
State of Origin Game 3 Tips, Prediction & Preview
Queensland are gunning for their third consecutive State of Origin series win when they face a New South Wales side in Game 3 on Wednesday night at Suncorp Stadium
Queensland are gunning for their third consecutive State of Origin series win when they face a New South Wales side in Game 3 on Wednesday night at Suncorp Stadium
Queensland are heavy favourites to win the 2023 State of Origin series after claiming an upset victory in Game 1 in Adelaide.
Queensland (Maroons) will come into the 2025 State of Origin series as slight underdogs after losing to New South Wales (Blues) in 2024.
The Maroons looked on course for a third straight State of Origin title after thumping the Blues 38-10 in the series opener in Sydney. However, New South Wales bounced back in Perth with a 38-18 victory in game two before sealing a famous 14-4 win at Suncorp Stadium to claim their first Origin title since 2021.
At Bettingpro.com.au, our team of expert rugby league writers provide the best betting tips throughout the State of Origin series as Queensland and New South Wales go toe-to-toe in this annual showdown.
Whether you’re after Origin predictions, top bets, or detailed match previews featuring the latest Origin odds, you’ll find comprehensive coverage of ‘Australia’s greatest sporting rivalry’ right here at Bettingpro.com.au.
Searching for expert NRL tips? Our team of seasoned tipsters provide detailed previews for every NRL game throughout the season.
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New South Wales are the favourites to win the 2025 State of Origin series.
Click here for the latest State of Origin odds.
In the past, placing a State of Origin bet meant making a trip to your local TAB. Today, you can easily bet on the Origin series online with top bookmakers like Ladbrokes or Bet365. Once you’ve set up an account, you can place your bets from anywhere – whether you’re at home, at work, or on the go.
Furthermore, Australia offers plenty of options when it comes to choosing a bookmaker for sports betting. Whether you’re after competitive odds, generous promotions, or the ability to place same-game multi-bets, it’s crucial to select a bookmaker that suits your specific betting needs
We’ve compiled a list of the top bookmakers for betting on the State of Origin series, and you can explore detailed reviews of each one.
Your options are extensive when it comes to betting on rugby league. We’ve listed some of the most popular rugby league betting markets below.
Match Winner: The match winner marker is the most straightforward bet you can make on rugby league as you simply pick the team you think will win. If your chosen team wins, so does your bet.
Line Betting: Line betting gives one team a points handicap to make the match more even. For example, if New South Wales are heavily favoured to beat Queensland, they might be given a -8 point line, meaning they need to win by more than 8 points for your bet to be successful. Alternatively, you can bet on Queensland to stay within the margin of defeat, meaning they must lose by fewer than 8 points. Essentially, line betting levels the playing field and brings one-sided contests to life.
Winning Margin: The winning margin market involves the specific point difference by which a team will win. For example, if you think New South Wales will win by a narrow margin against Queensland, you might place a bet on them winning by 1-7 points. If you believe they’ll dominate the match, you could bet on a larger margin, like 8-14 or even 15+ points.
Half-Time/Full-Time Outcome: They say rugby league is a game of two halves and in this market, you predict the outcome of both the first half and the full game. For example, you could bet on New South Wales to be leading at half-time but for Queensland to come back and win by full-time. Alternatively, you might predict New South Wales to lead at both half-time and full-time.
Try Scorers: The try scorer market lets you bet on specific players to score a try during a match. For example, you can place a bet on the first try scorer, the last try scorer, or even any time try scorers.
Highest Scoring Half: The highest scoring half market lets you bet on which half will have the most points scored. You can choose the first half, the second half, or a draw if both halves see the same amount of points scored.
Total Points Odd/Even: The total points odd/even market lets you bet on whether the total number of points scored in the match will be an odd or even number. If the final score adds up to 21 points, an “odd” bet wins. If it’s 22 points, an “even” bet wins. It’s a straightforward 50/50 choice.
Exclusive 365AUCODE referral code: bet365 does not offer bonus codes in Australia and this referral code does not grant access to offers. 18+ Only. T&Cs available on website.What is Gambling Really Costing You? What are you prepared to lose today? Set a Deposit Limit For free and confidential support call 1800 858 858 or visit gamblinghelponline.org.au T&Cs available on website. What is Gambling Really Costing You? What are you prepared to lose today? Set a Deposit Limit For free and confidential support call 1800 858 858 or visit gamblinghelponline.org.au T&Cs available on website. What is Gambling Really Costing You? What are you prepared to lose today? Set a Deposit Limit For free and confidential support call 1800 858 858 or visit gamblinghelponline.org.au
The 2025 State of Origin will mark the 44th edition of what is often described as Australia’s greatest sporting rivalry.
