Panthers vs Rabbitohs Grand Final Tips, Prediction & Preview

Andrew Hendrie:
Panthers vs Rabbitohs Tips

It all comes down to this as the Penrith Panthers and South Sydney Rabbitohs square off in the 2021 NRL Grand Final at Suncorp on Sunday night.

Panthers vs Rabbitohs Tips, Preview & Predictions

Penrith Panthers vs South Sydney Rabbitohs free NRL Grand Final betting tips, predictions and preview – the Panthers have won six of the last eight meetings between the teams…

Panthers vs Rabbitohs H2H Prediction


Panthers vs Rabbitohs Tips

Best Panthers -2.5 Line Odds with Sportsbet
Best Panthers Win & Under 40.5 Points Odds with Sportsbet

  • Panthers have won six of the last eight meetings between the teams
  • Four of those wins were by 1-12 margins
  • Seven of the last eight meetings between the teams have seen 40 points or less
  • Four of the last six NRL Grand Finals have produced 33 points or less
  • Five of the last six NRL Grand Finals have seen 40 points or less
  • Since 2000, only five Grand Finals have produced 40 points or more
  • Four of the last six NRL Grand Finals have been decided by 1-12 margins
  • No team has won the NRL Grand Final after conceding 50+ points in the regular season
  • Rabbitohs leaked 50+ points twice during the regular season vs Panthers and Storm
  • Nathan Cleary has lost just one game in all competitions since last season’s Grand Final
  • No team has lost back-to-back Grand Finals since the Roosters in 2003-04

Panthers vs Rabbitohs Same Game Multi Tips

Best Same Game Multi Odds with Sportsbet

  • Brian To’o has scored seven tries in his last six games and at least one try in five of his last six
  • Alex Johnston has scored 29 tries in 20 games this season and at least one in eight of his last 10

READ MORE: CLICK HERE FOR MORE NRL GRAND FINAL TIPS – INCLUDES CLIVE CHURCHILL MEDAL & FIRST TRYSCORER PREDICTIONS


Panthers vs Rabbitohs Match Details

🇦🇺 Competition: NRL
🗓 Date: Sunday October 3
Time: 7.30pm AEDT (6.30pm local time)
🏟 Stadium: Suncorp Stadium


Panthers vs Rabbitohs Head to Head (last five matches)

  • 11/9/21: Panthers 10-16 Rabbitohs
  • 20/8/21: Panthers 25-12 Rabbitohs
  • 23/5/21: Rabbitohs 12-56 Panthers
  • 17/10/20: Panthers 20-16 Rabbitohs
  • 25/6/20: Panthers 20-12 Rabbitohs

Panthers vs Rabbitohs Preview and Prediction

Another chapter in NRL history will be written on Sunday night when the Panthers and Rabbitohs battle it out for the premiership.

There’s no shortage of potential fairytale storylines – the Panthers are desperate to avoid back-to-back Grand Final defeats as Nathan Cleary attempts to lead his young side to glory following last season’s heartbreaking defeat to the Storm, while the Rabbitohs will be hoping to farewell coach Wayne Bennett and star halfback Adam Reynolds with premiership glory.

It’s shaping as a close and low-scoring contest. Despite the Panthers winning six of the last eight games between the teams, four of those have been by 1-12 margins. Additionally, nine of the last 12 encounters have been decided by 1-12 margins.

In terms of points, seven of the last eight games between the Panthers and Rabbitohs have produced 40 points or less. With four of the last six Grand Finals seeing 33 points or less, we can be fairly confident of another relatively low-scoring decider playing out on Sunday night.

While the Panthers have been sensational over the last two years, it’s the Rabbitohs who have been arguably the form team of the finals.

Souths – despite losing Latrell Mitchell to a season-ending suspension – stunned the Panthers in the opening week of the finals with a jaw-dropping defensive performance to emerge triumphant by a 16-10 scoreline, keeping their opposition scoreless for the entire second half.

After earning the week off, the Rabbitohs strolled past Tom Trbojevic and the Manly Sea Eagles in last week’s preliminary finals, with wingers Jaxson Paulo and Alex Johnston crossing for a double in the 36-16 victory.

The Rabbitohs bring plenty of momentum into the Grand Final, but a couple of things do worry us when considering them for the upset.

The primary concern is the fitness of Adam Reynolds. The last thing you want heading into a Grand Final is your halfback and goalkicker struggling with injury. Reynolds handed off kicking duties to Blake Taafe last week and won’t be training with the team until Thursday as he continues to nurse an adductor issue.

