EPL Week 3 Predictions | Best Bets & Tips

EPL Predictions

EPL Week 3 tips, best bets, predictions and previews.

EPL Week 3 Predictions

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EPL Predictions | Week 3

Game Preview Top Tip
Liverpool vs Crystal Palace Home win, over 3.5 goals @ 2.5
Tottenham vs Wolves Spurs to win and over 2.5 goals @2.05 with Bet365
Crystal Palace vs Aston Villa Over 2.5 goals @2.10 with Bet365
Everton vs Nottingham Forest Draw, BTTS @4.75 with Bet365
Fulham vs Brentford Draw @3.30 with Bet365
Leicester City vs Southampton Over 2.5, BTTS @1.95 with Bet365
Bournemouth vs Arsenal Arsenal win, Over 2.5 goals @2.10 with Bet365
Leeds United vs Chelsea Chelsea to win, BTTS @3.20 with Bet365
West Ham vs Brighton Draw, BTTS @4.50 with Bet365
Newcastle vs Man City Man City to win, BTTS @2.87 with Bet365
Man United vs Liverpool Liverpool to win, over 3.5 goals @3.20 with Bet365
Odds provided by Bet365.
Odds correct at time of writing

 

EPL-Week-By-Week-Predictions – It’s been another entertaining week in the Premier League with wins for Arsenal and Man City, who remain the only clubs with 100% records. Nottingham Forest won for the first time since their return to the Premier League when they beat West Ham 1-0 but the performance of the week must go to Brentford. The West London side dismantled a shell shocked Manchester United team by a 4-0 scoreline, condemning the Red Devils to the bottom of the league.

This week the match of the weekend comes at Old Trafford where Man United will hope to bounce back against Liverpool. It’s not an ideal fixture for Erik ten Hag’s men but they’ll hope to put an awful start behind them against their oldest enemies. Elsewhere, Newcastle host Man City, Chelsea travel to Elland Road to take on Leeds United and Leicester take on Southampton in a fixture that has been very kind to The Foxes in recent years.

Read on below as our expert EPL tipsters preview every Week 3 fixture, along with providing our best bets and predictions.

Tottenham vs Wolves

EPL Predictions

Saturday August 20 | 9:30pm AEST
Tottenham Hotspur Stadium, London
Result Probability
Home
50.1%
Draw
27.8%
Away
22.1%
Result probability powered by Opta.
Our tip
Spurs to win and Over 2.5 goals @ 2.05 with Bet365

 

Tottenham have had an unbeaten start to the new Premier League season, beating Southampton on the opening day before they rescued a point in the tumultuous London derby against Chelsea last weekend. They’ll be keen to keep their 100% record at home going for as long as possible and there’s a real chance that happens with Spurs’ attacking talent looking on form early on this campaign.

Wolves have had a much slower start to their season with their opening day loss to Leeds United wasn’t the start that Bruno Lage would’ve wanted for his side. There wasn’t much to cheer about in their second game either with a 0-0 draw with Fulham only gaining Wolves a point. They were lucky they had that point too, with Fulham missing a late penalty to deny them all three points.

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Crystal Palace vs Aston Villa

EPL Predictions

Sunday August 21 | 12.00am AEST
Selhurst Park, London
Result Probability
Home
37.2%
Draw
29.4%
Away
33.4%
Result probability powered by Opta.
Our tip
Over 2.5 goals @2.10 with Bet365

 

Crystal Palace will be riding high following their 1-1 draw with Liverpool on Monday night. The Eagles played the game to near perfection, soaking up plenty of Liverpool pressure and hitting the Reds on the break. Patrick Vieira made an important tactical switch for the game at Anfield but he’ll likely revert to a back four for the game against Villa. It was the first point of the season for Palace in what was a very difficult start to the season but Eagles fans will see this game as winnable.

Aston Villa started their season poorly, losing 2-0 to newly promoted Bournemouth on the opening day but bounced back with a 2-1 victory over Everton last weekend. There’s been bad injury news for Steven Gerrard this week with new signing, Diego Carlos ruled out for at least six months with a ruptured achilles but the Villa manager has plenty of quality within his squad and will try to really take the game to their opponents.

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Everton vs Nottingham Forest

EPL Predictions

Sunday August 21 | 12.00am AEST
Goodison Park, Liverpool
Result Probability
Home
57.9%
Draw
25.4%
Away
16.7%
Result probability powered by Opta.
Our tip
Draw, BTTS @4.75 with Bet365

 

Everton have failed to put their poor season last year behind them, losing their opening two games of the new campaign. As a result, the pressure is already mounting on Frank Lampard and his players. A visit from Nottingham Forest might not be the ideal fixture here either with the newly promoted side buoyed by their win against West Ham last weekend.

