Best bets and expert AFL analysis for Round 12 of the 2025 season

AFL

Get expert AFL 2025 Round 12 predictions, tips, and betting insights. Find the best odds and analysis for this week's fixtures at Bettingpro.com.au.

Get ready for all the action with our in-depth previews and predictions for Round 12 of the AFL season.

Brisbane vs Essendon

Lions to win and total points under 174.5

Round 12 gets underway with a Thursday night clash at the Gabba, where Brisbane host Essendon. The Lions are fresh off a statement win over Hawthorn and should have the edge against an Essendon side yet to beat a top-four team this season. To that end, Brisbane have shown a more measured approach in recent weeks, with only one of their last four matches going over 174 points. We’re backing the Lions to grind out a controlled victory in a low-scoring affair.

Collingwood vs Hawthorn

Pies to win by 1-39 points

Ladder leaders Collingwood host Hawthorn at the MCG on Friday night in what promises to be the standout fixture of Round 12. The Hawks will be looking to bounce back after a disappointing loss to Brisbane in Round 11, which ended a 21-year winning streak over the Lions at the ‘G. A response may be brewing, but Craig McRae’s Pies are in red-hot form and should prove too strong once again. Expect a spirited showing from Hawthorn but Collingwood’s to edge a tight one.

Gold Coast vs Fremantle

Suns to win by 1-39 points

Fremantle head to Heritage Bank Stadium on Saturday to take on a surging Gold Coast side eyeing a maiden finals appearance and a genuine tilt at the 2025 premiership. The Suns are flying at 8–2, and we’re backing them to notch up a ninth win against a Freo outfit lacking consistency.

GWS Giants vs Richmond

Giants to win by 40+ points

Saturday’s clash at the Sydney Showground presents a golden opportunity for the Giants to solidify their spot in the top eight. Richmond, on the other hand, are fast becoming the whipping boys of 2025, with their focus now squarely on avoiding the wooden spoon. We’re expecting a dominant display from GWS — the class gap is stark, and the Giants should have no trouble piling on a big win.

Sydney vs Adelaide

Crows to win with -5.5 handicap

An out-of-sorts Sydney, languishing near the bottom of the ladder, will host Adelaide at the SCG on Saturday evening. This is a fixture where the Crows have been in freefall, having not beaten the Swans since 2019. However, form speaks louder this season, and you can’t bet against a top-four Adelaide side in 2025.

Melbourne vs St Kilda

Demons to win by 1-39 points

St Kilda’s season has taken a turn for the worse in recent weeks, with the Saints winless in three and sliding down the ladder. A trip to the MCG to face a resurgent Melbourne side — winners of three of their last four, including a victory over reigning premiers Brisbane — on Sunday comes at a tough time for the Saints. Expect the Demons to get the job done.

West Coast vs Geelong

Geelong to win by 40+ points

Wooden spoon-bound West Coast’s horror season plumbed new depths in Round 11 when they were thumped by Adelaide by 66 points, leaving the Eagles with a 1–10 record. We expect Sunday’s home clash at Optus Stadium to follow the same script, with in-form Geelong — winners of three of their last four — to run rampant once again.

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