STATE OF ORIGIN BETTING TIPS
New South Wales will be aiming to reclaim the State of Origin shield from Queensland after suffering a shock upset in the 2020 series, with the Maroons prevailing 2-1.
Bettingpro.com.au writers have you covered for the State of Origin series. We provide you with free State of Origin betting tips and predictions across the series as New South Wales and Queensland battle it out. Our Origin predictions and best bets include match previews for all three games and selections for the series as well as the latest State of Origin odds.
2021 State of Origin Odds
NSW are favourites to win the 2021 State of Origin series.
2021 State of Origin Series Schedule
- Game 1 | Wednesday June 9 | Queensland County Bank Stadium | 8.10pm AEST
- Game 2 | Sunday June 27 | Suncorp Stadium | 7.50pm AEST
- Game 3 | Wednesday July 14 | Stadium Australia | 8.10pm AEST
Where To Bet on State of Origin: Best Bookmakers
If you are looking for the best bookmaker for footy betting then there are plenty of option to choose from in Australia. Are you looking for competitive odds? Is it special offers that you want to take advantage of? Do you place same-game multibets on Origin? It is important to choose the right corporate bookie to suit your betting requirements.
We have ranked the best bookmakers for betting on Origin below and you can read more about them in our reviews HERE.
STATE OF ORIGIN: HOW TO BET ON MATCHES
You can place a huge array of different bets on rugby league and we look at some of the most popular ones.
HEAD-TO-HEAD: Head to Head betting is the easiest way to have a punt on most sports matches. Simply select who you think will win the game and if they emerge victorious so do you.
LINE BETTING and HANDICAP BETTING: Line betting is when the bookmaker handicaps a team by setting a specific margin with the aim on making the game even between the two sides. For example, if the bookmaker believes Team A is a 10-point better team than Team B, they will handicap Team A by 10 points. The line therefore becomes Team A to beat Team B by more than 10 points or Team B to come within 10 points of Team A. Then both outcomes become equal odds, which is ultimately around $1.90 the majority of the time.
WINNING MARGINS: Margin betting is when the bookmaker breaks up the number of possible end results by putting in a margin. The punter must therefore select the correct result as well as the correct margin. For example, if you believe Team A will beat Team B and want to also bet on the margin, you will have to correctly pick how many points will be between the two sides at the end of full-time. So if you think Australia will win in a margin of 1-12 points you’d select that option. Or maybe you think New Zealand will win a game by 13+ points.
HALF-TIME/FULL-TIME DOUBLE: This option allows you to bet on who you think will be leading the game at both halftime and fulltime. There are many possibilities that can occur in any match, particularly as a draw is an option.
Team A/Team A
Team A/Team B
Team B/Team B
Team B/Team A
FIRST TRYSCORER: This option allows you to choose which player on either team you believe will score the first try of the game. You can also bet on the last tryscorer in most games.
STATE OF ORIGIN HISTORY
The 2021 State of Origin will be the 40th series. Queensland lead New South Wales 22-15 in State of Origin series head-to-heads. The other two series have ended in draws.
State of Origin pits the Australian states of New South Wales (Blues) and Queensland (Maroons) against each other in an annual best-of-three games series which, over time, has transformed into one of the most-watched sporting events in the country.
Often described as Australian sport’s greatest rivalry and the highest level of rugby league one can witness, State of Origin as we know it today was first established in 1982 as respective rugby league associations from both New South Wales and Queensland came to an agreement on selection policies and series guidelines.
Under the leadership of rugby league immortal Wally Lewis, Queensland enjoyed an early period of dominance, winning the first three State of Origin series 2-1 between 1982-84.
New South Wales would claim their first series win in 1985, with Steve Mortimer leading the Blues to victory in the series deciding match at the SCG. New South Wales would continue that winning momentum the following year, making history by becoming the first team to complete the State of Origin whitewash, securing the series 3-0. There have been only six more series whitewashes up until the commencement of the 2017 series.
Queensland would return to the winners circle in 1987, taking the series 2-1, however there was some controversy this year, with a fourth game played at Long Beach in California in an attempt to showcase and broaden rugby league’s appeal to Americans. The move largely failed with only 12,349 fans showing up to the game, which NSW won 30-18. The Australian Rugby League (ARL) has since declared the game didn’t count towards official records, but did count towards the players’ inpidual statistics.
For the second time in its short history, Queensland would go on to emerge triumphant in three series in succession, winning in 1988 and 1989 by dominant 3-0 scorelines – the first times the Maroons registered a series whitewash.
However New South Wales would enjoy the bulk of victories during the 1990s, winning six of the series played to Queensland’s three (the 1999 series was drawn but Queensland retained the shield due to winning in 1998). Queensland’s senior players of the 1980s had all retired, allowing New South Wales to win the 1992, 1993 and 1994 series, with the likes of Brett Mullins, Laurie Daley, Ricky Stuart, Bradley Clyde and Benny Elias all laying the foundations of becoming future Origin legends for the Blues.
