State of Origin Game 1 Tips, Prediction & Preview

Andrew Hendrie:
State of Origin Tips

New South Wales and Queensland collide in the opening match of the 2021 State of Origin series in Townsville on Wednesday night.

State of Origin Tips, Preview & Predictions

Queensland vs New South Wales free State of Origin Game 1 tips, predictions and preview – the last three opening Origin games have been decided by 1-12 margins…

State of Origin Game 1 Tips

Best State of Origin Line Odds with Ladbrokes

  • NSW and QLD have split the last 10 meetings at five wins apiece
  • Nine of the last 10 Origin openers have gone under the total points line
  • Three of NSW’s last four wins over QLD have covered the 4.5 line


State of Origin Game 1 Same Game Multi Tips

Best State of Origin Same Game Multi Odds with Ladbrokes

  • Dane Gagai has scored the fifth most Origin tries in QLD history (11 from 13 games)
  • Josh Addo-Carr has scored two tries in two of his last three Origin matches
  • Addo-Carr has scored eight tries from nine Origin games in his career (third most in NSW history)

 


State of Origin Game 1 Match Details

🇦🇺 Competition: State of Origin
🗓 Date: Wednesday June 9
Time: 8.10pm AEST
🏟 Stadium: Queensland County Bank Stadium


Queensland vs New South Wales Head to Head (last five matches)

  • 18/11/20: QLD 20-14 NSW
  • 11/11/20: NSW 34-10 QLD
  • 4/11/20: QLD 18-14 NSW
  • 10/7/19: NSW 26-20 QLD
  • 23/6/19: QLD 6-38 NSW

State of Origin Game 1 Preview and Prediction

NSW will be determined to atone for last year’s upset series loss to a Queensland team many pundits dubbed as the ‘worst ever’.

Brad Fittler, who restored some pride to the Blues camp with back-to-back Origin series triumphs in 2018-19, conceded he was out-coached by Wayne Bennett last November, but we’re confident the tables will turn in 2021.

Queensland have been hit hard by injuries ahead of Game 1, with Kalyn Ponga officially ruled out in the lead-up. Valentine Holmes is set to shift to fullback, with Kyle Feldt earning a debut on the wing.

There’s also injury concerns surrounding more of the Maroons spine, with Cameron Munster battling a foot problem and Harry Grant nursing a hamstring issue. Both haven’t played club footy for Melbourne over the last few weeks.

Meanwhile, NSW will field an ultra-talented side that features five players of the currently undefeated Penrith Panthers side.

The Blues backline of James Tedesco, Brian To’o, Latrell Mitchell, Tom Trbojevic and Josh Addo-Carr, along with Panthers halves duo Jarome Luai and Nathan Cleary looks like one of the strongest NSW will have started in recent memory.

Luai and Cleary have a combination that dates back to junior footy, while NSW also have the option to bring on Jack Wighton to play a variety of positions off the bench.

VERDICT:

We’ve been burned before by tipping against Queensland in their home state, but we can’t back against this impressive Blues line-up.

NSW really should have won last year’s series 3-0, but they fell flat at crucial moments. They’ll be better for the run, especially Cleary, who has been on fire this season.

With the likes of Tedesco, Addo-Carr, Tommy Turbo and Latrell in the backline, the Blues should have too many points in them for a Queensland side who bring a host of injury concerns into this showdown (Best Line odds (NSW -4.5) of $2.00 with Ladbrokes).


Queensland vs New South Wales Teams

Kalyn Ponga is out for Queensland, which sees Valentine Holmes shift to fullback and Kyle Feldt make his Origin debut on the wing.

At this stage, Cameron Munster and Harry Grant have been named in the spine despite carrying injuries.

Panthers trio Jarome Luai, Brian To’o and Liam Martin make their Origin debuts for NSW, while Payne Haas, James Tedesco and Josh Addo-Carr have all been cleared to play after overcoming respective niggles.

Queensland: 1. Valentine Holmes 2. Xavier Coates 3. Kurt Capewell 4. Dane Gagai 5. Kyle Feldt 6. Cameron Munster 7. Daly Cherry-Evans 8. Christian Welch 9. Harry Grant 10. Tino Fa’asuamaleaui 11. Felise Kaufusi 12. David Fifita 13. Jai Arrow 14. AJ Brimson 15. Jaydn Su’A 16. Moeaki Fotuaika 17. Joe Ofahengaue 18. Kyle Feldt 19. Reed Mahoney 20. Coen Hess

New South Wales: 1. James Tedesco 2. Brian To’o 3. Latrell Mitchell 4. Tom Trbojevic 5. Josh Addo-Carr 6. Jarome Luai 7. Nathan Cleary 8. Daniel Saifiti 9. Damien Cook 10. Jake Trbojevic 11. Cam Murray 12. Tariq Sims 13. Isaah Yeo 14. Jack Wighton 15. Junior Paulo 16. Payne Haas 17. Liam Martin 18. Apisai Koroisau 19. Campbell Graham


State of Origin Stats

  • NSW and QLD have split the last 10 meetings at five wins apiece
  • Nine of the last 10 Origin openers have gone under the total points line
  • Three of NSW’s last four wins over QLD have covered the 4.5 line
  • Seven of the last 10 Origin games have been decided by 1-12 margins
  • The last three straight Origin openers have been decided by 1-12 margins
  • Valentine Holmes has been the first try scorer in three of his last four Origin games
  • Xavier Coates has scored a try in his last two Origin games
  • Dane Gagai has scored the fifth most Origin tries in QLD history (11 from 13 games)
  • Josh Addo-Carr has scored two tries in two of his last three Origin matches
  • Addo-Carr has scored eight tries from nine Origin games in his career (third most in NSW history)

State of Origin Game 1 Best Bet

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