Saturday Racing Preview - The Championships Day 1

  • Preview of all 10 races for The Championships Day 1
  • The Speed Maps for every race 
  • What horses will be Most and Least Advantaged? 
Redzel is a hot favourite for the Group 1 T.J. Smith Stakes (1200m).

Day 1 of The Championships takes place at Royal Randwick on Saturday, April 7, with more than $10 million in prizemoney up for grabs on the 10-race programme.

The $3 million Doncaster Mile (1600m) will be the highlight of the day, while the TJ Smith Stakes (1200m), Australian Derby (2400m) and Inglis Sires’ (1400m) showcase Sydney Group 1 racing at its best.

We Preview all 10 races and take a look at the all-important Speed Maps for all races on the card. We predict the tempo of the race and which horses will be most and least advantaged. 


Race 1 - KINDERGARTEN STAKES (1100m) 

The first favourite Enbihaar does look like the class two-year-old in the field. The Magnus Filly defeated Oohood and Seabrook in the Blue Diamond Prelude (1100m). She was forced to sit wide from barrier 16 in the Blue Diamond and still ran a terrific second behind Written By, despite her run peaking the final 100m. She maps well and goes back from 1200m to 1100m which is a positive. Stephen Baster goes back aboard Ennis Hill. She has been disappointing in her two runs since winning the Group 3 Chairman's Stakes (1000m) in emphatic fashion. I’m not convinced she is a six-furlong horse and drops back to 1100m for this race. Legend Of Condor has the Sydney form that includes a narrow defeat behind Santos and Spin in the Group 2 Skyline Stakes (1200m). He should lead for Jockey Mark Zahra and be hard to run down. 
Speed Map Says:
This is the smallest field on what is, a marathon day but it certainly isn’t the easiest Speed Map to put together. Mandalong Emperor, Stunts and Enbihaar can all go either forward or back. I have Legend of Condor leading from barrier eight, with Enbihaar sliding across to sit outside him. Munich gets the run behind the leader and Ennis Hill lands the perfect one-out and one-back trail. Lean Mean Machine and Mandalong Emperor are the next pair back, with Stunts, Vendome and Paquirri tailing the field. 
Most Advantaged: 
Ennis Hill
Munich 
Enbihaar 
Least Advantaged:
Vendome
Mandalong Empeor


Race 2 - CARBINE CLUB STAKES (1600m) 

Ciaron Maher could return to the winner's stalls very quickly with Villermont. He took out the Sandown Guineas in impressive fashion over the Spring Carnival but has failed on paper this preparation. He was baulked for a run and too far back first-up in the Autumn Stakes (1400m). Second-up he covered extra ground plenty of extra ground in the Australian Guineas (1600m) and still battled on to finish a close-up fourth. He was keen last start in the Rosehill Guineas (2000m) and probably just raced too fresh for that distance. He drops back to the Mile, which I believe is his pet distance. Beau Geste was disappointing last start, just battling home behind Osbourne Bulls after a cracking run first-up. He gets to a Mile now which can only be a positive. He has had two starts over the distance for a fourth, beaten 0.6 lengths behind Levendi in the Carbine Club on Derby Day and a fourth behind Villermont in the Sandown Guineas. Holy Snow was just edged out by Unforgotten last start in the Group 2 Phar Lap Stakes (1500m) at Rosehill. That form is good enough to win. 
Speed Map Says: 
No real surprise here. The Gai Waterhouse runner Sondelon should clearly take up the running from Icon of Dubai who will roll forward from an outside barrier. There isn’t much early speed from middle barriers so my Speed Map has Dissolution getting the one-one trail despite drawing barrier nine. Angel’s Boy can sit behind the leader with Sambro three-back the fence. Beau Geste and Villermont can both settle a little closer to the speed from perfect barriers. The likes of Muraaqeb, Holy Snow and Assimilate should all go back at the start.
Most Advantaged: 
Beau Geste
Dissolution 
Villermont 
Least Advantaged:
Muraaqeb
Icon Of Dubai


Race 3 - P J BELL STAKES (1200m) 

The Godolphin-trained Demerara looks extremely well suited here. The Commands Filly has won two from two this preparation including an ultra-impressive win first-up at Moonee Valley after being cast three-wide the trip. She still went to the line with plenty in hand. She was backed for a stack down the straight at Flemington second-up and the result was never really in doubt, proving too good for Ploverset. I have a hunch she is better the Sydney way of going and I’m excited to see her around a bend in Sydney. Stepping up to the 1200m for the first time this preparation suits and she maps perfectly. The Blue Diamond winner Catchy finally gets a race to suit. In her four runs since the Caulfield Guineas, she has contested the Coolmore Stud Stakes, Oakleigh Plate, Newmarket Handicap and William Reid. In all four races, she has had almost no winning chance due to either the Speed Map or bad luck. She put the writing on the wall last start in the Group 1 William Reid (1200m), charging to the line behind Hellbent and Thronum. With the likes of Houtzen, True Excelsior, Warranty and Dinnigan all going forward, this should set it up for Catchy to come storming home. She drops in grade and is a huge winning chance despite the big weight. Rotterdam and She’s So High are also winning chances.
Speed Map Says:
This is the real theme of the day. These big competitive fields make for great racing, however, doing these Speed Maps can give me nosebleeds. Houtzen has the speed to burn across and lead from a middle gate. True Excelsior can sit on her outside. Warranty gets the one-one spot with Dinnigan behind the leader. Debonairly is cast three-wide with Problem Solver out four-deep. Manicure is three-wide with cover and the favourite Demerara gets the perfect trail one-out and two back. Rotterdam gets her back with the second favourite She’s So High trailing Rotterdam. Banish will get back on the fence with Frolic. Catchy finally gets a map to suit. 
Most Advantaged: 
Demerara (3 Votes)
Catchy 
Rotterdam
She’s So High
Least Advantaged: 
Houtzen
Problem Solver 
Debonairly 
Frolic