You need all your players firing on all cylinders when it comes to the big dance and there’s plenty of question marks surrounding Reynolds at the moment.

The second concern is South Sydney’s defence. While it’s true they’ve tided up defensively over the last month or so, the Rabbitohs were dodgy in that aspect of their game throughout the season – especially against the very best, leaking 50+ points to both the Panthers and Storm at different times during the year. If things don’t go their way early, Souths could fall back into bad habits – especially if Reynolds isn’t 100 per cent to guide them around the paddock.

Penrith aren’t exactly reliable right now – they lost to the Rabbitohs a few weeks ago and have had to survive a pair of brutal matches against the Eels and Storm to make the Grand Final, prevailing 8-6 and 10-6.

However, Grand Final triumphs are built on the back of never-say-die defence and the Panthers have conceded just one try each in their last two matches. If they can find some more polish in attack, they have already laid the foundation in defence.

Nathan Cleary is also due a big game – the star halfback has only lost one game since last season’s Grand Final and his Panthers side will be far better for the experience of last year’s heartbreak.

VERDICT:

As mentioned, it’s shaping as a thrilling spectacle, but we’re leaning ever so slightly with the Panthers.

The old saying you’ve got to lose one to win one rings true and we believe the Panthers have learned invaluable lessons from their loss to Melbourne last season.

Souths have been brilliant in the finals, but with no Mitchell and fitness concerns over Reynolds, we think they could come undone against the brick-wall defence of the Panthers, which has held firm all season long. There’s also the fact no team has ever won a Grand Final after conceding 50 points or more during the regular season, which the Rabbitohs did twice – and once to Penrith themselves.

Penrith have won six of the last eight meetings between the teams, with seven of those producing under 40 points or less. Four of the last six Grand Finals have seen 33 points or less. The Panthers to win a low-scoring and tight affair looks the goods here (Best Panthers Win & Under 40.5 Points Best Odds $2.60) with Sportsbet.


Panthers vs Rabbitohs Teams

Tevita Pangai Jr. has been ruled out for the Panthers due to a knee injury, with Moses Leota coming into the side after missing last week with a calf problem. No other injury concerns for the Panthers.

Souths have named the same 17 players that took care of Manly last week, but Adam Reynolds will be monitored throughout the week, with a decision on whether he will have kicking duties to made on game day.

Panthers team: 1. Dylan Edwards 2. Stephen Crichton 3. Paul Momirovski 4. Matt Burton 5. Brian To’o 6. Jarome Luai 7. Nathan Cleary 8. Moses Leota 9. Apisai Koroisau 10. James Fisher-Harris 11. Viliame Kikau 12. Kurt Capewell 13. Isaah Yeo 14. Tyrone May 15. Scott Sorensen 16. Spencer Leniu 17. Liam Martin 18. Brent Naden 19. Mitch Kenny 20. J’maine Hopgood 21. Charlie Staines

Rabbitohs team: 1. Blake Taaffe 2. Alex Johnston 3. Dane Gagai 4. Campbell Graham 5. Jaxson Paulo 6. Cody Walker 7. Adam Reynolds 8. Mark Nicholls 9. Damien Cook 10. Tevita Tatola 11. Keaon Koloamatangi 12. Jaydn Su’A 13. Cameron Murray 14. Benji Marshall 15. Jacob Host 16. Thomas Burgess 17. Jai Arrow 18. Taane Milne 19. Patrick Mago 20. Braidon Burns 21. Jed Cartwright


Panthers vs Rabbitohs Stats

  • Panthers have won six of the last eight meetings between the teams
  • Four of those wins were by 1-12 margins
  • Seven of the last eight meetings between the teams have seen 40 points or less
  • Four of the last six NRL Grand Finals have produced 33 points or less
  • Five of the last six NRL Grand Finals have seen 40 points or less
  • Since 2000, only five Grand Finals have produced 40 points or more
  • Four of the last six NRL Grand Finals have been decided by 1-12 margins
  • No team has won the NRL Grand Final after conceding 50+ points in the regular season
  • Rabbitohs leaked 50+ points twice during the regular season vs Panthers and Storm
  • Nathan Cleary has lost just one game in all competitions since last season’s Grand Final
  • No team has lost back-to-back Grand Finals since the Roosters in 2003-04
  • Brian To’o has scored seven tries in his last six games and at least one try in five of his last six
  • Alex Johnston has scored 29 tries in 20 games this season and at least one in eight of his last 10

Panthers vs Rabbitohs Best Bet

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