Collingwood vs Brisbane Grand Final Tips, Prediction & Preview

Adam Cusworth: Sep 30, 2023

Brisbane Lions vs Collingwood Magpies free AFL footy tipping odds, predictions and preview.

Collingwood vs Brisbane Tips, Preview & Predictions

Brisbane Lions vs Collingwood Magpies free AFL footy tipping odds – 2023 AFL premiers to be crowned on Saturday.

Collingwood vs Brisbane H2H Prediction

Collingwood vs Brisbane Tips

Jordan de Goey has kicked six goals in his past three games against Brisbane.

Brisbane have won just one of their past 14 at the MCG.

Collingwood vs Brisbane Same Game Multi Tips

Darcy Wilmot has had 15+ disposals in his past 14 matches.
Scott Pendlebury has averaged 28 disposals in his past three games against the Lions.
Jack Crisp has averaged 26 disposals in his past four matches against Brisbane
Tom Mitchell is averaging 26 disposals in his past six matches
Lachie Neale has averaged 29 disposals in his past four matches against Collingwood.
Nick Daicos averaged 31 disposals per game this season.
Joe Daniher has booted 12 goals in his past four matches against the Magpies.
Charlie Cameron has kicked 17 goals in his past four matches against Collingwood.
Brody Mihocek is averaging two goals per game this season.
Jordan de Goey has kicked six goals in his past three games against Brisbane.
Cam Rayner has booted seven goals in his past three matches against Collingwood.

Collingwood vs Brisbane Match Details

🇦🇺 Competition: AFL
🗓 Date: Saturday September 30
⏰ Time: 2:30pm (AEST)
🏟 Stadium: MCG

Collingwood vs Brisbane 2023 Form (last five matches)

Collingwood (WLWWW)

R22: Collingwood 109-101 Geelong
R23: Collingwood 100-124 Brisbane
R24: Essendon 31-101 Collingwood
QF: Collingwood 60-53 Melbourne
PF: Collingwood 58-57 GWS Giants

Lions (WWWWW)

R22: Brisbane Lions 99-93 Adelaide
R23: Collingwood 100-124 Brisbane
R24: Brisbane 72-60 St Kilda
QF: Brisbane 123-75 Port Adelaide
PF: Brisbane 79-63 Carlton

Collingwood vs Brisbane Head to Head (last five matches)

R23 2023: Magpies 100-124 Lions
R4 2023: Lions 116-83 Magpies
R4 2022 Lions 98-Magpies 91
R22 2021: Lions 142-57 Magpies
R3 2021: Magpies 72-73 Lions

Collingwood vs Brisbane Preview

Collingwood and the Brisbane Lions clash for premiership glory in the AFL Grand Final and it is the Magpies that head in as slight favourites.

Craig McRae’s side finished the home and away season in top position on the ladder with 18 wins, while Brisbane were 2nd with 17 victories. Both sides have won their two finals matches to qualify for the playoff.

In the Preliminary Final, Collingwood held on by a solitary point to defeat GWS and it was Jordan de Goey that starred with 34 disposals, while Dan McStay booted two goals. However, the former Lion, McStay, was subbed out with knee injury and will miss the Grand Final. Billy Frampton is a possible replacement, while Taylor Adams faces a race against time in his bid to return from a hamstring injury.

Brisbane were slow out of the blocks against Carlton in their Preliminary Final, conceding the first five goals before clawing their way back to win by 16 points. It was some of their unheralded names that rose to the occasion with Oscar McInerney and Lincoln McCarthy booting two goals alongside Joe Daniher, while Josh Dunkley did the job on Patrick Cripps. He may play on de Goey in the Grand Final.

The Lions defeated Collingwood on both occasions that they met during the regular season. One of those games was at the GABBA, while the other was at Marvel Stadium and the Pies were undermanned due to injury that night.

Brisbane will need to overcome their poor MCG record that has seen them win just one of their past 14 at the venue. The win was in last years finals series against Melbourne. The Lions are six of 12 away from the GABBA in 2023. Collingwood have won 13 of 16 at the MCG in 2023.

With that in mind, as well as the Magpies greater experience at playing in front of big crowds at the home of footy, I am going with the Pies to chalk up their 16th premiership, joining Carlton and Essendon with the most Grand Final wins.

Lions vs Magpies Stats

Brisbane have won their past six matches against Collingwood by an average margin of 26 points.
The two sides have not faced each other at the MCG since 2017 and it was a 45 point win to the Magpies that day.
Collingwood and Brisbane featured in the 2002 and 2003 Grand Finals and it was the Lions that prevailed in those deciders.
The Lions have won their past six matches, the Magpies have won their past three.
Brisbane have won just six of 12 matches away from the GABBA in 2023.
Collingwood have won 13 of 16 at the MCG in 2023.
Brisbane have won just one of their past 14 at the MCG.