Kiwi Ferns vs Samoa Prediction & Tips: Women’s Rugby League World Cup Semi-Final

Kiwi Ferns vs Samoa Women's Rugby League World Cup Semi-Final Tips

The Kiwi Ferns meet Samoa in the first women’s World Cup semi-final in Newcastle on Saturday 7 November, a rematch of last year’s 22-20 thriller. Our tip and the team news.

🏉 Saturday 7 November, 5:45pm AEDT, McDonald Jones Stadium, Newcastle. Women’s semi-final 1, live and free on Seven and 7plus.

The Kiwi Ferns play Samoa in the first women’s semi-final at McDonald Jones Stadium in Newcastle on Saturday 7 November, before the Kiwis play Tonga in the men’s semi-final (our Kiwis vs Tonga tips). New Zealand won Group B with three wins from three: Fiji 18-12, France 92-0 and PNG 40-12. Samoa lost 40-0 to the Jillaroos, then beat Wales 76-0 and England 24-6 to reach their first Women’s World Cup semi-final.

Below are our tip and the angle we like, the head to head, the team news and what is at stake. Every match is on our Rugby League World Cup hub.

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Match Details

Detail Info
Competition Women’s Rugby League World Cup, semi-final 1
Date Saturday 7 November 2026
Kick-off 5:45pm AEDT (4:45pm AEST, 2:45pm AWST)
Venue McDonald Jones Stadium, Newcastle
Broadcast Seven and 7plus, free-to-air
Coaches Ricky Henry (New Zealand), Frank Pritchard (Samoa)
Winner plays Australia or Fiji in the final, Suncorp Stadium, Sunday 15 November, 4:15pm AEDT

Kiwi Ferns vs Samoa Tips & Prediction

Our pick: Kiwi Ferns to win. New Zealand have won every Test between the sides, and they and the Jillaroos are the only women’s teams to win all three group games. They scored 150 points in the group and conceded 24.

The angle we like: Samoa at the line. The last meeting was close: Samoa led 20-0 at half-time in the 2025 Pacific Championships before New Zealand came back to win 22-20. Samoa also beat England 24-6 in Wollongong, and New Zealand were held to 18-12 by Fiji in their opener. If the Kiwi Ferns are set a big start, Samoa with it is where we will look first.

The odds. We did not have semi-final prices from our bookmakers when this preview was written on Monday 2 November, so our tip carries no price. Compare the head to head and the line across our best NRL betting sites before you bet, and check the team lists first.

Kiwi Ferns vs Samoa Head to Head

The Kiwi Ferns have won every Test between the sides. The most recent was on 19 October 2025 in the Pacific Championships at Go Media Stadium in Auckland, where Samoa led 20-0 at half-time and New Zealand won 22-20.

Form at this World Cup

Kiwi Ferns beat Fiji 18-12 in Newcastle, France 92-0 in Christchurch with 18 tries, four of them to Apii Nicholls, and PNG 40-12 on the Gold Coast, where Mackenzie Wiki scored two tries.

Samoa lost 40-0 to the Jillaroos in the opener (result), then beat Wales 76-0 with a hat-trick to Tyra Ekepati and England 24-6 in Wollongong, with a hat-trick to Crichton Ropati.

Kiwi Ferns vs Samoa Team News

Semi-final teams are due early in the week, and coaches can make changes up to an hour before kick-off, so check the late mail on the day.

Kiwi Ferns: team news

Raecene McGregor and Georgia Hale lead the side. Mackenzie Wiki, called in for the injured Shanice Parker earlier in the tournament, scored twice against PNG. No new injuries were reported after that game.

Samoa: team news

No injuries were reported from the England game. Evania Isa’ako and Annetta Nu’uausala lead the side.

What Is at Stake

The winner plays in the final at Suncorp Stadium in Brisbane on Sunday 15 November at 4:15pm AEDT, before the men’s final. Their opponent is the winner of the Jillaroos v Fiji in Sydney on Sunday 8 November (our Jillaroos vs Fiji tips).

New Zealand lost the 2021 final 54-4 to the Jillaroos. Samoa are in their first Women’s World Cup semi-final.

Kiwi Ferns vs Samoa Betting Markets

  • Head to head: the match winner, with golden point extra time if it is level at full time.
  • Line: a points start for the underdog, usually the better market when the head-to-head price is short.
  • Total points: over or under a set number of combined points. Women’s games run for 70 minutes, so totals are lower than in the men’s game.
  • Try scorers: first, last and anytime try scorer markets on both squads.

Compare prices across our best NRL betting sites, which all price the women’s World Cup.

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Kiwi Ferns vs Samoa FAQs

When is Kiwi Ferns vs Samoa at the Women’s Rugby League World Cup?

Saturday 7 November 2026 at McDonald Jones Stadium in Newcastle, kicking off at 5:45pm AEDT, before the Kiwis play Tonga at 8:05pm.

What is the Kiwi Ferns vs Samoa head to head?

The Kiwi Ferns have won every Test between the sides. The last one finished 22-20 in October 2025, after Samoa led 20-0 at half-time.

Who will win Kiwi Ferns vs Samoa?

Our pick is the Kiwi Ferns. The last meeting was close, so Samoa at the line is the market we will look at first.

Who does the winner play in the final?

The winner of the Jillaroos v Fiji in Sydney on Sunday 8 November. The final is at Suncorp Stadium on Sunday 15 November at 4:15pm AEDT.

Where can I watch Kiwi Ferns vs Samoa?

Live and free on Seven and 7plus in Australia.

More Rugby League World Cup Coverage

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