EPL Week 5 | Tips, Predictions & Best Bets

Andrew Hendrie:

Expert EPL tips, predictions, previews and best bets.

Ladder-leaders Everton face defending premiers Liverpool in a blockbuster Merseyside derby to launch the round, while Manchester City collide with Arsenal, Manchester United square off against Newcastle and Tottenham and West Ham meet in a London derby – read on below as we preview every EPL Week 5 match, along with providing our best bets and tips.

EPL Week 5 Tips ⚽️

Everton vs Liverpool EPL Week 5 Tips

Saturday October 17 | Goodison Park | 10.30pm AEDT

It’s been 22 games and 10 years since Everton last defeated Liverpool thanks to goals from Tim Cahill and Mikel Arteta, but this could be the Toffees best chance to conquer their rivals after going four wins from four to start the season, while Liverpool are coming off a shock 7-2 loss to Aston Villa in their last outing.

Key Points

  • Liverpool are unbeaten vs Everton in their last 22 matches dating back to 2010
  • Seven of their last eight EPL meetings at Goodison Park have ended in a draw
  • The last three EPL meetings at Goodison Park resulted in a 0-0 draw
  • Liverpool conceded seven goals in a game for the first time since 1963 vs Villa
  • Everton are aiming to win their first five games of the season for the first time since 1938-39
  • Liverpool have lost four of their last eight away EPL games
  • Dominic Calvert-Lewin has scored nine goals in six games in all competitions this season

Chelsea vs Southampton EPL Week 5 Tips

Sunday October 18 | Stamford Bridge | 1.00am AEDT

Southampton are trying to win back-to-back games at Stamford Bridge for the first time in 35 years after prevailing in this fixture last season, but Chelsea hit form with a 4-0 win over Palace before thee break and have won seven of the last nine games between the teams.

Key Points

  • Chelsea have won seven of their last nine encounters
  • Southampton won 2-0 in the corresponding fixture last season
  • Chelsea have won seven of their last eight EPL home games
  • Southampton are aiming to win three straight EPL games for the first time since 2016
  • Oliver Giroud has scored four goals in his last five games vs Southampton
  • Chelsea has won their last five EPL matches as home favourite to nil

Manchester City vs Arsenal EPL Week 5 Tips

Sunday October 18 | Etihad Stadium | 3.30am AEDT

City are off to their equal-slowest start to the EPL in 16 years following a 5-2 loss to Leicester and 1-1 draw at Leeds in their last two fixtures, while Arsenal have won three of their four matches to start the season – although the Gunners have lost four of their last five matches against City to nil.

Key Points

  • Arsenal are winless in their last 28 away games vs Big Six clubs
  • Arsenal are winless in their last nine games vs City
  • City have scored at least twice in all of those games
  • City haven’t gone three straight EPL games without a win since 2017
  • City have won their last 10 EPL matches following a draw
  • Kevin De Bruyne has been involved in seven goals in his last eight EPL starts vs Arsenal

Newcastle United vs Manchester United

Sunday October 18 | St James Park | 6.00am AEDT

United are all over the place to start the season, with their only win coming due to fortuitous circumstances against Brighton, while their last outing result in an embarrassing 6-1 home loss to Spurs – and now they travel to St James Park to face a Newcastle side they have lost against in two of their last three games at the venue…

Key Points

  • Newcastle have won two of their last three home EPL games vs United
  • Newcastle are enjoying their strongest start to the EPL in nine seasons
  • Callum Wilson has scored four goals to start his career at Newcastle
  • Only West Brom have conceded more goals than United this season
  • United have won their last five EPL away matches

Sheffield United vs Fulham

Sunday October 18 | Bramall Lane | 10.00pm AEDT

It’s a must-win clash for both of these struggling sides, with Sheffield and Fulham anchored to the bottom of the ladder after failing to pick up a single point in the first four games of the season. We could be in for an arm wrestle, with only three of Sheffield’s last 14 home matches seeing more than two goals scored…

Key Points

  • Fulham won both league meetings the last time they played in the Championship in 2017-18
  • Both sides are yet to pick up a single point this season
  • Sheffield have lost their last seven EPL games – they’ve never before lost eight
  • Fulham have failed to score in three of their four games this season and have leaked 11 goals
  • The half-time scored has been 0-0 in Sheffield’s last three EPL matches

Crystal Palace vs Brighton

Monday October 19 | Selhurst Park | 12.00am AEDT

The M23 Derby returns on Sunday with Palace and Brighton set to contest another tight affair, with the last 12 meetings between the teams resulting in four draws and four wins apiece for each side. Both teams come into this clash on the back of a two-match losing run before the break and will be determined to return to the winners circle.

