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Who will win the NRL Premiership? The latest premiership odds, with tips and predictions for the main futures markets and the Grand Final.
The Sydney Roosters won the 2026 NRL Premiership, beating Newcastle 19-18 in the Grand Final at Accor Stadium on Sunday 4 October. They had beaten the Dolphins 36-20 in a preliminary final, while Newcastle beat minor premiers Penrith 22-14. Penrith took the minor premiership by 26 points of differential over the Warriors, who then lost both of their finals. The premiership prices in the table below were taken before the finals began and are kept as a record of where the market stood, not as a live board. Below: the final ladder, the two sides that reached the Grand Final, how the eight was decided, the Grand Final and the wooden spoon.
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NRL Premiership 2026: Roosters win it, 19-18. A Daly Cherry-Evans field goal put them seven clear before Newcastle scored late and fell one point short. Grand Final results →
NRL Premiership Odds 2026: Ladder & Flag Prices
| Team | Ladder | Record | Diff | Premiership Odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Penrith Panthers | 1st | 18-6 | +336 | $3.20 |
| Sydney Roosters | 4th | 16-8 | +118 | $4.50 |
| NZ Warriors | 2nd | 18-6 | +310 | $4.50 |
| The Dolphins | 3rd | 17-7 | +156 | $9.00 |
| Cronulla Sharks | 5th | 14-10 | +149 | $13.00 |
| South Sydney Rabbitohs | 6th | 14-10 | +113 | $23.00 |
| Newcastle Knights | 7th | 14-10 | +42 | $26.00 |
| North Queensland Cowboys | 8th | 13-11 | -84 | $51.00 |
| Canterbury Bulldogs | 12th | 11-13 | -60 | $67.00 |
| Manly Sea Eagles | 9th | 11-13 | +99 | $201.00 |
Final 2026 ladder after Round 27, all sides on 24 games. Premiership prices are a market snapshot from 24 August 2026, taken before the finals began, and are shown with that date rather than as a live price. Compare current markets at Picklebet, Neds, Ladbrokes, Dabble and bet365 before betting.
The 2026 NRL Premiership: The Grand Finalists
Sydney Roosters
Fourth at 16-8 and +118. Beaten 19-12 by Penrith in week one, they answered with 46-10 over Cronulla and then 36-20 over the Dolphins at Suncorp, with Sam Walker back at halfback 27 days after his syndesmosis injury. They won the Grand Final, their first title since 2019, and Trent Robinson has now won all four he has coached. Connor Watson missed it after failing to be cleared from a category-one HIA, and Victor Radley played after a Grade 1 charge was settled with a $3,000 fine.
Newcastle Knights
Seventh at 14-10 and +42, a year after taking the wooden spoon, and in their first Grand Final since 2001. They have won three finals as the away side: 20-10 against South Sydney at Allianz, 12-10 against the Warriors at Eden Park and 22-14 against Penrith at Accor Stadium, the last with 12 men for the whole second half. Phoenix Crossland, sent off for the hip drop that broke Nathan Cleary’s leg, pleaded guilty at the judiciary and was banned for four matches, so he missed the Grand Final. The Roosters have now won all six meetings between the clubs since 2023, five of them by four points or fewer.
How the other six went out
Penrith finished minor premiers, beat the Roosters 19-12 in their qualifying final and went out 22-14 at home to Newcastle in a preliminary final, after losing Nathan Cleary to a broken leg late in the first half. The Dolphins finished third, won the first final in the club’s history, 26-16 away to the Warriors, and went out 36-20 to the Roosters in a home preliminary final at Suncorp. The Warriors finished second and lost both of their finals, 26-16 to the Dolphins and 12-10 to Newcastle. Cronulla beat North Queensland 26-16 before losing 46-10 to the Roosters. South Sydney and the Cowboys went out in the first week. The full draw is on our NRL finals bracket.
How the Eight Was Decided
Penrith and the Warriors both finished 18-6 on 42 points, and Penrith took first place on differential, +336 to +310. Three sides finished level on 34 points and were separated by differential alone: Cronulla fifth, South Sydney sixth and Newcastle seventh. North Queensland took eighth on 32 points with a differential of -84, while Manly missed the eight on 28 points with +99, better than three of the sides inside it.
Melbourne finished tenth on 28 points, outside the finals, with a differential of +18 that shows how many close games they lost. Canberra and Canterbury also finished on 28.
