State of Origin Game 3 Tips, Prediction & Preview

Andrew Hendrie:
State of Origin Tips

New South Wales vs Queensland State of Origin Game 3 tips and preview will be available in the days leading up to the game.

State of Origin Tips, Preview & Predictions

Queensland vs New South Wales free State of Origin Game 3 tips, predictions and preview – NSW haven’t won an Origin series 3-0 since 2000…

State of Origin Game 3 Tips

Best Total Points odds with Ladbrokes

  • Eight of the last 12 Origin matches have gone under the total points line
  • In seven of the last eight Origin series, the team that lost Game 2 has covered the line in Game 3
  • Seven of the last 12 Origin games have been decided by a 1-12 margin
  • Fifteen of the last 17 Origin matches have produced under 46.5 points

State of Origin Game 3 Same Game Multi Tips

Best Same Game Multi Odds with Ladbrokes

  • Tom Trbojevic has scored a try in his last four Origin away games, scored a hat-trick in Game 1 and crossed again in Game 2
  • Josh Addo-Carr has scored 10 tries in 11 Origin matches
  • Latrell Mitchell has scored at least one try in both Origin games this series
  • Valentine Holmes has scored a try in his last three Origin Game 3 matches – and all three were the first try of the match

State of Origin Game 3 Match Details

🇦🇺 Competition: State of Origin
🗓 Date: Wednesday July 14
Time: 8.10pm AEST
🏟 Stadium: Cbus Super Stadium


Queensland vs New South Wales Head to Head (last five matches)

  • 27/6/21: QLD 0-26 NSW
  • 9/6/21: QLD 6-50 NSW
  • 18/11/20: QLD 20-14 NSW
  • 11/11/20: NSW 34-10 QLD
  • 4/11/20: QLD 18-14 NSW

State of Origin Game 3 Preview and Prediction

It’s been a turbulent build-up to Origin III, but NSW will get their chance to complete a historic clean sweep over Queensland when the two sides square off on Wednesday night.

Originally scheduled to be played in Newcastle, the game was controversially switched to the Gold Coast on Saturday due to the pandemic worsening across Sydney.

The Blues have crushed the Maroons by a combined score of 76-6 in the first two games in Townsville and Brisbane and will now try and repeat those performances on the Gold Coast.

Brad Fittler has been forced into some big changes, with star halves Nathan Cleary and Jarome Luai both sidelined with injuries.

Mitchell Moses gets his chance in the Origin arena for the first time and will be partnered in the halves by Jack Wighton, who hasn’t played many minutes off the bench so far this series.

While the loss of Cleary and Luai is massive, NSW will still be supremely confident of conquering the Maroons.

Tom Trbojevic has arguably been the player of the series and has been the best player in the NRL all season, while he’s scored four tries in the two Origin games so far.

Likewise, Latrell Mitchell has been in career-best form for the first two games, crossing the stripe for three tries and repeatedly busting the line.

Speaking of busting the line, the Blues have made a total of 17 line breaks for the series, compared to just one from Queensland. That’s a huge stat.

The Maroons will be boosted by the return of Kalyn Ponga at fullback, but their preparation hasn’t been ideal, with Jai Arrow stood down and fined for breaching health protocols.

Queensland have been absolutely woeful this series and have managed just the one try across the first two games.

Paul Green’s side are obviously well below par in attack, with their halves Cameron Munster and Daly Cherry-Evans looking extremely disjointed throughout Game 2.

Even with all three games being staged in Queensland this year, it’s very likely the Maroons will be whitewashed for the first time in 21 years.

VERDICT:

It’s a tough match to call. On one hand, the Blues have been incredibly dominant and are many classes above their Maroon rivals.

However, the loss of Cleary and Luai is enormous and should put a dent in their attack. There’s also a chance NSW take the foot off the pedal ever so slightly having already wrapped up the series.

On the other hand, Queensland have halved the points difference from Game 1 to Game 2 and surely need to offer a response. They’ve been embarrassed in this series and need to salvage some pride in Game 3.

We’ll be focusing on the total points market as a result – eight of the last 12 Origin games have gone under the points line, and with Queensland scoring just one try all series and NSW losing their two halves, we can see a low-scoring game playing out on Wednesday night (Best under 46.5 total points odds $1.90 with Ladbrokes).


State Of Origins 3 Betting Promotions

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 


Queensland vs New South Wales Teams

Jai Arrow has been sacked from the Queensland side, with Tiny Fa’asuamaleaui likely to start in the forwards and Thomas Flegler joining the bench.

Kalyn Ponga returns at fullback, pushing Valentine Holmes to the wing and Hamiso Tabuai-Fidow earning a debut in the centres. AJ Brimson will also provide some spark as the utility off the bench.

Nathan Cleary and Jarome Luai are out injured for NSW, with Mitchell Moses making his Origin debut at halfback and Jack Wighton moving from the bench to five-eighth.

Api Koroisau moves into the No. 14 role off the bench, while Dale Finucane gets a start at prop.

Queensland: 1. Kalyn Ponga 2. Valentine Holmes 3. Dane Gagai 4. Hamiso Tabuai-Fidow 5. Xavier Coates 6. Cameron Munster 7. Daly Cherry-Evans 8. Christian Welch 9. Ben Hunt 10. Josh Papalii 11. Kurt Capewell 12. Felise Kaufusi 13. TBA 14. AJ Brimson 15. Tino Fa’asuamaleaui 16. Moeaki Fotuaika 17. TBA 18. Francis Molo, 19. Kurt Mann, 20. Thomas Flegler

New South Wales: 1. James Tedesco 2. Brian To’o 3. Latrell Mitchell 4. Tom Trbojevic 5. Josh Addo-Carr 6. Jack Wighton 7. Mitchell Moses 8. Junior Paulo 9. Damien Cook 10. Dale Finucane 11. Cameron Murray 12. Tariq Sims 13. Isaah Yeo 14. Apisai Koroisau 15. Angus Crichton 16. Payne Haas 17. Liam Martin


State of Origin Stats

  • Eight of the last 12 Origin matches have gone under the total points line
  • In seven of the last eight Origin series, the team that lost Game 2 has covered the line in Game 3
  • Seven of the last 12 Origin games have been decided by a 1-12 margin
  • Fifteen of the last 17 Origin matches have produced under 46.5 points
  • Tom Trbojevic has scored a try in his last four Origin away games, scored a hat-trick in Game 1 and crossed again in Game 2
  • Josh Addo-Carr has scored 10 tries in 11 Origin matches
  • Latrell Mitchell has scored at least one try in both Origin games this series
  • Valentine Holmes has scored a try in his last three Origin Game 3 matches – and all three were the first try of the match

State of Origin Game 3 Best Bet

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