This fierce contest sees New South Wales and Queensland go head-to-head in a three-game series, with players representing the state where they played their first senior game — hence the title ‘State of Origin.’
For most of the State of Origin’s history, the contest has been even, with only seven 3-0 clean sweeps recorded in 43 years.
While the games enjoy a comeptive ebb and flow, Queensland do enjoy a historical advantage, leading New South Wales 24-17. Two series were drawn before the introduction of the golden point rule in 2004, which ensured there would always be a victor.
Queensland’s superiority was established between 2006 and 2013 when they secured eight consecutive Origin titles.
The Maroons’ dominance also extends to total wins, with Queensland having won 70 of the 132 State of Origin games played. New South Wales’ win tally stands at 60, with the two additional draws rounding out the total.
Year | Winner | Score |
---|---|---|
1982 | Queensland | 2-1 |
1983 | Queensland | 2-1 |
1984 | Queensland | 2-1 |
1985 | New South Wales | 2-1 |
1986 | New South Wales | 3-0 |
1987 | Queensland | 2-1 |
1988 | Queensland | 3-0 |
1989 | Queensland | 3-0 |
1990 | New South Wales | 2-1 |
1991 | Queensland | 2-1 |
1992 | New South Wales | 2-1 |
1993 | New South Wales | 2-1 |
1994 | New South Wales | 2-1 |
1995 | Queensland | 3-0 |
1996 | New South Wales | 3-0 |
1997 | New South Wales | 2-1 |
1998 | Queensland | 2-1 |
1999 | Draw | 1-1-1 |
2000 | New South Wales | 3-0 |
2001 | Queensland | 2-1 |
2002 | Draw | 1-1-1 |
2003 | New South Wales | 2-1 |
2004 | New South Wales | 2-1 |
2005 | New South Wales | 2-1 |
2006 | Queensland | 2-1 |
2007 | Queensland | 2-1 |
2008 | Queensland | 2-1 |
2009 | Queensland | 2-1 |
2010 | Queensland | 3-0 |
2011 | Queensland | 2-1 |
2012 | Queensland | 2-1 |
2013 | Queensland | 2-1 |
2014 | New South Wales | 2-1 |
2015 | Queensland | 2-1 |
2016 | Queensland | 2-1 |
2017 | Queensland | 2-1 |
2018 | New South Wales | 2-1 |
2019 | New South Wales | 2-1 |
2020 | Queensland | 2-1 |
2021 | New South Wales | 2-1 |
2022 | Queensland | 2-1 |
2023 | Queensland | 2-1 |
2024 | New South Wales | 2-1 |
Most series wins: 24, Queensland
Most titles: 26, Queensland
Most consecutive games won: 8, Queensland (Game II, 1987 – Game III, 1989)
Most consecutive series wins: 8, Queensland (2006–2013)
Most series clean sweeps: 4, Queensland (1988–1989, 1995, 2010)
Largest winning margin: 46, Queensland (52–6 over New South Wales, Game III, 2015)
Most points scored in a game: 72, New South Wales (56–16 over Queensland, Game III, 2000)
Most points scored by a team in a game: 56, New South Wales (56–16 over Queensland, Game III, 2000)
Most games played: 42, Cameron Smith (2003–2017, Queensland)
Most consecutive games played: 36, Johnathan Thurston (2005–2017, Queensland)
Most games as captain: 30, Wally Lewis (1981–1991, Queensland)
Most games won by a player: 24, Cameron Smith (2003–2017, Queensland)
Most series wins by a player: 11, Cameron Smith (2006–2013, 2015–2017) & Johnathan Thurston (2006–2013, 2015–2017), Queensland
Most Man of the Match awards: 8, Wally Lewis (1982–1991, Queensland)
Most points scored: 224, Johnathan Thurston (2005–2017, Queensland)
Most tries scored: 18, Greg Inglis (2006–2018, Queensland)
Most goals scored: 101, Johnathan Thurston (2005–2017, Queensland)
Most field goals in a game: 2, Ben Elias (Game III, 1994, New South Wales) & Andrew Johns (2003, New South Wales)
