ANZAC Day Racing Tips - Best bets for Flemington and Randwick

ANZAC Day racing focuses on Flemington and Randwick and our form analysts pick out the best bets to be backing.


With the VRC St Leger, ANZAC Day Stakes and ANZAC Day Cup among the feature races on Thursday's racing, you have plenty of chances to land a winner or two.

We've picked out the best chances in Melbourne and Sydney.

Flemington


Race 1 - 1:00pm William Newton VC Handicap (2520m)
The David Brideoake-trained SELF SENSE is the horse to beat in the opening race on the program at Flemington. He was gearing up for the jumps at the start of this preparation but those plans have been put on hold, as he earnt a ticket to the Caulfield Cup with a terrific victory in the Mornington Cup two starts ago. He went to Randwick and contested the Chairman’s Quality last start and his run was outstanding. He sat wide with no cover for the duration of the 2600m event and still finished only two-lengths off Gallic Chieftain and Shaaroh. He gets D.Oliver from L.Nolen and his peak figure of 12.5 lengths above benchmark is the best in the race. The horse with the best last start figure of the race is the John Sadler-trained Observational. He went 11.1 lengths above benchmark and savaged the line, running the fastest last 200m of the race (11.54s). He is on the quick back-up from Saturday and a drastic improvement wouldn’t surprise me at 26/1. There is no doubt that the Liam Howley-trained Bass is the main danger. He was huge first-up against the pattern of the day at Sandown, sitting back off the speed on a day where four of the eight winners led. He ran the 17th-fastest last 200m, fifth-fastest last 400m and 19th-fastest last 600m of the meeting. I thought that although the run was huge, the winner All Too Huiying did run eight-lengths above benchmark to the 600m, giving Bass a chance to run on. He is a big chance but is just too short at the current quote for me. 

Race 5 - 3:25pm Auckland Racing Club Trophy (1400m)
I’m very keen on the John Sadler-trained BIG NIGHT OUT, who exploded away to win at Sandown like a very good horse last start. The slowly run race first-up over 1200m didn’t suit him first-up but he really improved from the mounting yard off the back of that performance and up to 1400m was ideal last start. He was the winner a long way out in that race and really showed a brillant turn of foot, running the fastest last 200m and 400m of the meeting and also the third-fastest last 600m of the meeting. His figure of 6.3 lengths above benchmark for the final 600m indicates he is a horse with a very good turn of foot. Third-up last preparation was here at Flemington over the 1400m, he finished only a length behind Wild Planet and Ranier, improving almost ten-lengths from his second-up performance to record a figure of 7.3 lengths above benchmark. He doesn’t need to improve as significantly third-up this preparation to be winning but a repeat of that trending improvement, at this track and distance should see him going very close. M.Dee on from barrier five, I’m extremely keen.

Race 7 - 4:35pm The Les Carlyon (1710m)
No surprise to see the early support for MANTASTIC, the $5.00 that a few bookies went up was clearly the wrong price and he has been backed early. He comes through the Golden Mile at Bendigo which looks a very good form reference for a race like this. He finished as the runner-up behind Haripour and the horses behind him include (4th) Mahamedeis who has since won an open grade at Caulfield, (5th) Odeon who has finished fourth in the G3 Easter Cup, (7th) Plein Ciel, finished third behind Mahamedeis then won the G3 Easter Cup, (10th) Morton’s Fork, third in the Easter Cup and Furrion (13th) who finished second in the Easter Cup. He goes from M.Walker to M.Dee which is a positive and only goes up 1kg on that Golden Mile performance. He maps well from barrier five and although he will be giving the second favourite Call Me Handsome a start, the long Flemington straight should suit perfectly.  

Randwick


Race 3 - 1:55PM BATTLE OF AMIENS PLATE (1200 METRES)
Two horses I like her but I’m leaning toward the John O’Shea-trained TWENTYFOUR CARAT. This I Am Invincible colt really impressed at the trials last year and put in an eye-catching run on debut when charging home from the rear to grab 3rd place. James McDonald rode him in a recent trial where he jumped best but was restrained immediately to take cover before working home nicely. McDonald goes aboard Reloaded who is by Snitzel and out of the classy mare Hollow Bullet, and while I think she may turn out to be the best horse in the race, I’m not sure she’s suited first-up over 1200m from a wide gate – look for her next time. 
Race 5 - 3:10PM ANZAC DAY CUP (1800 METRES)
Again, tossing up between two runners but happy to take on the favourites here. White Boots is favourite but I think HOGMANAY can turn the tables after finishing 1.2 lengths away and now meeting that galloper 1kg better at the weights. I tipped Hogmanay last time but wasn’t sure if he just needed one more run. He hit the line best in his final 100m and looks perfectly suited stepping up in trip seeing his last win was at this track and trip. MILSEAIN has been impressive at his past two and just knows how to attack the line. My concern is Sam Clenton can’t claim her allowance as her natural riding weight is 56.5kg, and that gets Milseain in poorly at the weights. Sticking with Hopgmanay at juicier odds.
Race 7 - 4:20PM BATTLE OF MESSINES HANDICAP (1400 METRES)
WOLFE did enough in his first campaign to show he was above average when winning his maiden impressively and then taking out a BM64 next start as he defeated Savvy Ken who franked the form with a win next start. He was desperately in need of his first trial this time in as he dropped out to a clear last behind Music Magnate, but he improved at his next outing and kicked back for 2nd behind Grey Lion who won the Group 3 JRA Plate (2000m) at Randwick last Saturday. He was less than impressive when 3rd behind Happy Clapper and Declarationofheart in another barrier trial, but with a month since that piece of work, he’s sure to have come on and now finds a winnable first-up assignment. 


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ANZAC Day Racing Tips - Best bets for Flemington and Randwick

ANZAC Day racing focuses on Flemington and Randwick and our form analysts pick out the best bets to be backing.

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