Basketball
AFL
Cricket
Horse Racing
NRL
Soccer
Tennis
All Sports
American Football
Boxing
Betting Masterclass
eSports
Golf
Greyhounds
Motor Sport
Rugby Union
UFC / MMA
Who will win the 2024 NRL Premiership? We have the latest and best odds, along with tips and predictions for numerous markets for throughout the season.
The 2026 NRL Premiership is past the halfway mark of the regular season, and Penrith remain the team to beat at $2.60 after a 12-3 start through Round 17. The New Zealand Warriors ($9.00) sit second and have the schedule to push the Panthers, with Cowboys, Knights, Sea Eagles and Sharks all live at $7-$11. Melbourne Storm — perennial premiership contenders — have slipped to 12th (7-9) and now sit at $29. Below: full NRL premiership odds, top 8 contenders, wooden spoon market and our value picks for the Telstra Premiership 2026.
Next Gen Sports, Racing and Esports bettingT&Cs apply
18+ T&C's Apply. What are you really gambling with? Chances are you're about to lose. Set a Deposit Limit For free and confidential support call 1800 858 858 or visit gamblinghelponline.org.au
Over 18s only. Problem? Visit Gambling Help Online.
Visit
Engage, Connect, and Win Together with Australia's Own Social Betting Platform.T&Cs apply
18+ T&C's Apply. What are you really gambling with? Chances are you're about to lose. Set a Deposit Limit For free and confidential support call 1800 858 858 or visit gamblinghelponline.org.au
Over 18s only. Problem? Visit Gambling Help Online.
Claim
Australia's Newest BookieT&Cs apply
#AD 18+ T&Cs Apply Imagine what you could be buying instead. For free & confidential support call 180 0858 858 or visit gamblinghelponline.org.au
Over 18s only. Problem? Visit Gambling Help Online.
Claim
📊 NRL Premiership 2026 — As at Round 17:
🥇 Penrith Panthers (12-3) — still clear premiership favourites at $2.60 despite back-to-back losses to the Titans and Cowboys; the dynasty bids for a 4th straight flag
🥈 The Dolphins ($7.50) — the market’s second pick, level on points near the top
🥉 Roosters ($9) / Warriors ($11) — heading a tight chasing pack
📈 Congested eight: just two points separate 2nd from 8th after Round 17
🏆 2026 NRL Grand Final: Sunday 4 October 2026, Accor Stadium Sydney
🥇 Penrith Panthers (12-3) — still clear premiership favourites at $2.60 despite back-to-back losses to the Titans and Cowboys; the dynasty bids for a 4th straight flag
🥈 The Dolphins ($7.50) — the market’s second pick, level on points near the top
🥉 Roosters ($9) / Warriors ($11) — heading a tight chasing pack
📈 Congested eight: just two points separate 2nd from 8th after Round 17
🏆 2026 NRL Grand Final: Sunday 4 October 2026, Accor Stadium Sydney
NRL Premiership Odds 2026 — Current Market
| Team | Ladder | Record | Premiership Odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| Penrith Panthers | 1st | 12-3 | $2.60 |
| The Dolphins | 3rd | 10-5 | $7.50 |
| Sydney Roosters | 4th | 10-5 | $9.00 |
| NZ Warriors | 2nd | 10-5 | $11.00 |
| Manly Sea Eagles | 6th | 9-6 | $12.00 |
| South Sydney Rabbitohs | 7th | 8-6 | $13.00 |
| Newcastle Knights | 5th | 10-5 | $19.00 |
| Cronulla Sharks | 8th | 8-6 | $21.00 |
| Melbourne Storm | 12th | 7-9 | $29.00 |
| North Queensland Cowboys | 9th | 9-7 | $29.00 |
Odds typical for major Australian bookmakers as at Round 17. Markets shift sharply each round — bookmark this page for weekly updates.
NRL Premiership 2026 — The Frontrunners
Penrith Panthers — $2.60 (favourite)
The dynasty bid. After three straight flags (2021-22-23), the Panthers have started 2026 at 10-1 with a +200+ points differential. Nathan Cleary’s playmaking is back to peak form after off-season knee management, Dylan Edwards is the world’s best fullback, and Isaah Yeo runs the middle with the kind of polish only a Panthers forward gets. Concern: can they handle the September pressure of going for a 4th in 5 years? History says yes. Value: short at $2.60 but the lowest-variance pick on the board.
