U.S. Open 2019 betting tips and predictions - Novak Djokovic and Serena Williams favourites to prevail at Flushing Meadows

Andrew Hendrie 19 Aug 2019
  • Betting tips and predictions for the 2019 U.S. Open
  • Back Djokovic and Serena to win titles
  • Medvedev and Andreescu the darkhorses
Novak Djokovic (PA Images)

Novak Djokovic is once again the big favourite to claim a 17th Grand Slam title at the upcoming U.S. Open, while defending champion Naomi Osaka and six-time champion Serena Williams lead yet another unpredictable women’s major field as the last Grand Slam of the year is live between August 26 and September 8.

Every men’s tips piece for Grand Slams these days feels like a broken record, but you simply can’t bet against Djokovic when it comes to the biggest prizes. The World No. 1 ($2.25 @ Unibet) has won four of the last five major titles and has been the clear stand-out player on tour over the last 12 months or so. When you factor in that Roger Federer ($8.00 @ Sportsbet) hasn’t won the U.S. Open since 2008 and Rafael Nadal ($5.00 @ Beteasy) struggles to last in hardcourt tournaments at this stage of the year due to injuries, then the case for Djokovic winning a fourth U.S. Open only becomes stronger.

Add in that none of the young guns have showed signs they are ready to step up and make an impact at Grand Slam level besides one isolated match, and it’s almost impossible to see anyone stopping Djokovic in the best-of-five-sets format.

Daniil Medvedev ($17 @ Sportsbet) is certainly making a case after storming to his maiden Masters 1000 title in Cincinnati. The Russian, who finished runner-up in Washington and Toronto in the fortnight preceding Cincinnati, has beaten Djokovic twice this season, including on hardcourt in Cincinnati, but he ran out of steam in their Australian Open fourth round clash back in January.

The main problem for the young players is that they struggle to sustain the required high level for five hours to beat Djokovic (or Nadal and Federer for that matter) in a slam. And if by the off chance they can beat one of them, it’s more than likely another member of the Big Three will be waiting later in the tournament. The fact remains that they are not good enough at the moment, and until proven otherwise, it’s Djokovic all the way for me.

Stefanos Tsitsipas ($26 @ bet365) beat Federer to make the Australian Open semi-finals but was then swatted aside by Nadal in straight sets, while Alexander Zverev ($26 @ bet365) has yet to make it past a slam quarter-final, let alone beat any of the Big Three when it matters most.

Looking further down the rankings, it’s tough to see anyone else even coming close to winning the U.S. Open. Indian Wells champion and French Open runner-up Dominic Thiem ($29 @ Unibet) hasn’t been in good form this summer, while Nick Kyrgios (while easily capable talent-wise at $41 @ Unibet) can’t be trusted to keep his focus and discipline for seven best-of-five matches over two weeks.

Former champion Marin Cilic ($51 @ Sportsbet) is horrendously out of form, as is the man he beat in the 2014 final, Kei Nishikori ($51 @ Sportsbet). The same can be said for another former champion in Stan Wawrinka ($41 @ Sportsbet) and runner-up Kevin Anderson ($56 @ Sportsbet).

Meanwhile, the exact opposite once again applies for the women’s draw. I wouldn’t be surprised if any one of about 20 players won the U.S. Open, such is the unpredictable nature and strong depth on the WTA Tour right now.

I don’t think Naomi Osaka ($11 @ Unibet) can defend her title - the World No. 1 hasn’t beaten a top 20 player since January and hasn’t dealt with the pressure that comes with being No. 1 well this season, while I’m also not sure if Ashleigh Barty ($11 @ Sportsbet) can waltz to another major title. Barty didn’t have to beat a top 10 player during her French Open run and I still have some doubts as to whether she can defeat stronger opponents (multiple times) in slams.

Simona Halep ($9.00 @ Beteasy) has been struggling with injury and didn’t make much of an impact in Montreal and Cincinnati after winning Wimbledon, while Karolina Pliskova ($17 @ Sportsbet) struggles to produce her best tennis at slams. That being said, both are more than capable of putting it together for the U.S. Open fortnight and coming away with the title.

I do think Bianca Andreescu ($19 @ Sportsbet) is a genuine dark horse. The Canadian teenage sensation hasn’t lost a completed match since February and is an extraordinary 7-0 against top 10 players in 2019, winning big titles in Indian Wells and the Rogers Cup. If Andreescu is fit, she has the potential to go all the way in New York.

But, all things considered, Serena Williams ($6.00 @ Unibet) is the favourite for me. The legendary American has come agonisingly close to securing that elusive 24th major singles title since returning to the tour, falling in three Grand Slam finals over the last 12 months. Serena has proven she doesn’t need many matches to hit top form, but she’s seemingly - and uncharacteristically - suffered from nerves during those finals. If Serena could make the U.S. Open final last year, she can definitely do it this season.

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U.S. Open 2019 betting tips and predictions - Novak Djokovic and Serena Williams favourites to prevail at Flushing Meadows

Novak Djokovic is once again the big favourite to claim a 17th Grand Slam title at the upcoming U.S. Open, while defending champion Naomi Osaka and six-time champion Serena Williams lead yet another unpredictable women’s major field as the last Grand Slam of the year is live between August 26 and September 8.

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