overuse of the whip before the 100m. I love barrier 16, as she will get back and blend into the race with the likes of Alizee, avoiding the slower horses. She is a huge chance. 
Odds: $3.75 (TAB)

14. AMPHITRITE (14) - David & B Hayes & T Dabernig, Craig Williams, 54kg
Amphitrite seems like a horse who is at her right price at around the $11 quote. She has gone forward from good barriers in two runs this preparation but I would assume Craig Williams will go back from barrier 14. The last time she was ridden cold, she produced her booming finish to nab Fundamentalist in the Thousand Guineas. I thought she had every possible chance in the Australian Guineas and I’m struggling to see how she could turn the tables on Mystic Journey and to a lesser extent, Hawkshot.  
Odds: $11.00 (Sportsbet)

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All-Star Mile Runners - Runner-by-Runner guide for the All-Star Mile

The 2019 All-Star Mile field is finalised and the barrier draw has been released. The James Cummings-trained Alizee has drawn barrier 12 and will be ridden by Hugh Bowman.

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