Key Points

  • Palace are aiming for consecutive wins over Brighton for the first time since 2011
  • Brighton have lost just one of their last five top-flight games vs Palace
  • Palace have lost nine of their last 12 EPL games
  • Brighton’s EPL games this season have averaged 4.5 goals
  • Palace’s last three EPL games have averaged 3.7 goals
  • Neal Maupay has been the first goalscorer in two of his last three EPL games

Tottenham Hotspur vs West Ham

Monday October 19 | Tottenham Hotspur Stadium | 2.30am AEDT

Tottenham head into this encounter on the back of a thumping 6-1 win over Man Utd before the break – however, West Ham also hit top form before the Internationals, beating Wolves 4-0 and Leicester 3-0, although they have lost their last two matches to Spurs.

Key Points

  • Spurs have lost just three of their last 27 London derbies at home
  • West Ham have lost more London derbies than any other side (104)
  • Spurs are winless at home in the EPL so far this season
  • West Ham have won their last two games by a combined 7-0 scoreline
  • Michail Antonio has scored at least one goal in his last five EPL away games
  • West Ham has won their last four EPL Sunday matches as an underdog
  • Harry Kane has scored at least one goal in four of his last five EPL home games vs West Ham

Leicester City vs Aston Villa

Monday October 19 | King Power Stadium | 5.15am AEDT

It’s second up against third at the King Power on Sunday night. Villa have been sensational to start the season, winning three from three, including of course their unbelievable 7-2 triumph against Liverpool, while Leicester have won three from four but did suffer a heavy loss to West Ham before the break.

Key Points

  • Villa have avoided dropping points in their first three league fixtures for the first time since 1962
  • Villa’s seven goals vs Liverpool were the most the reigning champions had conceded since 1963
  • Leicester beat Villa by a combined 8-1 scoreline last season
  • Villa have won just one of their last 11 EPL away games vs Leicester
  • Villa are aiming to win their first four games in a league campaign since 1930-31
  • Villa are unbeaten in their last seven EPL games
  • Jamie Vardy has scored two goals in his last two EPL matches vs Villa
  • Jack Grealish has scored at least one goal in three of Villa’s last four EPL matches

West Brom vs Burnley

Tuesday October 20 | The Hawthorns | 3.30am AEDT

Burnley are languishing in the relegation zone after losing all three of their games to start the season, while West Brom are one spot above them due to their thrilling 3-3 draw with Chelsea three weeks ago. Burnley’s 2-1 win at The Hawthorns two seasons ago ended a 50-year winless drought at the venue.

Key Points

  • West Brom have lost just one of their last six EPL games vs Burnley
  • West Brom have conceded 14 goals this season, more than any other side
  • Burnley haven’t begun a league campaign with four straight defeats since 2002-03
  • West Brom have had fewer shots than any other side this season
  • Chris Wood has scored a goal in four of his last six EPL games

Leeds United vs Wolves

Tuesday October 20 | Elland Road | 6.00am AEDT

Both Leeds and Wolves have won two from four games to start the season, with side recording wins over struggling Sheffield and Fulham – however, Leeds are unquestionably in better form having pushed Liverpool at Anfield and drawing with City at home, while Wolves lost to City at home and also went down to West Ham.

Key Points

  • Wolves have won their last three league meetings vs Leeds
  • Wolves have won four of their last five EPL matches vs promoted teams
  • Wolves have won two of their last three games vs promoted teams by a 1-0 scoreline
  • Wolves have lost three of their last five EPL away games
  • Patrick Bamford has been involved in four goals in his last four league games vs Wolves

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