Novak Djokovic returns to Melbourne in search of a record-extending 11th title, while Aryna Sabalenka is back in an attempt to defend her crown as the 2024 Australian Open takes place at Melbourne Park from January 14-28.
Expert tips, predictions and daily best bets for the 2024 Australian Open, live from Melbourne Park.
🎾 AUSTRALIAN OPEN PREDICTIONS 🎾SUNDAY JANUARY 28 |
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Match | Top Tip | Odds |
Medvedev vs Sinner | Over 37.5 Games | $1.83 |
Medvedev vs Sinner | Medvedev Win | $3.40 |
Odds correct at time of writing |
Who will win the Australian Open in 2024?
The 2024 Australian Open will be staged between January 14-28 as the world’s best players return to Melbourne in search of a coveted Grand Slam title.
Novak Djokovic is back as the Serbian sensation targets an 11th Australian Open title, but he will be challenged by rising stars Carlos Alcaraz and Jannik Sinner, while Aryna Sabalenka will have to fend off the likes of World No. 1 Iga Swiatek, last year’s runner-up Elena Rybakina and reigning US Open champion Coco Gauff if she is to defend her title.
We will provide daily best bets and multis for the 2024 Australian Open, along with our predictions and tips for the outright winner.
Australian Open Tips Today | Best Bets
Sunday January 28
Daniil Medvedev vs Jannik Sinner
- Over 37.5 total games at $1.83 with bet365
- Medvedev win H2H at $3.40 with bet365
I mean, you can’t argue with Sinner being the overwhelming favourite – the Italian has come of age over the last six months and registered a historic upset over Djokovic in the semi-finals, meaning he’s now won 10 of his last 11 matches against top five rivals. He’s dropped just one set en route to the final, while Medvedev has played back-to-back five setters and three overall have gone the distance. Sinner has also won the last three meetings between the pair, all in the second half of 2023. Medvedev won the six before that, but this is a new Sinner.
In saying all that, if we take this match in isolation, I’m keen to get behind Medvedev here. Experience is a factor – the Russian is featuring in his fifth Grand Slam final, while Sinner is playing his first. That matters. Also, it’s not like Sinner has been absolutely dominating Medvedev lately either. Their last two meetings went to a deciding set and the other had two tiebreaks. With this in mind, Over 37.5 total games looks a good bet here. Medvedev has already been involved in multiple marathons in Melbourne and it wouldn’t surprise me to see this match go the distance again. Fatigue shouldn’t be an issue for Medvedev – he’s looking fresh and he’s one of the fittest players on tour, even if he might not look like it at times. Sinner is going to have to hit through Medvedev and there’s question marks surrounding whether he can do that under the pressure-filled environment of a first major final.
Australian Open Daily Multi Tips
Our tennis expert will release his multi tips for every day of the tournament. We will list our ‘Best Multi’ on this page, but be sure to check out and bookmark this page for all of our other Australian Open multi tipping predictions and the reasoning behind each selection.
Australian Open Outright Tips & Predictions (men)
Who will win the men’s Australian Open in 2024?
As far as I’m concerned, only five men are capable of winning the 2024 Australian Open.
Of course, 10-time champion Novak Djokovic is the deserving overwhelming favourite. Djokovic hasn’t lost at Melbourne Park since 2018 and despite some injury concerns pre-tournament surrounding his wrist, you simply can’t back against the Serbian, even at 36 years of age.
If he is to lose, Jannik Sinner is my next best. The pair are on a collision course for the semi-finals and Sinner now has the belief and confidence that his game is good enough to capture a maiden slam. Sinner defeated Djokovic at the season-ending ATP Finals in November and has the firepower to hit through Djokovic’s defences from the baseline. This could be the Italian’s time.
Carlos Alcaraz has been there and done that – the Spaniard conquered Djokovic at Wimbledon and denied him the Calendar Year Slam in 2023, but the Spaniard doesn’t have much experience on the Melbourne courts and didn’t play any lead-in events. If Alcaraz can work his way into the tournament, he will be dangerous, but that remains to be seen.
Daniil Medvedev is an unpredictable force – he’s won a major at the US Open before, taking out Djokovic in the process, and really should have won the 2022 Australian Open, choking big time against Rafael Nadal. Medvedev’s sublime retrieval skills are perfect for night-time conditions at Melbourne Park, which is when the big matches deep into the tournament will be played. Medvedev is behind Djokovic, Sinner and Alcaraz for me, but he’s equally capable of upsetting all of them on his day.