Race 4 - COUNTRY CHAMPIONSHIP (1400m) 

It’s a minor miracle Don’t Give A Damn is here, with trainer Danny Williams saying only 10 days ago, “He was almost 100% not running”. Williams was referring to the Country Championship heat as Muswellbrook last Sunday. The 1280m trip wasn’t ideal and after jumping only fairly, Jockey Kerrin McEvoy had to push him through to lead. He hit a flat spot at the 300m mark, which he often does, but drew away for a comfortable two-length victory. The talented four-year-old Bon Hoffa Gelding has won five races from seven starts and should be in the finish yet again. The logical danger is the top-rated runner Suncraze. You’d love to own him, he hasn’t finished further back than second in all twelve career starts. He took forever and a day to wind up last start at Scone as the $1.90 favourite and only just got there right on the wire. I can only imagine he’ll be right in the finish yet again. 
Speed Map Says: 
Don’t Give A Damn has the speed to lead at 1400m and can control the race from the front. Cosmologist sits on his outside with Snitz cast three-wide. O’ So Hazy gets the one-one with Ferniehirst on the leaders back. Good Host and Shelly Beach are the next pair, behind them are Bennelong Dancer and Caerless Choice. Victorem gets back a little worse than midfield with Pumpkin Pie on his back. I’m unsure where Acquittal gets to from the wide barrier. He has the speed to lead, but I can’t see Danny Williams instructing Jockey Jay Ford to go forward with stablemate Don’t Give A Damn already on-speed. The best case scenario for Acquittal is probably three-wide with some cover. Suncraze is next, with Sea Lady, Noel’s Gift and My Tagoson the final three.
Most Advantaged:
Victorem 
Don’t Give A Damn 
O’ So Hazy 
Least Advantaged:
Acquittal 
Snitz 
Sea Lady


Race 5 - CHAIRMAN'S QUALITY HANDICAP (2600m) 

The obvious form reference for this race is the Group 3 Manion Cup (2400m) a fortnight ago at Rosehill. Five horses from that race lineup here including the top those finishers. Those runners are Master Of Arts, Alward and Peribsen. Master Of Arts got everything in his favour on this occasion, beating home Alward who flashed late. Although Master Of Arts should get a very soft run again, he won’t get the rain-affected going, which may prove key in Alward turning the tables. With no early speed from the outside six barriers, Alward can settle closer to the speed than last start. He may only be two or three pairs behind Master Of Arts on this occasion. The extra 200m shouldn’t prove an issue. Admiral Jello finished ninth behind Master Of Arts in the race in question, but was charging to the line. He will get back in the run, but fifth up over 2600m looks ideal. Peribsan, Ormito and Wheal Leisure look have hopes.
Speed Map Says: 
This is a big field of 16 runners, but we should see all horses find a position in running over the marathon 2600m trip. The speed is expected to be genuine. Cismontane is expected to lead and run them along. Peribsen can sit in second with Ormito behind the leader. Master Of Arts maps perfectly again. Followers of the weekly Preview/Speed Maps will know we found him at $13 on Golden Slipper Day. Imperial Aviator can settle closer, as can race favourite Alward. Doukhan, Up Cups, Domed and Sir Charles Road, map to be the next four in running, with Wheal Leisure, Double Bluff, Zacada, Admiral Jello and Tally all going back from their wide barriers. 
Most Advantaged: 
Master Of Arts 
Alward
Cismontane
Ormito
Least Advantaged: 
Ventura Storm
Wheal Leisure
Admiral Jello
Tally


Race 6 - INGLIS SIRES' (1400m) 

For a FULL Preview and Tips for the Inglis Sires’ CLICK HERE!

Speed Map Says: 
I’m expecting below average Speed for a 1400m Group 1. We don’t have a true leader in the race. Tchaikovsky can take up the lead from Encryption who should come across from a wide gate with Bondi. Bondi can take the spot outside the leader with Encryption getting the one-one from barrier 13. Adana and Ringerdingding are the next pair with Not A Single Cent cast three-wide the trip. Spin maps to get a perfect run in transit from Long Leaf, El Dorado Dreaming and Ragged Rascal. Seabrook gets buried the fence from Affogato. Oohood and Outrageous are the last two in running. 
Most Advantaged: 
Encryption 
Spin 
Oohood 
Seberate 
Least Advantaged:
Not A Single Cent 
Seabrook 
Bondi


Race 7 - AUSTRALIAN DERBY (2400m)

For a FULL Preview and Tips for the Australian Derby CLICK HERE!