Forest lost their opening game of the season, a 2-0 defeat by Newcastle but that win over West Ham, a hard fought 1-0 victory, would’ve restored a lot of confidence for the East Midlands side. A trip to Goodison Park at this point might be fruitful for Forest as they look to take advantage of The Toffees lack of form and confidence.

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Fulham vs Brentford

EPL Predictions

Sunday August 21 | 12.00am AEST
Craven Cottage, London
Result Probability
Home
26.4%
Draw
28.8%
Away
44.8%
Result probability powered by Opta.
Our tip
Draw @3.30 with Bet365

 

Fulham will be happy to be two games into the season and still unbeaten but they will feel they could’ve taken maximum points from both games. Their 2-2 draw with Liverpool saw them hold the lead twice before being pegged back whilst Aleksandr Mitrovic’s penalty miss in the 0-0 stalemate with Wolves last weekend cos the side three points again. A West London derby might be the ideal time for Fulham to find that first victory.

Brentford will be full of confidence themselves though after their incredible performance against Manchester United last weekend. The Bees outclasses United across the pitch and ran out 4-0 winners, the perfect follow up their opening day 2-2 draw with Leicester. The Bees are buzzing at the moment and a win against one of their local rivals would be the icing on the cake.

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Leicester City vs Southampton

EPL Predictions

Sunday August 21 | 12.00am AEST
King Power Stadium, Leicester
Result Probability
Home
58.2%
Draw
23.8%
Away
18%
Result probability powered by Opta.
Our tip
Over 2.5, BTTS @1.95 with Bet365

 

Leicester have had a strange summer with the side losing a couple of key players but not bringing in any replacements. This has had an impact on their start to the season with a 2-2 draw with Brentford being followed up by a 4-2 defeat by Arsenal. The Foxes look a little out of sorts so far but this fixture has been kind to them in recent years, most notably when they beat the Saints 9-0 a couple of seasons ago.

Southampton have had an almost identical start to their opponents this weekend, drawing 2-2 with Leeds last weekend following a 4-1 loss to Tottenham. Ralph Hassenhuttl’s men haven’t really got going so far this season but this looks like a pretty even contest and one the Austrian will believe his side can win.

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Bournemouth vs Arsenal

EPL Predictions

Sunday August 21 | 2.30am AEST
Vitality Stadium, Bournemouth
Result Probability
Home
23.7%
Draw
26.8%
Away
49.5%
Result probability powered by Opta.
Our tip
Arsenal win, Over 2.5 goals @2.10 with Bet365

 

Things have probably gone as well as they could’ve for Bournemouth since their return to the Premier League. They weren’t expected to get much from a trip to The Etihad to take on Manchester City, and a 4-0 defeat was partly expected, but a 2-0 win over Aston Villa on the opening day would’ve been the dream start for Scott Parker and will give him a good base to build his side’s survival hopes on.

Arsenal’s summer showed plenty of promise with plenty of exciting signings being made by Mikel Arteta. Those new signings have gelled instantly and Arsenal are one of two clubs, along with Man City, who have a 100% record after two games. The 4-2 win over Leicester at the weekend was the perfect follow up to a 2-0 win at Selhurst Park in the season opener and The Gunners are looking really dangerous in the early stages of the season.

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Leeds United vs Chelsea

EPL Predictions

Sunday August 21 | 11.00pm AEST
Elland Road, Leeds
Result Probability
Home
18.9%
Draw
24.6%
Away
56.5%
Result probability powered by Opta.
Our tip
Chelsea to win, BTTS @3.20 with Bet365

Leeds have surprised some people this season, going unbeaten in their first two games. Their opening day win over Wolves was a bit fortuitous but they ground out the result and then a 2-2 draw away to Southampton was a creditable way to continue their campaign. Many were tipping Leeds to struggle once again this season but they’ve started superbly and, if they carry on their form, they won’t need to worry about the threat of relegation.

Chelsea have also had the kind of start they would’ve dreamt of after a summer of upheaval. New players have bedded in well and The Blues haven’t tasted defeat yet. They overcame Everton on the opening day of the season, a victory that was a little more tricky than they would’ve liked before their ill-tempered 2-2 draw with Spurs last weekend.

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West Ham vs Brighton

EPL Predictions

Sunday August 21 | 11.00pm AEST
London Stadium, London
Result Probability
Home
44.7%
Draw
28.8%
Away
26.5%
Result probability powered by Opta.
Our tip
Draw, BTTS @4.50 with Bet365

Things haven’t gone to plan for West Ham so far this season. Two games, two losses, zero goals scored. The Hammers have struggled for the same form they found last season but a European qualifier in midweek might give them a chance to reset and build some confidence. They’ve got one of the most experienced managers around in David Moyes, and he’ll need to use all of his tactical nous to get the East London side back on track.

