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UFC / MMA
Toowoomba’s Tom Nolan stopped Renato Moicano in the third round in Las Vegas for his first UFC main event win and sixth in a row. Every result and how our tips went.
Toowoomba’s Tom Nolan won his first UFC main event. He survived two rounds in which Renato Moicano spent long spells on his back, then dropped the Brazilian and stopped him with strikes at 1:28 of the third round at the Meta APEX in Las Vegas on Saturday 31 October (Sunday 1 November in Australia). It is Nolan’s sixth win in a row. Below: every result, how our tips went, and the pre-fight card, odds and preview.
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UFC Fight Night: Moicano vs Nolan results
Moicano had the better of the first two rounds. He took Nolan’s back more than once and held a body triangle for about two and a half minutes late in the second, until referee Dan Miragliotta stood the pair up. Nolan took over in the third: he dropped Moicano and finished him on the canvas at 1:28. Nolan is now 12-1, with six straight wins since his only loss on his UFC debut. Moicano, 37, has lost three of his last four. Jacobe Smith stayed unbeaten in the co-main on short notice, beating Randy Brown 30-26 on all three cards.
| Result | Method | Card |
|---|---|---|
| Tom Nolan def. Renato Moicano | TKO (punches), R3 1:28 | Lightweight, main event |
| Jacobe Smith def. Randy Brown | Unanimous decision (30-26 x3) | Welterweight, main card |
| Cody Durden def. Ode’ Osbourne | Unanimous decision (29-28 x3) | Flyweight, main card |
| Luana Santos def. Yana Santos | Unanimous decision (29-28 x3) | Women’s bantamweight, main card |
| Jean-Paul Lebosnoyani def. Farman Hasanov | TKO (doctor stoppage), R3 2:11 | Welterweight, main card |
| Dakota Hope def. Francis Marshall | Split decision | Catchweight (148 pounds), prelims |
| Rodrigo Sezinando def. Theodor Berggren | TKO (doctor stoppage), R2 5:00 | Welterweight, prelims |
| Julian Erosa def. JeongYeong Lee | KO (punches), R1 1:31 | Featherweight, prelims |
| Zach Reese def. Mickey Gall | Unanimous decision (29-27 x3) | Middleweight, prelims |
| Joseph Kropschot def. Nick Klein | Submission (armbar), R2 1:25 | Middleweight, prelims |
| Piera Rodriguez def. Talita Alencar | Unanimous decision (30-27 x3) | Women’s strawweight, prelims |
| Lucia Szabova def. Tainara Lisboa | TKO (punches), R3 3:20 | Women’s flyweight, prelims |
The middleweight bout between Azamat Bekoev and Andre Petroski was taken off the card. Results as published by the UFC and MMA Junkie.
How our tips went: a good night. Our best bet, Tom Nolan to win at about $1.87, came in after Moicano controlled the first two rounds. Our three-leg multi of Nolan, Luana Santos (won on points) and Lucia Szabova (stopped Tainara Lisboa in the third round) at about $2.90 also won, and Jacobe Smith (about $1.38), who we picked out on the main card, won too.
UFC Fight Night: Moicano vs Nolan key details
| Detail | Value |
|---|---|
| Event | UFC Fight Night: Moicano vs. Nolan (also called UFC Vegas 123) |
| Date (local) | Saturday 31 October 2026 |
| Main card (Australia) | 11:00am AEDT, Sunday 1 November (10:00am in Brisbane, 10:30am in Adelaide, 8:00am in Perth) |
| Main event (Australia) | Last fight on the main card, which started at 11:00am AEDT |
| Prelims (Australia) | 8:00am AEDT, Sunday 1 November |
| Venue | Meta APEX, Las Vegas |
| Main event | Renato Moicano vs Tom Nolan, lightweight, five rounds (not a title fight) |
| How to watch in Australia | Main card and prelims on Paramount+ |
Full fight card
The card as it was set before fight week, with records before the fight. Jacobe Smith replaced the injured Carlos Leal against Randy Brown, and Dakota Hope replaced Gaston Bolanos against Francis Marshall. At the weigh-ins on Friday (US time) Moicano came in at 156 pounds and Nolan at 155.5, and every main-card fighter made weight. Francis Marshall missed the featherweight limit by two pounds and forfeits 20% of his purse to Dakota Hope.