Speed Map Says: 
With 18 runners, many of which are only having their second run in Australia, It’s obviously a hard Speed Map to try and piece together. Weather With You can use barrier 1 to lead from the roughie Condor. Levendi gets the run behind the leader with Vin De Dance on his outside. Astoria sits outside of Ace High with Mongolian Marshal stranded three-wide. The Lord Mayor and Pissaro also map to be three-wide the trip. Furore, Capital Gain and Mongolianconqueror are the next three in running. Tangled and Mission Hill can settle a little worse than midfield. Main Stage, Endowment, Belfast and Salsamor are the final four in running. 
Most Advantaged: 
Levendi 
Vin De Dance 
Astoria 
Furore 
Least Advantaged:
Mongolian Marshal 
The Lord Mayor 
Mission Hill 
Pissaro


Race 8 - T J SMITH STAKES (1200m) 

For a FULL Preview and Tips for the T.J. Smith CLICK HERE!

Speed Map Says: 
As expected in an elite sprinting Group 1, there is plenty of early speed. Six of the 14 horses will be looking to push forward, including the best Sprinter in Australia Redzel. He should lead from Thronum and Jungle Edge. Fell Swoop can land Redzel’s back with Takedown three-back the fence. Global Glamour may be posted three-wide the trip, with Showtime on her back. Trapeze Artist is next, with both Brave Smash and In Her Time getting perfect runs just off the speed. It wouldn’t surprise me if Sam Clipperton elects to put English in the three-wide line instead of snicking her back to last from a wide ally. Le Romain, The Mission and Missrock are the final three and should all be non-factors in the race from there.
Most Advantaged: 
Brave Smash 
In Her Time 
Fell Swoop 
Least Advantaged: 
Thronum 
Global Glamour 
Redzel


Race 9 - DONCASTER MILE (1600m)

For a FULL Preview and Tips for the Doncaster Mile CLICK HERE!

Speed Map Says:
No prizes for finding the leader here. Arbeitsam will roll along in front and set a genuine tempo. Invincible Gem can roll forward and get the spot outside the leader, but will more than likely hand that position up to Tom Melbourne. Kementari and Happy Clapper should both get beautiful runs in the top 6. I have Endless Drama and Cool Chap mapped back on the fence, with Prized Icon tracking Kementari. Mister Sea Wolf is cast three-wide with no cover, Lanicato is on his back with D'argento on the three-wide line. Comin’ Through and Tosen Stardom are next, with the final three in running being Crack Me Up, Humidor and Egg Tart. 
Most Advantaged: 
Kementari
Happy Clapper 
Prized Icon
Least Advantaged:
Mister Sea Wolf 
Lanicato 
Tom Melbourne


Race 10 - ADRIAN KNOX STAKES (2000m)

The John Sargent-trained Luvaluva is clearly the class horse in the race, but she has some question marks surrounding her. A fortnight ago, she was favourite for the Australian Oaks. She was entered in the Group 1 Vinery Stud Stakes at Rosehill last Saturday but had to be scratched because of an elevated white cell count. Sargent has since said that Luvaluva hasn’t missed any work, which should give Punters confidence. The obvious concern here is the weight difference. Luvaluva will lump 60kg under Kerrin McEvoy, while the rest of the field will only carry 53kg. One of the horses she gives weight to is the Godolphin horse Harmattan. The three-year-old Street Cry Filly was undefeated before charging home to just miss Think Bleue in the Group 3 Alexandra Stakes (1600m) at Moonee Valley. She was uber impressive in her two wins prior and with the weight difference, can give Luvaluva a scare. Wedgie finished less than a length behind Luvaluva last start at Kembla Grange and should lead here. If she gets an easy time of it, a win isn’t out of the question. 
Speed Map Says: 
The final Speed Map to end Day 1 of The Championships. Again, no prizes for finding the leader here. The Gai Waterhouse-trained Wedgie should take up the lead and roll along out in front. The Promise gets the spot outside the leader with Chilly Cha Cha on the leaders back. Missybeel and Pretty To Sea map as the next pair in running, with One Fire Beach and Roc Sands behind those. I really like where Luvaluva maps. She can settle midfield, in front of the second favourite Harmattan. Jungle Fish is in danger of being posted three-wide, with She’s A Treasure, Discreet Charm and Aonair behind her.
Most Advantaged: 
Luvaluva 
Wedgie
Missybeel
Least Advantaged: 
Jungle Fish 
Harmattan
Aonair 


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Saturday Racing Preview - The Championships Day 1

Day 1 of The Championships takes place at Royal Randwick on Saturday, April 7, with more than $10 million in prizemoney up for grabs on the 10-race programme.

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