EPL Week 4 | Tips, Predictions & Best Bets

Andrew Hendrie:

Expert EPL tips, predictions, previews and best bets.

Liverpool, Everton and Leicester aim to make it four wins from four, Manchester City aim to bounce back from their heavy defeat last week and Manchester United and Tottenham clash in a blockbuster showdown – read on below as we preview every EPL Week 4 match, along with providing our best bets and tips.

EPL Week 4 Tips ⚽️

Chelsea vs Crystal Palace EPL Week 4 Tips

Saturday October 3 | Stamford Bridge | 9.30pm AEST

With just one win from their first three matches, Chelsea will be determined to kick-start their season by beating Crystal Palace for the sixth straight time – although, Palace have started the campaign strongly with two victories from three.

Key Points

  • Chelsea have won the last five EPL meetings between the teams
  • Chelsea have won their last four EPL matches as a home favourite to nil
  • Chelsea have won the first half in six of their last seven EPL home matches
  • Tammy Abraham has scored a goal in his last four EPL matches vs Palace
  • Palace have won just two of 11 away EPL matches at Chelsea
  • None of the last 18 meetings between these teams have ended in a draw

Everton vs Brighton EPL Week 4 Tips

Saturday October 4 | Goodison Park | 12.00am AEDT

Everton look to continue their excellent start to the season as they target a fourth straight win, with Dominic Calvert-Lewin getting on the scoresheet in all of those games, including mid-week in the EFL Cup. Brighton have lost two of their first three games and are coming off a heartbreaking 3-2 loss to Man Utd, conceding a 100th minute penalty and hitting the post a record five times.

Key Points

  • The home team has won each of the last five games between these teams
  • Dominic Calvert-Lewin has scored at least one goal in his last three EPL matches
  • Neal Maupay has scored at least one goal in his last two EPL matches
  • Everton have won all three of their home EPL games vs Brighton, scoring six goals and conceding just one
  • Brighton have never won away at Everton in all competitions
  • Everton are looking to win four straight games in the top flight for the first time since 1969-70

Leeds vs Man City EPL Week 4 Tips

Saturday October 4 | Elland Road | 3.30am AEDT

City have won each of their last 11 EPL matches following a loss and will be hoping that trend continues following their 5-2 defeat to Leicester, but Leeds will certainly be no pushovers, with the newly-promoted side pushing Liverpool all the way before edging out Fulham and Sheffield United.

Key Points

  • Kevin De Bruyne has scored at least one goal in six of his last seven EPL matches following a loss
  • Raheem Sterling has scored two or more goals in two of his last three EPL away matches
  • City have scored in both halves in their last four EPL matches
  • Over 2.5 goals has hit in City’s last seven EPL matches
  • City have won their last 11 EPL matches following a loss
  • This is the first meeting between the teams since 2013

Newcastle United vs Burnley

Saturday October 4 | St James Park | 6.00am AEDT

Newcastle stole a point from Tottenham last week, failing to record a single shot on target until being awarded an incorrect 97th minute penalty, while Burnley have yet to get on the board this season, losing both of their games to Leicester and Southampton.

Key Points

  • The half-time score has been 0-0 in five of Newcastle’s last six EPL matches as a favourite
  • In eight of Newcastle’s last nine EPL matches as favourite, the half-time result has been a draw
  • Callum Wilson has been the first goalscorer in two of his last three EPL Saturday matches
  • Newcastle are unbeaten in their last seven home games vs Burnley
  • Burnley’s last league win over Newcastle came back in 1976

Leicester vs West Ham

Saturday October 4 | King Power Stadium | 10.00pm AEDT

Leicester coming off a brilliant 5-2 win over Man City in which they became the first team to hand city a three-goal home loss since 2015. The Foxes are going for their fourth straight win to open the season, but West Ham might prove tricky after stunning Wolves with a 4-0 demolition job last week.

