Eels vs Knights NRL Finals Tips, Prediction & Preview

Andrew Hendrie:
Eels vs Knights Tips

Parramatta Eels and Newcastle Knights put their season on the line when they collide in a sudden-death finals clash on Sunday.

Eels vs Knights Tips, Preview & Predictions

Parramatta Eels vs Newcastle Knights free NRL Finals betting tips, predictions and preview – the Eels have won the last three meetings between the teams…

Eels vs Knights Tips

Best Under 45.5 points odds with Sportsbet

  • Eels have won the last three meetings between the teams
  • The last nine meetings between the teams have seen under 45.5 points
  • Knights have seen under 45.5 points in three of their last four matches
  • Knights have the second worst attack in the NRL
  • Eels have the fourth best defence in the NRL

Eels vs Knights Same Game Multi Tips

Best Same Game Multi Odds with Ladbrokes

  • Enari Tuala has scored a try in five of his last six matches
  • Waqa Blake has scored a try in three of his last four games

Eels vs Knights Match Details

🇦🇺 Competition: NRL
🗓 Date: Sunday September 12
Time: 4.05pm AEST
🏟 Stadium: Browne Park


Eels vs Knights Head to Head (last five matches)

  • 6/6/21: Knights 4-40 Eels
  • 12/7/20: Knights 4-10 Eels
  • 10/8/19: Eels 20-14 Knights
  • 28/4/19: Knights 28-14 Eels
  • 13/7/18: Knights 18-16 Eels

Eels vs Knights Preview and Prediction

The Eels and Knights target a spot in Week 2 of the NRL finals when they square off in an elimination clash at Browne Park on Sunday afternoon.

Parramatta were on course for a top four finish before stumbling towards the end of the season, while the Knights took advantage of a hugely fortuitous draw to surge into seventh spot on the ladder.

As mentioned, the Eels experienced a tough period with four straight defeats, but they steadied over the last few weeks to beat the Cowboys and Storm before resting more than half of their team in last week’s defeat to the Panthers.

The Eels have the fourth best defence in the competition – even after losing three straight games to the Roosters, Rabbitohs and Eels by 28 points or more – and that should work in their favour against a Knights side who have the second worst attack in the competition in front of only the last-placed Bulldogs.

If Mitch Moses and Clint Gutherson can rediscover their best form and create some one-one-one opportunities on the fringes for the likes of Isaiah Papali’i, then the Eels will be hard to stop.

Meanwhile, the Knights may have won five of their last six games to sneak into the finals, but they haven’t been convincing in any of them.

Firstly, all five of those wins came against teams that finished in the bottom eight, while they also lost easily to the Broncos last week.

Newcastle have struggled in attack all season and even the returns of Mitchell Pearce and Kalyn Ponga haven’t seen them improve too much in that regard.

VERDICT:

The Eels have won the last three meetings between the teams, but there isn’t much value in back them in the H2H market.

However, we can find some value in the total points market. The Eels have one of the best defences in the competition, while the Knights have the second worst attack. That should see a relatively low-scoring affair, with the last nine games between the teams producing under 45.5 points (Best Under 45.5 points odds $1.90 with Sportsbet).


Eels vs Knights Teams

Parramatta see their big guns – including Mitch Moses and Clint Gutherson – return after being rested last week, while Ray Stone starts at hooker in place of the injured Joey Lussick.

Daniel Saifiti is set to return for the Knights from a MCL injury, joining brother Jacob in the front row.

Eels team: 1. Clinton Gutherson 2. Haze Dunster 3. Viliami Penisini 4. Waqa Blake 5. Blake Ferguson 6. Dylan Brown 7. Mitchell Moses 8. Reagan Campbell-Gillard 9. Ray Stone 10. Junior Paulo 11. Shaun Lane 12. Marata Niukore 13. Nathan Brown 14. Will Smith 15. Bryce Cartwright 16. Isaiah Papali’i 17. Makahesi Makatoa 18. Ryan Matterson 19. Oregon Kaufusi 20. Tom Opacic 21. Jakob Arthur

Knights team: 1. Kalyn Ponga 2. Enari Tuala 3. Kurt Mann 4. Bradman Best 5. Hymel Hunt 6. Jake Clifford 7. Mitchell Pearce 8. Jacob Saifiti 9. Jayden Brailey 10. Daniel Saifiti 11. Tyson Frizell 12. Mitchell Barnett 13. Connor Watson 14. Sauaso Sue 15. David Klemmer 16. Josh King 17. Brodie Jones 18. Phoenix Crossland 19. Jirah Momoisea 20. Simi Sasagi 21. Jack Johns


Eels vs Knights Stats

  • Eels have won the last three meetings between the teams
  • The last nine meetings between the teams have seen under 45.5 points
  • Knights have seen under 45.5 points in three of their last four matches
  • Knights have the second worst attack in the NRL
  • Eels have the fourth best defence in the NRL
  • Enari Tuala has scored a try in five of his last six matches
  • Waqa Blake has scored a try in three of his last four games

Eels vs Knights Best Bet

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