Horses To Follow - Blackbookers from Saturday's New South Wales Racing

  • Blackbookers to catch the eye in NSW
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Randwick

Saturday racing in New South Wales produces several blackbookers to take forward into coming weeks and we pick out the best each week.

From winners of feature races to unlucky loses and first up gallopers outrunning expectations, we select three or four horses each week to add to your blackbook from New South Wales' Saturday racing.

We use the selections to build up future horse racing selections and tips in our blackbookers file of horses to follow, and mark out possible picks for our free daily racing tips.

You can also follow our Barrier Trial blackbookers in New South Wales here as well as get our weekly selections for  Saturday racing in New South Wales with Randwick betting tips, Rosehill betting tips, Kembla Grange betting tips and Newcastle betting tips.

Here are some horses to put in your blackbook:

Horses to follow from Rosehill on July 28


SHARPE HUSSLER
What a run from the Cameron Crockett-trained son of Husson. He was back near last as they straightened, and despite being slightly held up in early in the straight, he absolutely motored home to edge out Condor Heroes. He was very disappointing first-up and then went to the trials before winning second-up at Dubbo. He had another trial at Dubbo before going to Rosehill on Saturday, so he should still have plenty of upside and can be followed in his next few starts. 

GROUNDBREAK
Most eyes were on Paret who scored impressively, but I think Groundbreak was the star performer. The son of All Too Hard was caught four wide early and had to go back a bit further to get in three wide with cover. He lost some ground on Paret who stuck to the rails on the turn, but Ground break was again closing hard for 3rd despite covering ground in the run. 

ISTRIA 
The James Cummings-trained filly, Istria, and Bjorn Baker’s Smart Amelia really closed off strongly to finish 2nd and 3rd respectively, but with far more upside, Istria is the one to follow. She was coming off a 19-week spell and then another 13 weeks off following a barrier trial. She trialled at Rosehill on July 9 and did enough, but she was always going to take plenty of improvement from a run or two. That run should bring her on and she’ll be better suited stepping up to 1400m.


Horses to follow from Randwick on July 21


JOUNAMA
This four-year-old daughter of Zoffany might need something a bit easier but she impressed with a close-up 3rd placing two starts back over 1200m and was charging home late on Saturday over 1400m. She’s rock-hard-fit and has another good win in her this in campaign.

BELLA SUCCESS
The Chris Waller-trained filly has placed in three of four runs this campaign and looked a bit unlucky on Saturday. After drifting back to find cover from the wide gate, she settled at the rear and didn’t have the best luck in the straight where she really only got clear in the last 150m and started to charge at them. If she can draw a gate next time, she can win. 

SEPOY ACHEVA
Don’t drop off this mare that I blackbooked a couple weeks ago. She charged home over 1600m on that occasion but peaked on her run late which is probably why she tackled a 1400m event on Saturday. But she clearly needs a mile to run on effectively, and with four runs under her belt this time in, she should be ready to peak next start. 


Horses to follow from Rosehill on July 14


DUCHESS PEDRILLE 
Ron Quinton’s four-year-old daughter of Hinchinbrook put in an eye-catching run when charging home from the rear to grab 3rd place. She settled rearward from the wide gate and had to change course a few times in the straight but was hitting the line better than anything. This was her second run from a spell, and considering she was tested at Group 3 level when fifth-up last campaign, I expect her to continue to improve and she’ll take some beating over a similar trip next time.

PARET 
Another one that settled rearward from and outside gate and really motored home to grab 3rd place. The Chris Waller-trained Harbour Watch gelding was tested at Group 2 level last preparation and looks to have come back in great order. He’ll improve over more ground and it may pay to stick with him this time in. 

GREEN SWEET 
This former French galloper was giving a lot of weight to some handy horses but still hit the line better than anything over an unsuitably short trip. He defeated Cool Chap in the Albury Gold Cup (2000m) last autumn, and with three runs under his belt this campaign, he should be ready to step up in trip next time. 


Horses to follow from Randwick on July 7


SEPOY ACHEVA
This daughter of Sepoy looks ready to win now. She only carries a 65 rating and has won just one start from 17, but Chris Waller has her contesting BM84 and BM81 events at her past two starts. The way she worked home from last to grab 2nd place was encouraging, and she’d be highly competitive in a race over the same distance next time.  She’s not quite there in the coat and that run over a mile would have tightened her up.

