Champagne Stakes Betting Tips - How does history help us find the winner?

  • The majority of previous Champagne winners have come out of the Sires Produce, with eight completing the double since 2000
  • A good race for favourites, however, four have been rolled as 'odds-on' pops in recent times
  • Important to draw between barrier's 1 to 7. 
Pierro claimed the Triple Crown in 2012

The Champagne Stakes (1600m) is the final leg of the Sydney Triple Crown for the two-year-olds and has been won by some quality gallopers in recent times, including Pierro in 2012 and Dance Hero in 2004. 

The Group 1 feature has been a permanent fixture on the Sydney racing calendar since 1861 and has also been taken out by Luskin Star (1977), Vain (1969) and Flight (1943). 

When trying to find a winner in the Randwick mile race, there are a few things to take into account and if we have a look at the history of the race since the year 2000 it reveals the following trends. 

The race has attracted plenty of short priced favourite’s and since 2000, nine of the 18 winners have started as the popular elect, making it a good race for favourite backers. 

Pasadena Girl won as a $2.75 chance in 2015, while Guelph scored at the odds of $2.50 in 2013. Five of the past seven editions of the race have been won by the favourite. The Mission scored as a $9 chance last year on a Heavy track. The $1.90 chance, Invader, finished runner-up. 

Of the five horses to have started at less than $2 since 2000, only one of those have won and that was Pierro in 2011, who scored at $1.22. Manhattan Rain (2009), Sebring (2008) and Camarilla (2007), were the gallopers to go down as 'odds on' pops in that time. That trio were defeated by Onemorenomore ($12), Samantha Miss ($6) and Meurice ($6) respectively. 

This year, there are three horses vying for favouritism in early markets with ladbrokes and they are Outrageous, Not A Single Cent and Seabrook. All are currently at $5.50. Long Leaf is a $7.50 chance, while last start Sires Produce (1400m) winner, El Dorado Dreaming is at $9.50, significantly lower than the quote she started at in her recent win. 

Only two favourites have finished out of the top 3 in the Champagne Stakes since 2000 and they were Peggy Jean, who ran 5th as a $3.25 chance in 2014, while Benetau was 6th as a $4.50 chance in 2009. 

The average price of the winning horses has been $6 and there have only been two winners to have paid double figure odds or better. 
Outrageous finished 3rd behind El Dorado Dreaming in the Sires, while Long leaf (4th), Encryption (6th), Bondi (7th), Ragged Rascal (8th), Seabrook (9th), Not A Single Cent (10th) and Seberate (11th) also come out of that race. 

14 of the past 18 Champagne Stakes winners had their previous start in the Sires, including The Mission, who ran 6th in the 1400m race last year. 

Of the 14 winners that have come out of the Sires, eight have completed the double, auguring well for El Dorado Dreaming. 

Champagne winners to come out of other lead ups include Prized Icon, who won the Fernhill Handicap (1600m) in 2016, while Go Indy Go came out of the SA Sires Produce (1400m) at Morphetville, when she won in 2014. Carry On Cutie had her previous run in the Magic Night Stakes (1200m), when she scored in 2005. 

16 of the 18 winners have drawn between barrier's 1-7 and the average field size has been 10 runners. The most successful barrier has been No.6, which has provided five winners. Akkadian is in that position this year, while Guerrier, Bondi, Outrageous, Irukandji and Not A Single Cent are inside him. 

The most successful trainers in the race have been Gai Waterhouse and Peter Snowden. That pair have combined for eight winners. Only Snowden, in combination with his son Paul Snowden, have a runner this year and that horse is Bondi. 
Of the hoops, Hugh Bowman, Kerrin McEvoy, Nash Rawiler and Lenny Beasley have all won the race on two occasions since 2000. Bowman is on Encryption this year, while McEvoy steers Long Leaf. 

Finally, it is interesting to note that fillies have a great record in this race, winning seven of the past 16, despite being underrepresented. El Dorado Dreaming and Seabrook are the girls in this year’s edition. 

Selection according to trends. 

Definitely go with the Sires Produce form. El Dorado Dreaming may be the one, despite lobbing at a high price last time. 

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Champagne Stakes Betting Tips - How does history help us find the winner?

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