Best bets and expert AFL analysis for Round 22 of the 2025 season

Get expert AFL 2025 Round 22 predictions, tips, and betting insights. Find the best odds and analysis for this week's fixtures at BettingPro.com.au.

Get ready for all the action with our in‑depth previews and predictions for Round 22 of the AFL season.

Hawthorn vs Collingwood

Collingwood to win by 1‑39 points

Round 22 opens with a clash on Thursday at the MCG between two sides on very different trajectories — Collingwood looking to lock in a top-two finish, and Hawthorn scrapping just to stay in the eight. The Hawks have surprised plenty this season under Sam Mitchell, but their challenge this round is steep. The Pies will be stung by last week’s loss to Brisbane and should respond with the kind of late-game composure that’s defined their year.

We’re backing Collingwood to steady the ship and grind out a valuable win.

Geelong Cats vs Essendon

Geelong to win by 40+ points

Friday night footy returns to GMHBA Stadium, where Geelong rarely misfire. Essendon were out of the contest early last week and face another uphill battle against a Cats side purring toward September. Jeremy Cameron’s chase for 100 goals adds some spice, but the result shouldn’t be in doubt.

We’re backing Geelong to notch another big win on home turf.

Richmond vs St Kilda

St Kilda to win by 1‑39 points

Saturday opens at the MCG with two sides firmly out of finals contention — and nothing more than pride on the line. St Kilda were patchy last week but showed enough grit when the game was up for grabs. Richmond’s young core continues to learn the hard way, and another late fade-out could be on the cards.

We’re backing St Kilda to grind out the win in a low-scoring scrap.

Brisbane vs Sydney

Brisbane to win by 1‑39 points

The Gabba has been a fortress again this season, and Brisbane return on Saturday night needing a win to keep the chasing pack at bay. Sydney showed glimpses last round but couldn’t sustain four-quarter pressure — exactly the kind of vulnerability Brisbane exposed against ladder-leaders Collingwood.

We’re backing Brisbane to win a high-intensity clash that could go right to the wire.

Carlton vs Gold Coast

Gold Coast to win by 1‑39 points

Carlton will be desperate to restore some pride, but their ball use has been a liability all season, and it’s unlikely to improve at Marvel Stadium on Saturday. The Suns, on the other hand, are peaking at the right time and know a win here keeps top-four hopes alive.

We’re backing the Suns to keep the dream alive with a solid away win.

Port Adelaide vs Fremantle

Fremantle to win by 1‑39 points

Fremantle head to Adelaide Oval full of belief after reeling in the Blues last week. Meanwhile, Port Adelaide’s inconsistency makes them hard to back — even at home — and if the Dockers can hold their own in the clearances, their forward line should have enough supply to do damage.

We’re backing Fremantle to keep rolling with a composed road win.

GWS Giants vs North Melbourne

GWS to win by 40+ points

This should be a formality at the Engie Stadium on Sunday as the Giants face a struggling North Melbourne outfit that hasn’t found answers at either end of the ground. Expect GWS to start fast and apply scoreboard pressure early.

We’re backing the Giants to blow this one wide open.

Melbourne vs Western Bulldogs

Western Bulldogs to win by 1‑39 points

The Bulldogs have hit a late-season purple patch and head to the MCG knowing another win keeps them in contention for finals. Melbourne’s inconsistency has made them hard to trust, and if the Dogs get on top at the coalface, their outside runners can break the game open.

We’re backing the Bulldogs to extend their momentum and take the points in a big Sunday clash.

West Coast vs Adelaide

Adelaide to win by 40+ points

The final game of the round takes us west, where the ladder-leading Crows face the bottom-placed Eagles at Optus Stadium. Adelaide have been ruthless against weaker sides and won’t want to let top spot slip now. Expect them to start fast and maintain control throughout.

We’re backing Adelaide to cruise past West Coast and send a message before finals.

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#AD 18+ T&Cs Apply Imagine what you could be buying instead. For free & confidential support call 180 0858 858 or visit gamblinghelponline.org.au

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