Queensland were on the back foot heading into the 1995 series (mainly due to the Super League saga which prohibited many Queenslanders signed with the Super League to play for their state), but the Maroons produced arguably the greatest shock in State of Origin history, when a team of rookies led by first-time coach Paul Vautin emerged surprise 3-0 winners.
New South Wales would restore parity and win the next two series by 3-0 and 2-1 scorelines respectively, but Queensland ended the 1990s on top, winning in 1998 and 1999, with the latter going down as one of the most thrilling series in history as each side won one game and the deciding game ended in a draw. The Maroons retained the shield due to winning in 1998.
2000s to present
It appeared as if New South Wales were starting to become the dominant force in State of Origin heading into the early stages of the 2000s, with the Blues winning in 2000, 2003, 2004 and 2005, led by Andrew Johns and Brad Fittler (Queensland won in 2001 and retained the shield again after another drawn series in 2002). It meant that New South Wales had won 10 outright series to just four from Queensland since 1990. How wrong we all were…
In what has now become part of State of Origin folklore, Queensland began an unprecedented period of dominance in 2006, winning a record eight consecutive series all the way through to 2013 under the tutelage of the legendary Mal Meninga. Billy Slater, Johnathan Thurston, Cooper Cronk and Cameron Smith formed Queensland’s ‘spine’ through the majority of those years, with the foursome all in contention to go down as future rugby league immortals.
New South Wales would finally snap their losing run with a famous series triumph in 2014, with Canterbury Bulldogs halves Josh Reynolds and Trent Hodkinson the unlikely pairing to break down the brick-wall Queensland defence, while inspirational captain Paul Gallen finally claimed a first series win after years of heartbreak. But the Blues’ joy was short-lived, with Queensland restoring parity in 2015 and retaining the shield in 2016 and 2017, winning all three series 2-1. The Maroons had won 11 of the last 12 series before New South Wales ended the run of losing series with victory in 2018. The Blues backed it up in 2019 and will be looking to win three consecutive Origin shields in 2020 for the first time since
State of Origin Winners
|1985||New South Wales||2-1|
|1986||New South Wales||3-0|
|1990||New South Wales||2-1|
|1992||New South Wales||2-1|
|1993||New South Wales||2-1|
|1994||New South Wales||2-1|
|1996||New South Wales||3-0|
|1997||New South Wales||2-1|
|2000||New South Wales||3-0|
|2003||New South Wales||2-1|
|2004||New South Wales||2-1|
|2005||New South Wales||2-1|
|2014||New South Wales||2-1|
|2018||New South Wales||2-1|
|2019||New South Wales||2-1|
STATE OF ORIGIN RECORDS
- Most points scored in a game: 72, New South Wales 56 – 16 Queensland (Game III, 2000)
- Most points scored by a team: 56, New South Wales 56 – 16 Queensland (Game III, 2000)
- Largest winning margin: 46, Queensland 52 – 6 New South Wales (Game III, 2015)
- Most consecutive games won: 8, Queensland (Game II, 1987 – Game III, 1989)
- Most consecutive series won: 8, Queensland (2006–2013)
- Most series clean sweeps: 4, Queensland (1988–1989, 1995, 2010)
- Oldest player: 36 years 74 days, Petero Civoniceva (2012) (Queensland)
- Youngest player: 18 years and 83 days, Ben Ikin (1995) (Queensland)
- Most games: 42, Cameron Smith (2003–17) (Queensland)
- Most consecutive games: 36 Johnathan Thurston (2005–17) (Queensland)
- Most games as captain: 30 Wally Lewis (1981–1991) (Queensland)
- Most games won: 24 Cameron Smith (2003–17) (Queensland)
- Most series won: 11 Cameron Smith (2006–2013, 2015–17) (Queensland)
- Most points: 224 Johnathan Thurston (2005–present) (Queensland)
- Most tries: 18 Greg Inglis (2006–18) (Queensland)
- Most goals: 101 Johnathan Thurston (2005–present) (Queensland)
- Most points in one game: 32 Ryan Girdler (Game III, 2000) (New South Wales)
- Most points in one series: 52 Ryan Girdler (2000) (New South Wales)
- Most games coached: 30 Mal Meninga (2006–2015) (Queensland)
- Most games won as coach: 19 Mal Meninga (2006–2015) (Queensland)
- Most series won as coach: 9 Mal Meninga (2006–2015) (Queensland)
State of Origin Leading Try Scorers
State of Origin Leading Point Scorers
Most State of Origin Appearances
State of Origin Live Stream
State of Origin is broadcast live on Channel Nine in Australia. But what if you want to watch State of Origin live streams? Bookmaker bet365 previously streamed games to members via the Watch and Bet streaming service but that is no longer available due to geo-restrictions.