| Bout | Weight class | Card |
|---|---|---|
| Renato Moicano (21-7-1) vs Tom Nolan (11-1) | Lightweight | Main card (main event) |
| Randy Brown (20-8) vs Jacobe Smith (13-0) | Welterweight | Main card |
| Yana Santos (17-8) vs Luana Santos (11-2) | Women’s bantamweight | Main card |
| Ode’ Osbourne (13-10) vs Cody Durden (18-11-1) | Flyweight | Main card |
| Jean-Paul Lebosnoyani (11-2) vs Farman Hasanov (6-0) | Welterweight | Main card |
| Francis Marshall (10-3) vs Dakota Hope (11-2) | Featherweight | Prelims |
| Rodrigo Sezinando (9-2) vs Theodor Berggren (8-4) | Welterweight | Prelims |
| Julian Erosa (31-14) vs JeongYeong Lee (11-3) | Featherweight | Prelims |
| Nick Klein (6-3) vs Joseph Kropschot (9-3) | Middleweight | Prelims |
| Talita Alencar (8-1-1) vs Piera Rodriguez (12-2) | Women’s strawweight | Prelims |
| Lucia Szabova (12-0) vs Tainara Lisboa (7-4) | Women’s flyweight | Prelims |
| Zach Reese (10-4) vs Mickey Gall (7-7) | Middleweight | Prelims |
Main event preview: Renato Moicano vs Tom Nolan
Our preview, written before the fight.
Tom Nolan (11-1), 26, from Toowoomba and based in Brisbane, is ranked 14th at lightweight by the UFC. His only loss was a first-round stoppage on his UFC debut in January 2024. Since then he has won five in a row: a first-round TKO of Victor Martinez, decisions over Alex Reyes in Perth and Viacheslav Borshchev in Sydney, a first-round submission of Charlie Campbell in Perth, and a decision over Fares Ziam in Las Vegas in June. This is his first UFC headline fight.
Renato Moicano (21-7-1), 37, from Brazil, is ranked 12th. He fought Islam Makhachev for the title at UFC 311 in January 2025 and was submitted in the first round, then lost a decision to Beneil Dariush, before getting back to winning with a second-round submission of Chris Duncan in April. He stepped into this fight after his planned bout with Brian Ortega fell through.
Our read. Moicano has the experience, the submission game and five-round title-fight minutes, but he is 11 years older and has lost two of his last three. Nolan is on the rise and has gone the full 15 minutes three times in his winning run. The early market made Nolan a clear favourite before money for Moicano closed the gap to a coin flip, which makes the Australian the better value at the current price.
Best bet: Tom Nolan to win, about $1.87. For a bigger price, Nolan with Luana Santos and Lucia Szabova as a three-leg multi pays about $2.90.
The other fights to watch
Luana Santos vs Yana Santos is a ranked women’s bantamweight bout, seventh against sixth, and Luana is the favourite at about $1.36. Jacobe Smith (13-0) takes on the veteran Randy Brown on short notice and is about $1.38. On the prelims, the unbeaten Lucia Szabova (12-0) is the shortest price on the card at about $1.15.
