Golden Rose Tips - Who does history point towards winning?

  • Favoured runners have dominated the Golden Rose since 2000
Exosphere took out the Golden Rose in 2015

The Golden Rose (1400m) is one of the biggest races on the calendar for the three-year-olds and carries prizemoney of $1 million. 

The Rosehill Group 1 has been won by some top gallopers in the past including The Autumn Sun (2018), Epaulette (2012), Forensics (2008) and Paratroopers (2005). The race has been run over the 1400m distance since 2003 and has carried Group 1 status since 2009. 

Using the results since 2000 as a guide to picking the winner, it has been a bit of a mixed one for favourite backers. The likes of Astern (2016), Exosphere (2015), Denman (2009) and Duporth (2008) saluted as favourites but Trapeze Artist ($41), Epaulette ($13) and In Top Swing ($19 in 2003) are among some of those to have won at a decent price. 

Graff came 3rd as a $2.90 favourite last year as did Menari, who started as a $2.70 popular elect in 2017. The average price of the winning horses since the year 2000 is $9.10. 

This year, Bivouac is the favourite in early markets with Ladbrokes at the $3 quote ahead of Exceedance at $4.20 and Yes Yes Yes at $5. Those three filled the trifecta in the recent Run To The Rose. Kubrick is a $10 chance and was 4th in that lead up, while Dawn Passage ($26) was 5th. 

The $34 chance, Prince Fawaz also comes out of the Run To The Rose and was 6th.  Yao Dash is the fresh horse on the scene and claimed a BenchMark 72 ahead of the subsequent Tea Rose Stakes (1200m) winner, Funstar, at his last start. The Gai Waterhouse and Adrian Bott runner is a $6.50 shot. The only other runner in the field is Castlevecchio, who ran 4th in the Dulcify (1500m) and is at the $9.50

Five of the past seven winners have come out of the Run To The Rose with Astern, Exosphere and Hallowed Crown winning both. Astern and Exosphere were Godolphin gallopers, as is the race favourite, Bivouac. 

The past two winners have come out of the Stan Fox Stakes (1500m), auguring well for Castlevecchio, who drops in distance from the 1500m. 

Last year's winner, The Autumn Sun, was trained by Chris Waller, who has won the Golden Rose twice. His other winner was Zoustar back in 2013. He saddles up Yes Yes Yes and Kubrick this year. 

The Waterhouse and Bott team also take two runners into the race in Dawn Passage and Yao Dash. This has been a race that has eluded Waterhouse. James Cummings is the trainer of Bivouac and had success when teaming with his late Grandfather, Bart, in 2014 with Hallowed Crown. 

John Hawkes won with Paratroopers in 2004 and teams with his sons, Michael and Wayne. They have Exceedance. Peter Snowden has been the most successful trainer since 2000, preparing Forensics, Denman and Epaulette but has no runner this year. 

The most successful jockey in the race has been Hugh Bowman with wins aboard, In Top Swing (2003), Doonan (2004), Duporth (2008) and Hallowed Crown 2014. Kerrin McEvoy and James McDonald are other multiple winners. McEvoy is aboard Prince Fawaz, while McDonald steers Kubrick. 

Finally, when looking at the barrier draw for the contenders, keep in mind that winners have been able to come from a variety of position's in this race. The past two have drawn widest. 

Barrier 1 has provided three winners, while two have jumped from barrier 8. Kubrick and Dawn Passage have drawn those spots. 

Summary based on trends since the year 2000:

Bivouac ticks enough boxes. He comes out of the correct lead up, while Godolphin and his trainer have had success in this race before. 

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Golden Rose Tips - Who does history point towards winning?

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