NRL Grand Final 2026 Result
The 2026 NRL Grand Final was played at Accor Stadium, Sydney on Sunday 4 October 2026. The Roosters beat Newcastle 19-18, the Roosters’ first Grand Final since 2019 and Newcastle’s first since 2001. Penrith, the shortest price all season, went out in the preliminary finals.
NRL Wooden Spoon 2026
St George Illawarra finished last, 17th on 16 points from a 5-19 season with the competition’s worst differential at -325. Gold Coast were 16th on 18 points. It follows Newcastle taking the spoon in 2025, which makes the Knights’ run to a preliminary final a year later all the more striking.
How Do NRL Premiership Odds Work?
NRL Premiership odds are futures markets set before the season starts and revised after every round. Most major Australian bookmakers offer the Premiership Winner market (one team, all-or-nothing) plus shorter-term markets like Make the Top 4 or Top 8. Each-way bets are typically 1/4 odds for a top-4 finish or Grand Final appearance. Money settles on the eventual GF winner.
NRL Betting Tools & Hubs
- NRL Ladder Predictor 2026: Build your predicted final ladder
- NRL Round-by-Round Predictions: Weekly previews + tips
- NRL Match Predictions: Team-by-Team: Every H2H matchup
- State of Origin 2026: Origin hub + game tips
- Rugby League World Cup: tournament odds and tips for every game
- Dally M Medal Odds 2026: Best player tracker
- NRL Finals 2026 — bracket, fixtures & results
- NRL Multi Bet Tips
Best Bookmakers for NRL Premiership Odds
NRL futures markets vary widely between bookmakers, sometimes by a full price point on Penrith or the Warriors. Best practice: shop around. The deepest NRL premiership markets in 2026 are at:
#AD 18+ T&Cs Apply Imagine what you could be buying instead. For free & confidential support call 180 0858 858 or visit gamblinghelponline.org.au
18+ T&C's Apply. What are you really gambling with? Chances are you're about to lose. Set a Deposit Limit For free and confidential support call 1800 858 858 or visit gamblinghelponline.org.au
18+ T&C's Apply. What are you really gambling with? Chances are you're about to lose. Set a Deposit Limit For free and confidential support call 1800 858 858 or visit gamblinghelponline.org.au
18+ T&C's Apply. What are you really gambling with? Chances are you're about to lose. Set a Deposit Limit For free and confidential support call 1800 858 858 or visit gamblinghelponline.org.au
#AD 18+ T&Cs Apply Imagine what you could be buying instead. For free & confidential support call 180 0858 858 or visit gamblinghelponline.org.au
18+ T&C's Apply. What are you really gambling with? Chances are you're about to lose. Set a Deposit Limit For free and confidential support call 1800 858 858 or visit gamblinghelponline.org.au
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NRL Premiership Odds FAQs
Who won the 2026 NRL Premiership?
The Sydney Roosters, who beat Newcastle 19-18 in the Grand Final. Before the finals the market had the Roosters at $4.50 and Newcastle at $26.00, while Penrith, the favourites at $3.20, went out in the preliminary finals.
When was the 2026 NRL Grand Final?
Sunday 4 October 2026, 7:30pm AEDT, at Accor Stadium, Sydney. It was shown live on Channel 9 free-to-air plus Fox League and Kayo Sports.
Who won the 2026 NRL minor premiership?
Penrith, finishing 18-6 on 42 points and taking first place from the Warriors on differential, +336 to +310.
Who played in the 2026 NRL Grand Final?
The Roosters and Newcastle met at Accor Stadium on Sunday 4 October, and the Roosters won 19-18. They had beaten the Dolphins 36-20 and Newcastle beat Penrith 22-14 in the preliminary finals.
Can the Panthers win five flags in six seasons?
No. Penrith went out 22-14 to Newcastle in the preliminary final. They won four consecutive premierships from 2021 to 2024 before Brisbane beat Melbourne 26-22 in the 2025 Grand Final to break the streak.
Did the Storm make the finals?
No. Melbourne finished tenth on 28 points with a differential of +18, outside the eight.
Who got the 2026 NRL wooden spoon?
St George Illawarra, finishing 17th on 16 points from a 5-19 season, with the competition’s worst differential at -325.
How often do NRL premiership odds change?
Significantly each round during a season, with the biggest moves after upsets, halves injuries and around State of Origin. Always confirm the live price with your bookmaker.
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