Finally, Grigor Dimitrov is a smoky worth getting behind. The Bulgarian is arguably playing the best tennis of his life and looks to be playing without the pressure of being labeled the next big thing, which haunted him for the bulk of his career. Dimitrov suffered hardly any poor losses last season and has already achieved success this season, winning the Brisbane title. A fourth round blockbuster with Medvedev looms and if he can win that, the current odds of $34 looks very appealing.
Australian Open Outright Tips & Predictions (women)
Who will win the women’s Australian Open in 2024?
For so long, picking the women’s champion at a slam was a lottery, but some clear frontrunners have emerged from the pack over the last couple of years – namely, defending champion Aryna Sabalenka, last year’s runner-up Elena Rybakina, current US Open champion Coco Gauff and World No. 1 Iga Swiatek.
Swiatek is once again the favourite in Melbourne, but I faded her last season and will be doing so again in 2024. Swiatek hasn’t played her best tennis at the Australian Open so far in her career and that’s partly due to the conditions – she’s prone to upsets on faster surfaces, so if she’s scheduled during the heat of the day, watch out. Swiatek is obviously an outstanding player, but in my opinion, not worth the $3.25 favouritism.
Sabalenka is a great chance of going back-to-back and the pressure is off having captured her maiden slam in Melbourne 12 months ago. However, she suffered a crushing loss to Rybakina in the Brisbane final to launch the season and that’s a bit concerning for me. Rybakina is the coolest player on tour (in terms of dealing with pressure situations and giving nothing away emotionally) and that holds her in good stead in the big moments. She was so close to defeating Sabalenka in last year’s final and after some injuries and illness affected her midway through last season, she’s fully recovered and looks ready to win a second major crown.
Gauff meanwhile has won 23 of her last 26 matches, famously breaking through for her first slam at the US Open, where she defeated Sabalenka in the final. The American picked up the WTA title in Auckland before arriving in Melbourne and has firmly established herself in the new women’s ‘Big Four’. It will take a quality performance to knock her out.
Lastly, Caroline Garcia looks good odds at $36. The Frenchwoman is arguably the best server on tour and when she’s on, she can beat anyone. Garcia won three of her four matches at the United Cup and took a set off Swiatek in her only defeat. Garcia played one of her best matches in months to knock out two-time former champion Naomi Osaka in Round 1 and if can maintain that form throughout the tournament, she will be hard to stop.
Australian Open 2024 Seeds
MEN (AT TIME OF WRITING)
1. Novak Djokovic
2. Carlos Alcaraz
3. Daniil Medvedev
4. Jannik Sinner
5. Andrey Rublev
6. Alexander Zverev
7. Stefanos Tsitsipas
8. Holger Rune
9. Hubert Hurkacz
10. Alex de Minaur
11. Casper Ruud
12. Taylor Fritz
13. Grigor Dimitrov
14. Tommy Paul
15. Karen Khachanov
16. Ben Shelton
17. Frances Tiafoe
18. Nicolas Jarry
19. Cameron Norrie
20. Adrian Mannarino
21. Ugo Humbert
22. Francisco Cerundolo
23. Alejandro Davidovich Fokina
24. Jan-Lennard Struff
25. Lorenzo Musetti
26. Sebastian Baez
27. Felix Auger-Aliassime
28. Tallon Griekspoor
29. Sebastian Korda
30. Tomas Martin Etcheverry
31. Alexander Bublik
32. Jiri Lehecka
WOMEN (AT TIME OF WRITING)
1. Iga Swiatek
2. Aryna Sabalenka
3. Elena Rybakina
4. Coco Gauff
5. Jessica Pegula
6. Ons Jabeur
7. Marketa Vondrousova
8. Maria Sakkari
9. Barbora Krejcikova
10. Beatriz Haddad Maia
11. Jelena Ostapenko
12. Zheng Qinwen
13. Liudmila Samsonova
14. Daria Kasatkina
16. Caroline Garcia
17. Ekaterina Alexandrova
18. Victoria Azarenka
19. Elina Svitolina
20. Magda Linette
21. Donna Vekic
22. Sorana Cirstea
23. Anastasia Potapova
24. Angelina Kalinina
25. Elise Mertens
26. Jasmine Paolini
27. Emma Navarro
28. Lesia Tsurenko
29. Zhu Lin
30. Wang Xinyu
31. Marie Bouzkova
32. Leylah Fernandez
READ MORE
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