Caulfield Cup Tips - Star to emerge at Caulfield

  • How do we line up the international form?
  • Will a local salute?
Youngstar (R) finishes 2nd to Winx in the Turnbull Stakes

Sydney’s leading trainer, Chris Waller, can claim his first win in the Caulfield Cup (2400m) on Saturday with Youngstar representing the stable.

Waller along with five other Australian-based trainers face a tough ask trying to fend off the international raiders from Japan, the UK and New Zealand.

This is such a tough race to line up with the international form, and apart from The Cliffsofmoher, we are yet to see what Best Solution, Chestnut Coat, Sound Check, Duretto, Red Verdon and Sole Impact can do on Australian soil. 

Each are world-class stayers with strong form around 2400m and longer, but it really is a guessing game as to which can perform best in their Australian debut. 

In the past 10 years, overseas-trained horses and imports have dominated the Caulfield Cup with four winners and 12 placegetters – that’s 16 from 30 placings.

There was little splitting Best Solution and Sound Check in the Group 1 Von Berlin (2400m) and that form can be lined up around Defoe who was beaten by a similar margin by The Cliffsofmoher in the Tatts Gold Cup (2112m).

Duretto was beaten less than a length by Best Solution in the Princess Of Wales Stakes (2414m), While Red Verdon was narrowly beaten by Defoe but defeated The Cliffsofmoher in the Hardwicke Stakes (2406m).

The European form is extremely even, and luck in running is likely to determine which horse finishes best.

The Japanese pair have run quick time over this trip on Firm tracks in Japan, but neither of them have won first-up and the Melbourne Cup looks their main target – look for them running on late.

As far as the Australian-trained horses go, Night’s Watch and Youngstar really appeal. 

Night’s Watch drops 7kg on his most recent run in the Caulfield Stakes (2000m) where Benbatl won in super quick time (2:00.84).

The Turnbull Stakes (2000m) was won by Winx in slower time (2:01.60), but they went slow early, and the wonder mare had to run the quickest 800m, 600m, 400m and 200m sectionals of the day to claim her 28th consecutive victory. 

Youngstar’s three final 200m splits for the race where in 10.91, 10.99 and 11.08 and she drops 3kg on Saturday while meeting Kings Will Dream half a kilogram worse at the weights. 

Night’s Watch’s last two runs at Caulfield over 2000m have been finished off in 11.45, 11.18 and 11.51 then 11.20, 11.28 and 11.83 and considering his previous win was with less weight with a slower early tempo, I don’t think he can match the sprint of Youngstar late.

She’s likely to slot in and get a soft run four or five pair back in the running line, and if she can wind up at the right time, she’ll be strong though the line based on her Oaks win and Derby placing. 

Kings Will Dream looms as the big danger, and he may have just peaked late last start, while Weir’s other runner, Gallic Chieftain also has strong form behind The Taj Mahal in the JRA Cup (2040m) and was only five lengths off Yukatan in the Herbert Power (2400m) in quick time. 

This is such a tough race and luck in running will play a big part, but you can’t knock Winx form and with an eye-catching 2nd to the superstar mare last start, Youngstar looks hard to beat. 


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Caulfield Cup Tips - Star to emerge at Caulfield

Sydney’s leading trainer, Chris Waller, can claim his first win in the Caulfield Cup (2400m) on Saturday with Youngstar representing the stable.

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