Most tries in a series: 5, Ryan Girdler (2000, New South Wales) & Lote Tuqiri (2002, Queensland)
Most goals in a series: 16, Ryan Girdler (2000, New South Wales)
Try Scorer | State | Tries | Games |
---|---|---|---|
Greg Inglis | QLD | 18 | 32 |
Darius Boyd | QLD | 17 | 28 |
Valentine Holmes | QLD | 13 | 18 |
Dale Shearer | QLD | 12 | 26 |
Billy Slater | QLD | 12 | 31 |
Dane Gagai | QLD | 12 | 22 |
Josh Addo-Carr | NSW | 11 | 15 |
Michael O’Connor | NSW | 11 | 19 |
Jarryd Hayne | NSW | 11 | 23 |
Allan Langer | QLD | 10 | 34 |
Hamiso Tabuai-Fidow | QLD | 9 | 6 |
Tom Trbojevic | NSW | 9 | 10 |
Darren Lockyer | QLD | 9 | 36 |
Timana Tahu | NSW | 8 | 12 |
Anthony Minichiello | NSW | 8 | 11 |
James Tedesco | NSW | 8 | 23 |
Point Scorer | State | Games | Tries | Goals | Field Goals | Points | Average |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Johnathan Thurston | QLD | 37 | 5 | 99 | 2 | 220 | 5.95 |
Mal Meninga | QLD | 32 | 6 | 69 | 0 | 161 | 5.03 |
Michael O’Connor | NSW | 19 | 11 | 42 | 1 | 129 | 6.79 |
Valentine Holmes | QLD | 16 | 13 | 28 | 0 | 108 | 6.75 |
Andrew Johns | NSW | 23 | 4 | 37 | 4 | 94 | 4.09 |
Nathan Cleary | NSW | 14 | 2 | 43 | 0 | 94 | 6.71 |
Ryan Girdler | NSW | 8 | 7 | 27 | 0 | 82 | 10.25 |
Darren Lockyer | QLD | 36 | 9 | 22 | 2 | 82 | 2.28 |
Greg Inglis | QLD | 32 | 18 | 0 | 0 | 72 | 2.25 |
James Maloney | NSW | 14 | 2 | 31 | 0 | 70 | 5.00 |
Darius Boyd | QLD | 28 | 17 | 0 | 0 | 68 | 2.43 |
Dale Shearer | QLD | 26 | 12 | 6 | 0 | 66 | 2.54 |
Rod Wishart | NSW | 22 | 5 | 23 | 0 | 66 | 3.00 |
Player | State | Games | Years |
---|---|---|---|
Cameron Smith | QLD | 42 | 2003–2017 |
Johnathan Thurston | QLD | 37 | 2005–2017 |
Darren Lockyer | QLD | 36 | 1998–2011 |
Allan Langer | QLD | 34 | 1987–2002 |
Petero Civoniceva | QLD | 33 | 2001–2012 |
Mal Meninga | QLD | 32 | 1980–1994 |
Nate Myles | QLD | 32 | 2006–2017 |
Greg Inglis | QLD | 32 | 2006–2018 |
Wally Lewis | QLD | 31 | 1980–1991 |
Brad Fittler | NSW | 31 | 1990–2004 |
Billy Slater | QLD | 31 | 2004–2018 |
Looking for the best online betting sites in Australia for the 2025 State of Origin? Here at Bettingpro.com.au we provide the most up-to-date information on which bookmakers are the best in Australia.
18+ T&C's Apply. What is Gambling Really Costing You? What are you prepared to lose today? Set a Deposit Limit For free and confidential support call 1800 858 858 or visit gamblinghelponline.org.au 18+ T&C's Apply. What is Gambling Really Costing You? What are you prepared to lose today? Set a Deposit Limit For free and confidential support call 1800 858 858 or visit gamblinghelponline.org.au 18+ T&C's Apply. What is Gambling Really Costing You? What are you prepared to lose today? Set a Deposit Limit For free and confidential support call 1800 858 858 or visit gamblinghelponline.org.au
State of Origin is an annual best-of-three rugby league series between New South Wales and Queensland, where players represent the state in which they first played senior football.
Queensland has historically dominated the competition, winning more series (24) than New South Wales (17) since the tournament began in 1982.
Greg Inglis holds the all-time record with 18 tries for Queensland between 2006 and 2018.
New South Wales are the early favourite for the 2025 series with bookmakers backing them to retain the shield after their 2-1 2024 victory.
Key factors include team form, injuries, home-ground advantage, and Queensland’s historical dominance at Suncorp Stadium.