Ascot Tips May 19 – best bets for Ascot races on Saturday

Ascot Racecourse stages the feature racing in Perth on Saturday and we pick out the best bets to be backing.




See our free weekly Ascot Tips below:


Ascot Tips – May 19

MIDDLE EARTH was given absolutely no chance last start and he can bounce back here. Jockey Patrick Carbery did the right thing after being caught three deep and snagged Middle Earth back to the rear to find cover, but unfortunately, they dropped anchor up front and it made it mathematically impossible for him to come from last and win. He carried 56.5kg in that BM78 but now drops to a BM66 and only carries 56kg after apprentice Casey Hunter’s 3kg claim. From barrier 1, Hunter can let Middle Earth settle where comfortable instead of snagging back to last, and with a bit of luck getting clear running, the pair should be first past the post. 

Recommended Bet
Middle Earth
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Race 5 – CAVALIER HANDICAP (1800m) 2:54pm
The wide gate is the main obstacle for MISSILE LAUNCH, but with a bit of luck getting cover, he should be winning. Broker had his chance to get past him last start after doing less work in the run and having race fitness on his side, so I don’t think he can turn the tables despite meeting Missile Launch 1.5kg better at the weights. Missile Launch peaked third-up last campaign with a dominant three-lengths win at Ascot over 1600m, and considering he was doing his best work in the final 100m, the step up to 1800m third-up this time looks ideal.

Recommended Bet
Missile Launch
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Previous Ascot Tips:


May 12

Race 4 – CHANGING LIVES HANDICAP (2100m) 2:24pm
An impressive last start victory by MIDDLE EARTH, and although he goes up 2kg here, he should have them covered. He was shuffled back to last place over 1800m at Ascot and was held up coming into the turn as jockey Patrick Carbery opted to chase a run inside horses that didn’t eventuate. After getting to the outside, the son of Blackfriars absolutely motored home to get up in the last few strides. On breeding, he should appreciate the step up in trip, and his racing style and ideal preparation make him a standout in this event. 


Happy to stick with PINZU who looks perfectly placed in this and was a touch unlucky last time. He settled three pairs back behind the eventual winner War God, but while War God got a rails run and pounced on the lead, Pinzu was slightly held up and only got warmed up late. He made up good ground on the winner who was fading, and the step up to 1500m suits. 

May 5

Race 1 – HEINEKEN 3 HANDICAP (1600m) 12:21pm
MISSILE LAUNCH won four from four last campaign, and although he was narrowly beaten first-up, he’s improved significantly. His time over 1400m was approximately 12 lengths faster than Broker’s two runs over the trip before stepping up to 1600m and only just going down last start. I’d expect Missile Launch to come on from that, and he’s clearly the one to beat. 
Danefin outperformed Take It Like A Man last start and should have more upside being fourth-up on Saturday. Forty Four Red is suspect at the distance, and I don’t rate the last start win of Bold Victory based on times. Eliza’s Dream will find this tougher, but gee, ROSE’S SHADOW looks hard to beat. He’s really improved in his last two runs and ran good time last start when charging home from last. William Pike goes aboard and can steer him to victory. 

April 28

PINZU peaked fourth-up last campaign with a dominant two-length victory over War God who he again faces on Saturday. He resumed this preparation with average efforts over 1000m and 1100m and then stepped up sharply in trip when contesting the Old Comrade Stakes (1600m). He loomed to win and just peaked late to be beaten 0.3 of a length. Drop back to 1400m is ideal, and with a  soft run behind the speed likely, he can finish best to score. 

Race 6 – W.A. SIRES’ PRODUCE STAKES (1400m) 3:40pm
The unbeaten VALOUR ROAD ran good time (1:10.480) winning the Karakata Plate (1200m) first-up this campaign, and he’s sure to benefit from the run. Lady Cosmology and Lordhelpmerun were closing fast, but they had a fitness edge while Valour Road had set up a big break early in the straight and weakened slightly in the final 50m. His sire, Frost Giant, is a Group 1 winner over 1800m, and his dam, Melba Avenue, is a winner over 1300m at Northam, so there is no reason to think Valour Road won’t be better suited as he gets out further in trip. He’ll spear across from the outside gate and will take some catching. 

