Canterbury Stakes Betting Tips - How does history help us find the winner?

  • What are the recent trends in the Canterbury Stakes?
Chautauqua missed out in the 2017 Canterbury Stakes behind Le Romain

The Canterbury Stakes (1300m) is one of the features at Randwick on Saturday March and was granted Group 1 status in 2013, the year that Pierro took out the $500,000 affair as even money favourite. 

The Canterbury Stakes was always run at Canterbury Park Racecourse but after the Australian Jockey Club and the Sydney Turf Club merged it was shifted to Rosehill as part of some program changes at the time. 

It was held at that course from 2004 until 2013 (in 2008 it was held at Canterbury) and since then it has been held at the Randwick Racecourse.

Asides from Pierro, some other notable names that feature on the honour roll include More Joyous (2011/2012), All Our Mob (1997), Placid Ark (1987) and Manikato (1982). The popular galloper, Happy Clapper, won the event last year before going on to take out the Doncaster 

This year's edition of the race pits a small but select field up against one another and it is Trapeze Artist that heads the early betting at $2.80 ahead of Pierata ($4.20) and Kementari ($4.40). Shoals is a $7.50 chance, while Brutal is at $8. Fell Swoop ($16), Prompt Response ($34) and Cool Passion ($34) make up the field. 

So just which horse will take out the Canterbury Stakes on Saturday? If we analyse the trends of the race since the year 2000 we can narrow the result down to a few contenders. 

For those that are keen to back Trapeze Artist, keep in mind that the race has generally been a good one for favourites with nine of the 19 winners since 2000 scoring as the popular elect. 

Shogun Lodge ($21 in 2001) is the only galloper to score above $7.50 in that time period. Happy Clapper scored as a $4.60 favourite las year, while in 2017, Chautauqua missed out as a $3.75 chance to Le Romain ($4.50). The average price of the winning horses has been just $4.85. 

Patrick Webster and Kris Lees are the recent winning trainers in the race but it is Gai Waterhouse that has been the most successful trainer in the period since 2000. The leading lady has trained a lazy five winners since 2000. 

Team Hawkes have also enjoyed plenty of success since 2000, claiming the Canterbury Stakes on four occasions with Yell (2004), Paratroopers (2006), Malcolm (2007) and Mentality (2007). They saddle up Brutal this year. 

Brutal is the sole three-year-old in the race this year and horses in that age bracket have won the race on five occasions since 2000, as have the five-year-olds. 

Four-year-olds have been the most successful with six winners. Trapeze Artist, Pierata, Kementari and Shoals are the horses aged four this year. 

With the changing conditions in the race it is difficult to pinpoint the ideal lead up form over the years. Contenders this year come from a wide variety of races, however, it is worth noting that 13 of the past 14 winners had raced at least once in the weeks before the Canterbury Stakes when they won. More Joyous in 2012 was the only galloper in that time period to win when resuming. 

This year, Pierata, Shoals and Prompt Response are all first up after spells, while Trapeze Artist, Kementari and Brutal are second up. 

Selection according to trends. 

On trends it is hard to split Trapeze Artist and Brutal but I am inclined to go with the former as favourites have a good record in this race. 


*Over 18s only. Wagering requirements apply. State exclusions apply to some offers. Exc. NSW, SA, WA & VIC. Please read the T&Cs of each offer with each bookmaker.

News Stream

Canterbury Stakes - news, tips and betting advice

Share this with your friends

Your comments:

Canterbury Stakes Betting Tips - How does history help us find the winner?

What are the recent trends in the Canterbury Stakes?

Read more »

You have unread messages

You have unread messages