NRL Premiership Odds 2026 | Telstra Premiership Winner Betting & Tips

NRL Odds

Who will win the NRL Premiership? The latest premiership odds, with tips and predictions for the main futures markets and the Grand Final.

The 2026 NRL Premiership is down to two teams. The Roosters beat the Dolphins 36-20 and Newcastle beat minor premiers Penrith 22-14, so the Grand Final at Accor Stadium on Sunday 4 October is the Roosters against the Knights. Penrith took the minor premiership by 26 points of differential over the Warriors, who then lost both of their finals. The premiership prices in the table below were taken before the finals began and are kept as a record of where the market stood, not as a live board. Below: the final ladder, the two sides left, how the eight was decided, the Grand Final market and the wooden spoon.

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NRL Premiership 2026: Roosters v Knights. The Roosters beat the Dolphins 36-20 and Newcastle beat Penrith 22-14 with 12 men for the second half. Preliminary final results →
Grand Final: Sunday 4 October 2026, 7:30pm AEDT, Accor Stadium.

NRL Premiership Odds 2026: Ladder & Flag Prices

Team Ladder Record Diff Premiership Odds
Penrith Panthers 1st 18-6 +336 $3.20
Sydney Roosters 4th 16-8 +118 $4.50
NZ Warriors 2nd 18-6 +310 $4.50
The Dolphins 3rd 17-7 +156 $9.00
Cronulla Sharks 5th 14-10 +149 $13.00
South Sydney Rabbitohs 6th 14-10 +113 $23.00
Newcastle Knights 7th 14-10 +42 $26.00
North Queensland Cowboys 8th 13-11 -84 $51.00
Canterbury Bulldogs 12th 11-13 -60 $67.00
Manly Sea Eagles 9th 11-13 +99 $201.00

Final 2026 ladder after Round 27, all sides on 24 games. Premiership prices are a market snapshot from 24 August 2026, taken before the finals began, and are shown with that date rather than as a live price. Compare current markets at Picklebet, Neds, Ladbrokes, Dabble and bet365 before betting.

The 2026 NRL Premiership: Two Left

Sydney Roosters

Fourth at 16-8 and +118. Beaten 19-12 by Penrith in week one, they answered with 46-10 over Cronulla and then 36-20 over the Dolphins at Suncorp, with Sam Walker back at halfback 27 days after his syndesmosis injury. They are into their first Grand Final since 2019, and Trent Robinson has won all three he has coached. Connor Watson is set to miss it after a category-one HIA, with the club seeking an exemption, and Victor Radley is free to play after a Grade 1 charge was settled with a $3,000 fine.

Newcastle Knights

Seventh at 14-10 and +42, a year after taking the wooden spoon, and now in their first Grand Final since 2001. They have won three finals as the away side: 20-10 against South Sydney at Allianz, 12-10 against the Warriors at Eden Park and 22-14 against Penrith at Accor Stadium, the last with 12 men for the whole second half. Phoenix Crossland, sent off for the hip drop that broke Nathan Cleary’s leg, pleaded guilty at the judiciary and was banned for four matches, so he misses the Grand Final. The Roosters have won all five meetings between the clubs since 2023.

How the other six went out

Penrith finished minor premiers, beat the Roosters 19-12 in their qualifying final and went out 22-14 at home to Newcastle in a preliminary final, after losing Nathan Cleary to a broken leg late in the first half. The Dolphins finished third, won the first final in the club’s history, 26-16 away to the Warriors, and went out 36-20 to the Roosters in a home preliminary final at Suncorp. The Warriors finished second and lost both of their finals, 26-16 to the Dolphins and 12-10 to Newcastle. Cronulla beat North Queensland 26-16 before losing 46-10 to the Roosters. South Sydney and the Cowboys went out in the first week. The full draw is on our NRL finals bracket.

How the Eight Was Decided

Penrith and the Warriors both finished 18-6 on 42 points, and Penrith took first place on differential, +336 to +310. Three sides finished level on 34 points and were separated by differential alone: Cronulla fifth, South Sydney sixth and Newcastle seventh. North Queensland took eighth on 32 points with a differential of -84, while Manly missed the eight on 28 points with +99, better than three of the sides inside it.

Melbourne finished tenth on 28 points, outside the finals, with a differential of +18 that shows how many close games they lost. Canberra and Canterbury also finished on 28.

NRL Grand Final 2026 Odds

The 2026 NRL Grand Final is at Accor Stadium, Sydney on Sunday 4 October 2026, kicking off at 7:30pm AEDT. It is the Roosters against Newcastle: the Roosters’ first Grand Final since 2019, and Newcastle’s first since 2001. Penrith, the shortest price all season, went out in the preliminary finals. Friday’s winner gets nine days to prepare and Sunday’s winner seven, which is worth keeping in mind for a side that has just played two knockout games in a row.

NRL Wooden Spoon 2026

St George Illawarra finished last, 17th on 16 points from a 5-19 season with the competition’s worst differential at -325. Gold Coast were 16th on 18 points. It follows Newcastle taking the spoon in 2025, which makes the Knights’ run to a preliminary final a year later all the more striking.

How Do NRL Premiership Odds Work?

NRL Premiership odds are futures markets set before the season starts and revised after every round. Most major Australian bookmakers offer the Premiership Winner market (one team, all-or-nothing) plus shorter-term markets like Make the Top 4 or Top 8. Each-way bets are typically 1/4 odds for a top-4 finish or Grand Final appearance. Money settles on the eventual GF winner.

NRL Betting Tools & Hubs

Best Bookmakers for NRL Premiership Odds

NRL futures markets vary widely between bookmakers, sometimes by a full price point on Penrith or the Warriors. Best practice: shop around. The deepest NRL premiership markets in 2026 are at:

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NRL Premiership Odds FAQs

Who are the favourites to win the 2026 NRL Premiership?
The Grand Final is the Roosters against Newcastle. Before the finals the market had the Roosters at $4.50 and Newcastle at $26.00, while Penrith, the favourites at $3.20, are out. Check the live Grand Final price with your bookmaker.

When is the 2026 NRL Grand Final?
Sunday 4 October 2026, 7:30pm AEDT, at Accor Stadium, Sydney. Live on Channel 9 free-to-air plus Fox League and Kayo Sports.

Who won the 2026 NRL minor premiership?
Penrith, finishing 18-6 on 42 points and taking first place from the Warriors on differential, +336 to +310.

Who is left in the 2026 NRL finals?
The Roosters and Newcastle, who meet in the Grand Final on Sunday 4 October. The Roosters beat the Dolphins 36-20 and Newcastle beat Penrith 22-14 in the preliminary finals.

Can the Panthers win five flags in six seasons?
No. Penrith went out 22-14 to Newcastle in the preliminary final. They won four consecutive premierships from 2021 to 2024 before Brisbane beat Melbourne 26-22 in the 2025 Grand Final to break the streak.

Did the Storm make the finals?
No. Melbourne finished tenth on 28 points with a differential of +18, outside the eight.

Who got the 2026 NRL wooden spoon?
St George Illawarra, finishing 17th on 16 points from a 5-19 season, with the competition’s worst differential at -325.

How often do NRL premiership odds change?
Significantly each round, with the biggest moves after upsets, halves injuries and around State of Origin. Always confirm the live price with your bookmaker.

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