New Zealand Warriors — $5.00
The story of 2026. The Warriors at 9-2 are level with their best start since 2007 (the year they reached the Grand Final). Mitchell Barnett’s lock work has been the comp’s best, James Fisher-Harris adds the championship pedigree the Warriors needed, and the Auckland home record (5-0 so far) is real. The path to a finals double-chance is the question — the Warriors’ best Grand Final showing was the 2023 prelim-final loss. Value: each-way at $5.00 is the smart longshot if you back NZ to go top-4.
North Queensland Cowboys — $7.50
Tom Dearden’s emergence as a top-3 halfback in the comp has lifted the Cowboys from rebuild mode to genuine top-4 contender. The Queensland Country Bank Stadium home record is the second-best in the comp (6-0). Scott Drinkwater is a Dally M dark horse. Concern: the Cowboys’ road form against top-half sides has historically been poor. Value: $7.50 is fair — not value but not expensive.
Newcastle Knights — $9.00
Adam O’Brien has finally got the Knights running their best system in years. Bradman Best’s return from injury has given the right edge a real X-factor, Kalyn Ponga continues to anchor the back-three, and Dylan Lucas is the most-improved forward in the comp. McDonald Jones Stadium is a genuine fortress (7-1 home record). Value: $9 has each-way appeal if you trust the home edge.
Manly Sea Eagles — $11.00
Quietly 4th on the ladder after a 5-game winning streak. Daly Cherry-Evans in his last year as captain is operating like a man with one mission — a Manly Premiership in his final season. Tom Trbojevic’s return from injury changes the back-three completely. Concern: The Sea Eagles’ away form (3-3) hasn’t matched their 4 Pines Park dominance (5-1). Value: $11 fair given the schedule from here.
Cronulla Sharks — $11.00
The Sharks have quietly assembled a top-6 squad without anyone outside Cronulla noticing. Nicho Hynes and Braydon Trindall are a genuine 1-2 halves pairing, Cameron McInnes runs the middle hard, and Wade Graham is in career-best form. Value: $11 each-way is the longer-priced Sydney edge option.
The Storm Collapse — $29 from Pre-Season $4.50
Melbourne’s start has been the storyline no-one predicted. At 7-9 after Round 17, the Storm have already lost more games than any of Bellamy’s previous full seasons. The Hughes-Munster halves combination hasn’t gelled this year, Harry Grant’s pre-season knee surgery has cost him mobility, and the back-row has been ravaged by injury. Live or dead? Storm have famously bounced back from worse — but the run home is one of the brutal in the comp.
Best of the Rest
The mid-table teams at $15-$30 — Broncos, Roosters, Wests Tigers, Storm — all have plausible top-8 paths but realistically need to win 9 of their last 11 to bank a top-4 home final. The Roosters at $17 are the live each-way longshot — they finished 9th in 2025 too before charging into a prelim final loss. The Wests Tigers under Benji Marshall are above .500 for the first time in 6 years.
NRL Top 8 Odds 2026
The top 8 race tightens noticeably after Round 17. Near-locked at the top: Penrith, Warriors, Dolphins, Roosters and Knights. Live but not certain: Sea Eagles, Sharks, Rabbitohs, Broncos ($1.50-$2.50). On the bubble at $3-$6: Roosters, Wests Tigers, Storm. Long shots at $10+: Eels, Raiders, Dolphins, Bulldogs.
NRL Grand Final 2026 Odds
The 2026 NRL Grand Final is at Accor Stadium, Sydney on Sunday 4 October 2026. The current Grand Final-makers market favours Penrith ($1.80 to make the GF) + Warriors ($3.50 to make it). A Panthers v Warriors Grand Final would be a first-time matchup and the kind of cross-Tasman storyline the NRL has been waiting for.
NRL Wooden Spoon Odds 2026
Three teams are in the wooden spoon conversation, but the Dragons are essentially locked in:
- St George Illawarra Dragons — $1.20 favourite (0-11, no win in sight)
- Gold Coast Titans — $5.50 (3-9, finishing the season at the Coast usually fine)
- Canberra Raiders — $11.00 (4-7, would need a dramatic collapse)
How Do NRL Premiership Odds Work?
NRL Premiership odds are futures markets set before the season starts and revised after every round. Most major Australian bookmakers offer the Premiership Winner market (one team, all-or-nothing) plus shorter-term markets like Make the Top 4 or Top 8. Each-way bets are typically 1/4 odds for a top-4 finish or Grand Final appearance. Money settles on the eventual GF winner.
