NRL Grand Final First Tryscorer Tips & Predictions

Andrew Hendrie: Oct 1, 2023

The Panthers and Broncos lock horns in the 2023 NRL Grand Final on Sunday night and we’ve made our tips for the game’s first try scorer.

NRL Grand Final First Tryscorer Tips – who will score the first try of the NRL Grand Final?

NRL Grand Final First Tryscorer Stats & Key Points

Brian To’o has scored 16 tries in his last 11 games
Brian To’o scored a hat-trick last week vs Storm in preliminary finals
Brian To’o has scored the first try for Panthers in his last two appearances
Selwyn Cobbo has scored 20 tries in 23 games this season
Selwyn Cobbo has scored 10 tries in his last nine games
Selwyn Cobbo scored a try in his last game vs Panthers

Backing the first try scorer in the Grand Final can be tricky and a lot of luck needs to go your way, but there are some stats and recent trends that can help punters give themselves their best chance.

Firstly, outside backs are more likely to score tries than forwards, so we’ll be focusing on a winger from both teams.

Brian To’o is the man in try-scoring form for the Panthers and is paying $8.50 to cross first on Sunday night.

To’o has scored a whopping 16 tries in his last 11 games and his low centre of gravity means he’s extremely hard to stop close to the line.

The Panthers’ winger crossed for a brilliant hat-trick in the huge preliminary final win over Melbourne last week and has also scored the first try for his team in his last two outings.

For the Broncos, we’re focusing on boom winger Selwyn Cobbo.

Cobbo is just 21 years of age, but he’s quickly established himself as an Origin winger and one of the most electric outside backs in the NRL.

Cobbo has scored 20 tries in his 23 appearances for the Broncos this season, including 10 in his last nine games. He crossed for the first try against Canberra towards the end of the regular season and will be the main target on the edges for Brisbane. Cobbo also has form on the board in this match-up, scoring a try in his last appearance against the Panthers earlier this season.