Race 8 – #CELEBRATEBELMONT HANDICAP (1200m) 5:00pm
BELTER looked a special last start and can go back-to-back here. He can consistently run two to three lengths better than anything else in this field over 1200m at Ascot, and although he goes up in weight on his last start performance, he can still run the same time with bigger weights. He’ll lead them up from the inside gate and just has to hold his form to be winning. 

April 21

MY GREEK BOY scored for us last time when upsetting the favourite, Western Temple, and there doesn’t look to be anything in this that can trouble him. Broker is in great form and carries less weight, but on times, he’s struggle against the likes of Greek Boy. He should sit outside the leader at a moderate tempo and will prove hard to beat. 

Race 8 – SCHWEPPES-W.A.T.C. DERBY (2400m) 4:20pm
I was impressed with the win of Money Maher last start, but ACTION had no luck in the straight and should have finished much closer. The Pierro gelding was stopped dead in his tracks and took a while to wind up again, but when he did, he was really hitting the line strongly. With an uninterrupted run in the straight, he should be too good for them. 

Where To Bet On Ascot Races


Looking for some bonus bets to use on Saturday’s racing? From 100% deposit matches to 333% bonuses on initial deposits, there is something for all kinds of punters, whether you like to place a big bets or prefer a small each-way wager.


Bookmakers Ladbrokes, who have the Odds Boost promotion running every day*, and CrownBet offer some of the best odds on Ascot racing. Or take advantage of the some of the bookmaker bonus bets currently available.


Alternatively, you can collect CrownBet Rewards Points and UBET+ Rewards Points every time you place a bet. Turn them back into betting dollars and use them to win big.


For the best way to make a profit at Ascot, read our guide on “How to make money betting online“.


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What Bets To Place at Ascot Races


SINGLE: The most common bet. The single bet involves betting on your selection to win, place, or both (each-way). If betting each-way (see our guide for what an each-way bet is), the stake is doubled as you are betting on your selection to win, and also to place.


QUINELLA: A Quinella bet is available on every thoroughbred, harness and greyhound race provided there are at least three or more runners. To win a Quinella, you must successfully predict the 1st and 2nd placegetters in any order.


EXACTA: An exacta is exactly the same as a quinella. However, you must successfully predict the 1st and 2nd placegetters in the correct order.


TRIFECTA: A Trifecta bet is available on every thoroughbred, harness and greyhound race provided there are at least four or more runners. To win a Trifecta, you must successfully predict the 1st, 2nd and 3rd placegetters in a given race.


FIRST4: A First4 bet is available on most thoroughbred, harness and greyhound race provided there are at least four or more runners. To win a First4, you must successfully predict the 1st, 2nd, 3rd and 4th placegetters in a given race.


MYSTERY BET: A Mystery Bet takes the guess work out of picking a Trifecta and is generated by the betting agency’s computer. The computer system will randomly select three runners and if they fill the placings you win the Trifecta.


QUADDIE: A Quaddie bet, or Quadrella bet as it is fully known, is available on most thoroughbred, harness and greyhound race meetings. A quaddie is betting on the winners of four nominated races, which are typically the last four races of any meeting, and is a very popular bet. 


MULTIBET: Multibets offer a great way to secure big winning returns on your bets as you combine various bets into one, and are proving to be an extremely popular way to bet. A multibet combines any number of bets from two to 25 into one single bet and dramatically increases the odds.


PATENT BET: A Patent bet is similar to a three-leg multibet but is made up of seven separate bets: three singles, three doubles and a trio. Where a multibet requires all selections to win for a return, a patent bet will yield a return from just one winner.


ALL-IN BETTING: All-In betting involves a bookmaker offering fixed odds on selected feature races prior to the declaration of the final field. All-In betting on the Melbourne Cup, for example, is available for the better part of 12 months leading into the event. The risk with All-In Betting is that you will not receive your stake back if your horse is scratched.



Ascot Race Track Description


Regarded as the ‘grand old lady’ of Australian racecourses, Perth’s Ascot Racecourse is a well-drained turf track with a 300 metre inclining straight regarded by experts as the most severe test of stayers in Australia.


Ascot is one of the smaller racecourses in Australia and inside barriers can be an advantage.


Races are run in an anti-clockwise direction.


*State exclusions apply to some offers. NSW Residents are excluded from welcome bonuses. Please read the T&Cs of each offer with each bookmaker.


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