Brighton will be very happy with their start to the season with an opening day win at Old Trafford being followed up by a 0-0 draw with Newcastle. Things seem to be going well for the Seagulls so far and, with the club cashing in on some key assets in the summer, any worries that they would struggle have been left behind after a great start to the new campaign.

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Newcastle vs Man City

EPL Predictions

Monday August 22 | 01:30am AEST
St James’ Park, Newcastle
Result Probability
Home
10.5%
Draw
20.2%
Away
69.3%
Result probability powered by Opta.
Our tip
Man City to win, BTTS @2.87 with Bet365

Big things are expected at St James’ Park this season with the club getting huge investment. They’ve been able to live up to some of that promise so far, handily beating Nottingham Forest before travelling to Brighton and picking up a point. This weekend is a different beast altogether of course but a fixture at home against Manchester City could be the perfect test to see where this Newcastle team really sits.

Man City have got off to the perfect start to the season, and were there many people who would’ve thought otherwise? Two wins from two, six goals and zero conceded. Things couldn’t be any better for Pep Guardiola’s men and another win this weekend would give them even more control at the top of the table. This could be a real test for City though, who travel to Newcastle knowing they will come up against a confident team and a very noisy crowd.

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Man United vs Liverpool

EPL Predictions

Tuesday August 23 | 05.00am AEST
Old Trafford, Manchester
Result Probability
Home
20.6%
Draw
25.7%
Away
53.7%
Result probability powered by Opta.
Our tip
Liverpool to win, over 3.5 goals @3.20 with Bet365

 

It’s not been an enjoyable start to the season for Manchester United fans. They’ve lost their opening two games and find themselves bottom of the league ahead of the third set of fixtures. Their opening day loss to Brighton started alarm bells ringing around Old Trafford but the 4-0 demolition by Brentford have produced sirens from all angles. A match against a wounded Liverpool side might not be the best follow up for Erik ten Hag but it could also give the new manager the perfect opportunity to turn things around.

Things haven’t exactly gone swimmingly for Liverpool so far either. They’ve drawn their opening two games, against Fulham and Crystal Palace, both games they would’ve expected to win. They’ve dominated both game in an attacking sense, having 35 shots across the two games, but have lacked the guile and end product to find the winner in either game. A match against their old rivals, Manchester United, will be relished by Jurgen Klopp but he’ll have to do without his new star striker, Darwin Nunez, following his red card in the match against Crystal Palace.

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EPL 2022-23 FAQs

How will the 2022-23 EPL season work?

Event Date
Premier League Fixtures Released 16/06/2022
First Game 05/08/2022
Winter Break (For World Cup 2022) 13/11/2022
League Resumes 26/12/2022
Final Day  28/05/2023

 

The EPL season will work differently this season due to the FIFA World Cup taken place between November and December. As a result, there will be six weeks without a Premier League game this winter.

Who is predicted to win EPL?

Club Chance Bet365
Manchester City 68.12% 1.44
Liverpool 30.47% 4.50
Tottenham 0.59%  13.0
Chelsea 0.72%  17.0
Manchester United 0.01%  101.0
Arsenal 0.08%  21.0
Probability % provided by Opta
Odds correct at time of writing.

Man City are the favourites to win the EPL this season, both with the bookmakers and the data analysts. It would be the first time since the 2008-09 season that a team has won the title three seasons on the bounce.

City have never achieved this feat, despite winning the league in four of the past five seasons. Who interrupted that sequence? Liverpool. And Jurgen Klopp’s side are expected to run them close again this year.

Who is the favourite to be relegated from Premier League?

Club Chance Bet365
Bournemouth 41.29% 1.50
Nottingham Forest 56.06% 2.30
Fulham 37.14% 2.87
Leeds 29.79% 3.50
Brentford 23.97% 6.00
Southampton 29.83% 2.75
Everton 23.34% 3.50
Probability % provided by Opta
Odds correct at time of writing.

The three newly promoted teams are the favourites to be relegated from the EPL, but value can still be found here.

Nottingham Forest have a 53.97% chance of being relegated according to Opta, yet their odds are currently longer than Bournemouth’s who have been given a 39.32% chance of being relegated.

Don’t rule out Brentford either. Christian Eriksen played a huge role in the Bees avoiding the drop last season, and his departure could have a serious impact on their chances of survival.

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