Key Points

  • Leicester are undefeated against West Ham in 11 of their last 12 meetings
  • Both teams to score has hit in the last four EPL meetings between these sides
  • Michail Antonio has scored at least one goal in his last four EPL away matches
  • Jamie Vardy has scored at least one goal in six of his last eight Sunday matches with Leicester as favourite
  • West Ham have won just four of 23 away EPL games under David Moyes

Southampton vs West Brom

Saturday October 4 | St Mary’s Stadium | 10.00pm AEDT

Southampton will be hoping to extend their strong record against newly-promoted teams and win back-to-back games following their win over Burnley last week, while West Brom are still trying to earn their first win of the season – although they did mount a fantastic comeback to share the spoils with Chelsea in Week 3.

Key Points

  • Southampton have won the last four meetings between the teams
  • Southampton have won their last eight EPL games against promoted teams
  • Danny Ings has scored at least one goal in five of his last six EPL matches
  • West Brom have conceded the most goals out of any side so far this season
  • Southampton have kept a clean sheet in four of their last five EPL matches vs West Brom

Arsenal vs Sheffield United

Monday October 5 | Emirates Stadium | 12.00am AEDT

Arsenal gained some revenge over Liverpool for last week’s EPL loss by beating them on penalties in the EFL Cup mid-week and will be confident of returning to the winners circle in the league, with Sheffield coming into this clash on the back of a six-match EPL losing streak…

Key Points

  • Arsenal haven’t beaten Sheffield United in the EPL in their last three meetings
  • However, Arsenal haven’t lost a home match vs Sheffield in any competition since 1971
  • Sheffield have lost their last six EPL matches dating back to the end of last season
  • Sheffield have lost five of those matches to nil
  • Alexandre Lacazette has been the first goalscorer in his last three EPL matches
  • Arsenal have won the first half in four of their last five EPL home matches

Wolves vs Fulham

Monday October 5 | Molineux Stadium | 12.00am AEDT

Wolves will be out to snap a three-match losing run in all competitions, including a 4-0 defeat to West Ham in the EPL last week, which was their heaviest since being promoted back in 2018. Fulham meanwhile are struggling in their return to the top flight, losing all three of their games and conceding at least three goals in each match.

Key Points

  • Wolves have lost just one of their last 10 league meetings with Fulham
  • Fulham haven’t won away in the league vs Wolves since 1985
  • Wolves are unbeaten in the league in their last seven home games vs promoted sides
  • Fulham have lost all three EPL games this season, conceding a combined 10 goals
  • Wolves have won three of their last four EPL matches as a home favourite to nil
  • Fulham has lost the first half in all three EPL matches this season

Manchester United vs Tottenham

Monday October 5 | Old Trafford | 2.30am AEDT

Both heavyweight teams struggling to start the season – Man Utd needed a fortuitous 100th minute penalty to claim their first win of the season last week over Brighton, while Tottenham were on the receiving end of a shocking penalty decision and were held to a 1-1 draw by Newcastle as a result.

Key Points

  • United are unbeaten in their last three EPL meetings with Spurs
  • United had previously lost four of their last six against Spurs
  • None of the last 14 EPL meetings at Old Trafford between these teams have ended in a draw
  • United haven’t lost back-to-back home league games to open a season since 1986-87
  • Spurs have kept just two clean sheets in their last 27 EPL away games
  • United have scored in their last 15 EPL games – the longest stretch of any team
  • Bruno Fernandes has been involved in 17 goals in his last 16 EPL games

Aston Villa vs Liverpool

Monday October 5 | Villa Park | 5.15am AEDT

Liverpool have come out all guns blazing in their title defence and are unsurprisingly highly favoured to make it four wins from four against an Aston Villa side they have dominated throughout recent history.

Key Points

  • Liverpool have won their last five EPL meetings with Villa by a combined scoreline of 15-3
  • Liverpool have lost just one of their last 19 EPL away games vs Villa
  • Villa are winless in their last 15 EPL games vs reigning champions
  • Liverpool aiming to become first team in history to win their first four games in three straight seasons
  • Villa are unbeaten in their last six EPL games
  • Villa are going for three straight EPL wins for the first time since 2010
  • Sadio Mane has scored six goals in as many EPL games vs Villa

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