Panthers vs Broncos Grand Final Tips, Prediction & Preview

Andrew Hendrie: Oct 1, 2023

It all comes down to this as the Penrith Panthers and Brisbane Broncos square off in the 2023 NRL Grand Final at Accor Stadium on Sunday night.

Panthers vs Broncos Tips, Prediction & Preview

Penrith Panthers vs Brisbane Broncos free Grand Final betting tips for NRL, predictions and preview – the two previous meetings between the teams this season saw 19 & 25 total points scored…

Penrith Panthers vs Brisbane Broncos H2H Prediction

Penrith Panthers vs Brisbane Broncos Tips

Best Under 38.5 total points odds $1.91 with bet365

The last 10 meetings between the teams have been split at five wins apiece
No team has won three premierships in a row in four decades
Broncos have won six of the seven Grand Finals they’ve played since 1988
Under 38.5 total points has landed in seven of the last eight meetings between the teams
Just 19 & 25 total points were scored in the two previous meetings between the teams in 2023
Broncos and Panthers were the best defensive teams all season
Four of the last five meetings were decided by a 1-12 margin
Brian To’o has scored 16 tries in his last 11 games
Selwyn Cobbo has scored 10 tries in his last nine games
Reece Walsh has scored a try in four of his last five games
Ezra Mam has scored a try in five of his last six games
Stephen Crichton has scored a try in three straight Grand Finals and scored eight tries in his last 11 games
Nathan Cleary has scored a try in his last four games
Herbie Farnworth has scored seven tries in his last nine games

Penrith Panthers vs Brisbane Broncos Same Game Multi Tips

Penrith Panthers vs Brisbane Broncos Match Details

🇦🇺 Competition: NRL
🗓 Date: Sunday October 1
⏰ Time: 7.30pm AEDT
🏟 Stadium: Accor Stadium (Sydney)

Penrith Panthers vs Brisbane Broncos Head to Head

18/5/23: Broncos 4-15 Panthers
3/3/23: Panthers 12-13 Broncos
15/4/22: Panthers 40-12 Broncos
24/7/21: Panthers 18-12 Broncos
15/4/21: Broncos 12-20 Panthers

Penrith Panthers vs Brisbane Broncos Preview & Prediction

The stage is set for a cracking NRL Grand Final showdown as the Panthers and Broncos collide at Accor Stadium on Sunday night.

Penrith and Brisbane were the two clear standout teams throughout the regular season and were in a battle for the minor premiership right up until the final round.

Now, the two heavyweight clubs battle for supremacy with the NRL’s ultimate prize on the line.

The Panthers are chasing history, attempting to become the first team in four decades to win three consecutive premierships, while the Broncos are aiming to secure their first piece of silverware since 2006 and at the same time erase the memories of their last appearance in a Grand Final, which resulted in that heartbreaking golden point defeat to the Cowboys in 2015.

Both teams were dominant in their preliminary final victories, with the Panthers crushing the Storm 38-4 and the Broncos demolishing the Warriors 42-12.

Momentum is high for both teams too, with the Panthers winning 11 of their last 12 outings and the Broncos tasting victory in nine of their last 10.

These two teams were easily the best defensive teams in the competition in 2023 and that was reflected in their two previous meetings, with the Broncos upsetting Penrith 13-12 in Round 1 before the Panthers got revenge to the tune of a 15-4 triumph a couple of months later.

There’s no changes to either club’s winning preliminary final 17, with Jarome Luai and Izack Tago getting through the Storm game unscathed, while Herbie Farnworth has been named despite picking up a hamstring niggle in training.

VERDICT

It promises to be an exhilarating Grand Final between the two best teams in the competition. Nathan Cleary and Adam Reynolds collide in a huge halfback battle, while there’s potential for Reece Walsh and Jarome Luai to come together after their heated exchange in Origin earlier in the season. Dylan Edwards won the Clive Churchill Medal in last year’s showpiece and will be keen to upstage Walsh, who has been electric and rightfully stolen all the headlines in the lead-up.

The forward battle will be intense, with Payne Haas, Patty Carrigan and Thomas Flagler leading the way for the Broncos and Moses Leota, James Fisher-Harris and Isaah Yeo setting the platform for Penrith through the middle.

I think the Broncos represent good value as underdogs, but our best bet is Under 38.5 total points. As mentioned, these two teams are so strong defensively, with their two previous meetings this season producing 19 & 25 total points. Eight of the last 12 Grand Finals have also seen Under 38.5 points, with two of those misses coming with 40 points.

In terms of H2H, the Broncos can cause the upset. There’s a reason no team in 40 years has won three premierships in a row. The little one percenters are so tough to keep replicating and that makes all the difference in a GF. Brisbane are young, fresh and full of enthusiasm in their first Grand Final and the Panthers have looked below their peak a lot of times throughout the season.

Offloads are key to disrupting Penrith’s rhythm and the Broncos had 23 in total against the Warriors last week, along with 11 line breaks. Their attack is capable of penetrating the rock solid Penrith defence (Best Under 38.5 total points odds $1.91 with bet365.)

Penrith Panthers vs Brisbane Broncos Teams

Panthers team: 1. Dylan Edwards 2. Sunia Turuva 3. Izack Tago 4. Stephen Crichton 5. Brian To’o 6. Jarome Luai 7. Nathan Cleary 8. Moses Leota 9. Mitch Kenny 10. James Fisher-Harris 11. Scott Sorensen 12. Liam Martin 13. Isaah Yeo 14. Jack Cogger 15. Lindsay Smith 16. Spencer Leniu 17. Luke Garner 18. Tyrone Peachey 19. Matt Eisenhuth 20. Zac Hosking 21. Luke Sommerton 22. Thomas Jenkins

Broncos team: 1. Reece Walsh 2. Jesse Arthars 3. Kotoni Staggs 4. Herbie Farnworth 5. Selwyn Cobbo 6. Ezra Mam 7. Adam Reynolds 8. Thomas Flegler 9. Billy Walters 10. Payne Haas 11. Kurt Capewell 12. Jordan Riki 13. Patrick Carrigan 14. Tyson Smoothy 15. Brendan Piakura 16. Kobe Hetherington 17. Keenan Palasia 18. Corey Oates 19. Martin Taupau 20. Corey Jensen 21. Jock Madden 22. Tristan Sailor

Penrith Panthers vs Brisbane Broncos Stats

The last 10 meetings between the teams have been split at five wins apiece
No team has won three premierships in a row in four decades
Broncos have won six of the seven Grand Finals they’ve played since 1988
Under 38.5 total points has landed in seven of the last eight meetings between the teams
Just 19 & 25 total points were scored in the two previous meetings between the teams in 2023
Broncos and Panthers were the best defensive teams all season
Four of the last five meetings were decided by a 1-12 margin
Brian To’o has scored 16 tries in his last 11 games
Selwyn Cobbo has scored 10 tries in his last nine games
Reece Walsh has scored a try in four of his last five games
Ezra Mam has scored a try in five of his last six games
Stephen Crichton has scored a try in three straight Grand Finals and scored eight tries in his last 11 games
Nathan Cleary has scored a try in his last four games
Herbie Farnworth has scored seven tries in his last nine games