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Brownlow Medal 2026 | Betting Tips, Odds & Predictions

The Brownlow Medal is the most prestigious individual award in Australian rules football, presented annually to the AFL’s best and fairest player. At BettingPro, our expert writers cover Brownlow Medal odds, betting tips and predictions throughout the 2026 Toyota AFL Premiership season.

Nick Daicos won the 2026 Brownlow Medal on Monday 21 September with a record 47 votes, the highest tally ever polled under the 3-2-1 system, beating the 45 Patrick Cripps recorded in 2024. It is the 23-year-old Collingwood vice-captain’s first Brownlow and the club’s first since Dane Swan in 2011. Midfielders from winning teams historically dominate the tally, and because votes are awarded 3-2-1 by the umpires in every game, a season of consistent best-on-ground performances beats a handful of huge ones.

Brownlow Medal 2026 Result

Pos Player Club Votes
1 Nick Daicos Collingwood 47
2 Bailey Smith Geelong 36
3 Marcus Bontempelli Western Bulldogs 34
4 Max Gawn Melbourne 28
=5 Will Ashcroft Brisbane 27
=5 Patrick Cripps Carlton 27
=5 Harry Sheezel North Melbourne 27
=8 Zak Butters Port Adelaide 26
=8 Isaac Heeney Sydney 26

 

Daicos ran away with it. Six consecutive best-on-ground performances between rounds 15 and 20 built a lead nobody closed, and he completed the set by also taking the AFL Players Association and Coaches Association awards. Bailey Smith’s 36 is a Geelong single-season record.

A note on the Sydney players. Isaac Heeney polled 26 votes and finished equal-eighth. He and four Swans teammates were stood down by their club late in the season and are banned from playing finals, and they were not invited to the count. That is a club sanction rather than an AFL tribunal suspension, so it did not affect Brownlow eligibility: all of their votes counted and any of them could have won.

How the market read it

The favourite won, and won comfortably. Daicos was odds-on at $1.62 in the market we published late in the home-and-away season, and the count never looked like producing anything else. Where the market was less useful was everywhere below the top line: Bailey Smith finished second at $15.00, while Bontempelli at $10.00 and Heeney at $13.00, the second and third picks, came third and equal-eighth. Those were the prices before the count, kept here as a record of where the market stood.

Brownlow votes stay secret until they are read out on the night, so before the count the betting market is the only guide there is. The prices below are the market as it stood late in the home-and-away season, with Nick Daicos a clear odds-on favourite and Marcus Bontempelli next. For the 2027 market when it opens, compare Ladbrokes, Neds and bet365.

Player Club Brownlow Medal Odds
Nick Daicos Collingwood $1.62
Marcus Bontempelli Western Bulldogs $10.00
Isaac Heeney Sydney $13.00
Jordan Dawson Adelaide $13.00
Bailey Smith Geelong $15.00
Luke Jackson Fremantle $21.00
Kysaiah Pickett Melbourne $31.00
Patrick Cripps Carlton $34.00
Jai Newcombe Hawthorn $41.00
Lachie Neale Brisbane $41.00

 

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Brownlow Medal FAQs

Who won the 2026 Brownlow Medal?

Nick Daicos of Collingwood won the 2026 Brownlow Medal with a record 47 votes at the count on Monday 21 September 2026. It is his first Brownlow and Collingwood’s first since Dane Swan in 2011. Bailey Smith was second on 36 votes and Marcus Bontempelli third on 34.

When is the 2026 Brownlow Medal?

The count was held on Monday 21 September 2026, the Monday of Grand Final week and five days before the Grand Final on Saturday 26 September at the MCG.

What are the main Brownlow Medal betting markets?

The most popular markets include outright winner, exacta/trifecta, top 3/top 5 finish, top team votes, and head-to-head matchups between nominated players.

Can a suspended player win the Brownlow Medal?

No. Any player who receives a suspension from the AFL tribunal or match review during the home-and-away season is automatically ineligible, regardless of how many votes they poll. A sanction imposed by a player’s own club is a different thing and does not affect eligibility: in 2026 five Sydney players were stood down by the Swans and barred from playing finals, but their votes still counted and any of them could have won. Isaac Heeney finished equal-eighth on 26.

Can there be a tie in the Brownlow Medal?

Yes. If two or more players finish with the same highest number of votes, they are declared joint winners. There is no countback or tiebreaker system.

Who won the 2024 Brownlow Medal?

Patrick Cripps of Carlton won the 2024 Brownlow Medal with a then-record 45 votes, claiming his second Brownlow after also winning in 2022. That mark stood until Nick Daicos polled 47 in 2026.

Where can I find Brownlow Medal betting tips?

BettingPro.com.au provides free Brownlow Medal betting tips and odds analysis throughout the 2026 AFL season. Our AFL hub has all the latest coverage.