CURRAGH
The Trent Busuttin and Natalie Young-trained son of Tavistock put in arguably the best performance of the day for any beaten runner. He was snagged back to the tail from the wide gate, but when the pace slackened up front, he was never going to be suited. He struggled to find clear running in the straight and only got clear and balance up at the 175m mark where he picked up strongly to grab 3rd place. With five runs under his belt this campaign, he couldn’t be any fitter, and he’s worth sticking with next time in a similar event. 

INVICTUS PRINCE 
Matthew Smith’s import was having his first Australian start, and although his best form in Europe is around 2400m, he looked quite sharp and was really attacking the line over an unsuitable 1300m journey. He should only improve over more ground, and I’m keen to stick with him this preparation. 


Horses to follow from Rosehill on June 30


ASTERIUS 
The Chris Waller-trained Sepoy gelding has shown he is ultra-consistent with three wins and two placings from five starts, and his second-up win on Saturday was very impressive. He was still last as they straightened but showed a superior turn of foot to mow them down and was running away with it as they crossed the line. On times, he improved by four lengths when third-up last campaign, so he should go on with it next time in a similar event up to 1600m.

CELTIC LOVE
Marc Conner’s mare came into this race at big odds ($31) and looked a bit unlucky as she kept getting gaps closed on her as she tried to build momentum down the straight. She’s not a push-button type and needs to wind up gradually, and if she can get to the outside next time and have an uninterrupted run, she’ll go close over a similar trip.

LIAPARI
There was no more impressive winner on Saturday than Lipari. He was a million to one chance of picking up the leader with 150m to go, but he jumped out of the ground late to score. The Nom de Jeu gelding has been struggling for form this campaign, hence the $41 odds on offer. But it’s likely he didn’t like being stretched out to 2000m so quickly and the freshen-up and drop back in trip (1450m) saw a much-improved effort. His best form is around 1600m, and he’s ready to tackle that trip next time and prove hard to beat. 


Horses to follow from Randwick on June 23


RIO DE JANEIRO
The Peter and Paul Snowden-trained More Than Ready colt may have finished back in 6th place, but he came down the slower part of the track (inside) while the first five home were all out wide. He came from last on the turn and beat the other pair on the inside by a length. Having won his maiden and then finished a respectable 3rd in a BM64 at Hawkesbury, Saturday’s assignment was clearly his toughest test, and with that experience over 1200m, he can go on with it next time. 

HIGH MIST
Following two average barrier trials and a poor first-up run, trainer Chris Waller gave High Mist another six weeks between runs and he’s really fired with two strong victories. This was a 10 out of 10 ride by Tye Angland, but the way the horse finished off and was pulling away from them with every stride toward the lines suggests he has some more wins in store. I don’t think he gets further than a mile so anything from 1400m to 1600m looks ideal next time.

SHE KNOWS
This most-consistent Denman filly has a great record over 1000m at Randwick, and although she’ll go up in the weights or have to tackle stronger company, she’s up to the task. She’s proven on Good to Heavy ground and has shown versatility in the run – stick with her. 

Horses to follow from Roshill on June 16


NICCI’S GOLD
Another big result for us on Saturday with Nicci’s Gold saluting at $12 after going in the black book off her first-up run. Usually, I’d prefer to discard a horse from the black book when we’ve collected, but this daughter of Nicconi still has plenty of upside and can keep winning. Stick with her for another run or two – she owes us nothing. 

I AM AWESOME 
The Kris Lees-trained I Am Invincible mare came to the city with brilliant country form, and she was unlucky not to finish a lot closer. Brenton Avdulla let her settle at the rear, and she didn’t have the best of luck in the straight and kept getting interrupted when trying to make her run as she finished in 8th place. Her best form is over 1600m and I’d love to see her over that trip again next time. 

MALAHAT
What a run from the Godolphin horse! After jumping well from barrier 11, Brenton Avdulla had to restrain Malahat to try and find cover, and unfortunately, the pair where caught three wide for the trip. They kept getting shuffled back on the turn, struggled to find clear running in the straight, but when Malahat went through a tight gap, he really attacked the line better than anything else. That was his third run this campaign, and his first in five weeks, and it’s interesting to note he contested a Group 2 race when fourth-up previously and was only 3.4 lengths from Merchant Navy when fifth-up in the Group 1 Coolmore Classic (1200m) last campaign. Looks set to peak next start or the start after, so stick with him off that enormous run. 






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MORE HORSES TO FOLLOW: Our latest blackbookers from Victoria and the latest horses to follow from Queensland.

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Horses To Follow - Blackbookers from Saturday's New South Wales Racing

Looking for horses to black book each Saturday? We pick out the best each week from the metropolitan meeting in New South Wales.

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