UFC Fight Night: Moicano vs Nolan odds
Pre-fight Ladbrokes prices on 26 October 2026 (Neds had the same prices).
| Fight | Price | Price |
|---|---|---|
| Moicano vs Nolan | Moicano $1.94 | Nolan $1.87 |
| Brown vs Smith | Brown $3.05 | Smith $1.38 |
| Yana Santos vs Luana Santos | Yana $3.15 | Luana $1.36 |
| Osbourne vs Durden | Osbourne $1.82 | Durden $2.00 |
| Lebosnoyani vs Hasanov | Lebosnoyani $1.36 | Hasanov $3.20 |
| Marshall vs Hope | Marshall $1.40 | Hope $2.95 |
| Sezinando vs Berggren | Sezinando $1.60 | Berggren $2.35 |
| Erosa vs Lee | Erosa $2.50 | Lee $1.53 |
| Klein vs Kropschot | Klein $3.40 | Kropschot $1.32 |
| Alencar vs Rodriguez | Alencar $3.15 | Rodriguez $1.36 |
| Szabova vs Lisboa | Szabova $1.15 | Lisboa $5.60 |
| Reese vs Gall | Reese $1.36 | Gall $3.15 |
How to watch UFC Fight Night: Moicano vs Nolan in Australia
UFC Fight Nights are included with Paramount+ in Australia, so both the prelims and the main card streamed there, with no pay-per-view. The prelims started at 8:00am AEDT on Sunday 1 November and the main card at 11:00am AEDT. Replays are on Paramount+.
Where to bet on UFC in Australia
Every major Australian bookmaker prices the main event head to head, method of victory, round betting and whether the fight goes the distance, and most cover the full card. Compare prices at a couple before you bet, because UFC lines move sharply after the weigh-ins. Live bets on a fight once it starts have to be placed by phone under Australian law. Our full comparison is in our best UFC betting sites guide.
#AD 18+ T&Cs Apply Imagine what you could be buying instead. For free & confidential support call 180 0858 858 or visit gamblinghelponline.org.au
18+ T&C's Apply. What are you really gambling with? Chances are you're about to lose. Set a Deposit Limit For free and confidential support call 1800 858 858 or visit gamblinghelponline.org.au
18+ T&C's Apply. What are you really gambling with? Chances are you're about to lose. Set a Deposit Limit For free and confidential support call 1800 858 858 or visit gamblinghelponline.org.au
18+ T&C's Apply. What are you really gambling with? Chances are you're about to lose. Set a Deposit Limit For free and confidential support call 1800 858 858 or visit gamblinghelponline.org.au
#AD 18+ T&Cs Apply Imagine what you could be buying instead. For free & confidential support call 180 0858 858 or visit gamblinghelponline.org.au
18+ T&C's Apply. What are you really gambling with? Chances are you're about to lose. Set a Deposit Limit For free and confidential support call 1800 858 858 or visit gamblinghelponline.org.au
Exclusive 365AUCODE referral code: bet365 does not offer bonus codes in Australia and this referral code does not grant access to offers.18+ T&C's Apply. What are you really gambling with? Chances are you're about to lose. Set a Deposit Limit For free and confidential support call 1800 858 858 or visit gamblinghelponline.org.au
UFC Fight Night: Moicano vs Nolan FAQs
Who won Moicano vs Nolan?
Tom Nolan, by TKO at 1:28 of the third round, after Moicano had the better of the first two rounds. It was Nolan’s first UFC main event and his sixth win in a row.
What time was Moicano vs Nolan in Australia?
The main card started at 11:00am AEDT on Sunday 1 November, with the main event last on the card. The prelims started at 8:00am AEDT.
Where can I watch Moicano vs Nolan in Australia?
On Paramount+, which streamed both the prelims and the main card and has the replays. It was not a pay-per-view event.
Who was the favourite, Moicano or Nolan?
It was close to a coin flip. Ladbrokes had Nolan $1.87 and Moicano $1.94 on 26 October.
Where is Tom Nolan from?
Toowoomba in Queensland. He fights out of Brisbane and is 12-1 after beating Moicano, with six straight wins since his only loss.
How did BettingPro’s tips for Moicano vs Nolan go?
Our best bet, Tom Nolan to win at about $1.87, won. Our three-leg multi of Nolan, Luana Santos and Lucia Szabova at about $2.90 won as well.
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