NRL Betting Tools & Hubs
- NRL Ladder Predictor 2026 — Build your predicted final ladder
- NRL Round-by-Round Predictions — Weekly previews + tips
- NRL Match Predictions: Team-by-Team — Every H2H matchup
- State of Origin 2026 — Origin hub + game tips
- Dally M Medal Odds 2026 — Best player tracker
- NRL Multi Bet Tips
Best Bookmakers for NRL Premiership Odds
NRL futures markets vary widely between bookmakers — sometimes by a full price point on Penrith or the Warriors. Best practice: shop around. The deepest NRL premiership markets in 2026 are at:
#AD 18+ T&Cs Apply Imagine what you could be buying instead. For free & confidential support call 180 0858 858 or visit gamblinghelponline.org.au
18+ T&C's Apply. What are you really gambling with? Chances are you're about to lose. Set a Deposit Limit For free and confidential support call 1800 858 858 or visit gamblinghelponline.org.au
18+ T&C's Apply. What are you really gambling with? Chances are you're about to lose. Set a Deposit Limit For free and confidential support call 1800 858 858 or visit gamblinghelponline.org.au
18+ T&C's Apply. What are you really gambling with? Chances are you're about to lose. Set a Deposit Limit For free and confidential support call 1800 858 858 or visit gamblinghelponline.org.au
#AD 18+ T&Cs Apply Imagine what you could be buying instead. For free & confidential support call 180 0858 858 or visit gamblinghelponline.org.au
18+ T&C's Apply. What are you really gambling with? Chances are you're about to lose. Set a Deposit Limit For free and confidential support call 1800 858 858 or visit gamblinghelponline.org.au
Exclusive 365AUCODE referral code: bet365 does not offer bonus codes in Australia and this referral code does not grant access to offers.18+ T&C's Apply. What are you really gambling with? Chances are you're about to lose. Set a Deposit Limit For free and confidential support call 1800 858 858 or visit gamblinghelponline.org.au
NRL Premiership Odds FAQs
Who are the favourites to win the 2026 NRL Premiership?
Penrith Panthers ($2.60) remain favourites after a 12-3 start through Round 17. New Zealand Warriors ($9.00) sit second, with Cowboys ($7.50), Knights ($9), Sea Eagles ($11) and Sharks ($11) the chasing pack.
When is the 2026 NRL Grand Final?
Sunday 4 October 2026, Accor Stadium, Sydney. Live on Channel 9 (free-to-air) + Fox League + Kayo Sports.
Can the Panthers win four flags in a row?
Mathematically yes — Penrith won 2021, 2022 and 2023, then lost the 2024 Grand Final to Brisbane. A 2026 flag would be their 4th in 5 years, an unprecedented modern dynasty.
How can the Storm be $29 to win the Premiership?
At 7-9 after Round 17, Melbourne would need to win most of their remaining games plus get hot in finals — a path that’s mathematically possible but virtually impossible based on recent NRL form. Bellamy’s previous worst start was 7-5 (still made the GF). 7-9 is unprecedented.
What are the NRL top 8 odds for 2026?
Top 8 odds favour the current top 5-6 sides heavily (~$1.20-$1.50) with mid-table sides like Roosters and Tigers paying $2-$4 each-way for a top-8 finish.
Who will get the 2026 NRL wooden spoon?
The St George Illawarra Dragons at 0-11 are heavy favourites at $1.20. Gold Coast Titans ($5.50) and Canberra Raiders ($11) are the only realistic alternatives.
How often do NRL premiership odds change?
Significantly each round, with biggest movements after upset results, key injuries (especially halves), and around State of Origin. Our page is refreshed weekly to reflect current market.
Responsible gambling: Gamble responsibly. For free and confidential support call Gambling Help on 1800 858 858 or visit gamblinghelponline.org.au. 18+ only.
RELATED STORIES
State of Origin Game 2 2026 Result: Maroons Demolish NSW 44-24 to Level Series
NRL Round 17 Preview & Predictions
NRL Round 16 Results: Highlights & Expert Analysis
NRL Round 15 Results: Highlights & Expert Analysis
NRL Round-by-Round Predictions 2026 | Best Bets & Tips Every Round
NRL Round 16 Preview & Predictions
Raiders vs Eels | Head to Head, Tips, Odds & Predictions
Warriors vs Sharks | Head to Head, Tips, Odds & Predictions
